ASD · 2026-09-22

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.42 · 48.74 · Final 55.18

Splits (24:32) (6:44)

STRANGE CONNECTION dueled outside, opened up mid stretch, held well. SINGING IN SEATTLE stalked duel outside, rallied, up for place. THREE D THRILL broke off balance, stalked inside, rallied off rail, missed place. GRAND SLAM DUKE dueled inside, gave way mid stretch.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Strange Connection · close 27.9-1

• STRANGE CONNECTION dueled outside, opened up mid stretch, held well.
• SINGING IN SEATTLE stalked duel outside, rallied, up for place.
• THREE D THRILL broke off balance, stalked inside, rallied off rail, missed place.
• GRAND SLAM DUKE dueled inside, gave way mid stretch.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
STRANGE CONNECTION dueled outside, opened up mid stretch, held well. SINGING IN SEATTLE stalked duel outside, rallied, up for place. THREE D THRILL broke off balance, stalked inside, rallied off rail, missed place. GRAND SLAM DUKE dueled inside, gave way mid stretch.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE No early speed; crawl likely; rail/inside bias aids post 1; · CHALK #4 TODAYS AGENDA (ML 1) + #5 SINGING IN SEATTLE (ML 1.2) —

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-22 ASD R1 pass_ok · winner #2 STRANGE CONNECTION @ 27.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.32 · 46.24 · 59.02 · Final 1:12.38

Splits (22:92) (12:78) (13:36)

SOARINGFORTHESUN opened up early, rated turn, opened up stretch, drew out. HEY BIG UN stalked inside, rallied for place. GLOBAL AGENDA stalked three-four-wide, rallied outside to make a place bid, missed. FLEET OF HOOF well placed outside, pressed winner turn, turned back into stretch, made a bid for the place while tiring. MONEY MUNCHER dropped back early, showed little.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Soaringforthesun · close 5.45-1

• SOARINGFORTHESUN opened up early, rated turn, opened up stretch, drew out.
• HEY BIG UN stalked inside, rallied for place.
• GLOBAL AGENDA stalked three-four-wide, rallied outside to make a place bid, missed.
• FLEET OF HOOF well placed outside, pressed winner turn, turned back into stretch, made a bid for the place while tiring.
• MONEY MUNCHER dropped back early, showed little.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SOARINGFORTHESUN opened up early, rated turn, opened up stretch, drew out. HEY BIG UN stalked inside, rallied for place. GLOBAL AGENDA stalked three-four-wide, rallied outside to make a place bid, missed. FLEET OF HOOF well placed outside, pressed winner turn, turned back into stretch, made a bid for the place while tiring. MONEY MUNCHER dropped back early, showed little.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of speed (#2 #3 #5) + pressure high; stalker #1 from post 1 is the pace-shape winner; inside rail bias confirms · CHALK #1 HEY BIG UN (1.2 ML) solid — sits the pace, draws inside, bias suits, form consistent at this level; #3 FLEET OF HOOF (2.0 ML) also chalk, model overlay but chalk by ML rule

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-22 ASD R2 pass_ok · winner #2 SOARINGFORTHESUN @ 5.45 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.41 · 46.10 · 58.73 · Final 1:11.95

Splits (22:69) (12:63) (13:22)

FACTORY DRIVE stalked duel inside, rallied outside, took over mid stretch, held well. DESIGNATED HITTER stalked duel four-wide, rallied, up for place. PRIME SUSPECT dueled three-wide, gave way mid stretch, gave best to wire CEEPEEGEE dueled between horses early, stalked duel turn, rallied off rail. MEDICINE DOG dueled inside, gave way mid stretch.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Factory Drive · close 2.50-1

• FACTORY DRIVE stalked duel inside, rallied outside, took over mid stretch, held well.
• DESIGNATED HITTER stalked duel four-wide, rallied, up for place.
• PRIME SUSPECT dueled three-wide, gave way mid stretch, gave best to wire CEEPEEGEE dueled between horses early, stalked duel turn, rallied off rail.
• MEDICINE DOG dueled inside, gave way mid stretch.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — sheet rec PASS; no model overlay clears; #1 is the primed horse but at 3-1 morning line does not constitute a price play without tote confirmation · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #1 FACTORY DRIVE · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
FACTORY DRIVE stalked duel inside, rallied outside, took over mid stretch, held well. DESIGNATED HITTER stalked duel four-wide, rallied, up for place. PRIME SUSPECT dueled three-wide, gave way mid stretch, gave best to wire CEEPEEGEE dueled between horses early, stalked duel turn, rallied off rail. MEDICINE DOG dueled inside, gave way mid stretch.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — sheet rec PASS; no model overlay clears; #1 is the primed horse but at 3-1 morning line does not constitute a price play without tote confirmation · SHAPE Wall of speed/pressers (#3 #4 #2 #5) → extreme pressure → stalker/closer paths in A and B · CHALK #5 PRIME SUSPECT (2-1) — opposable; lone E type that will be hooked by three EP rivals; zPace -1.10 confirms pace toll; no ready flags

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #1 FACTORY DRIVE · 2026-09-22 ASD R3 overlay_hit · winner #1 FACTORY DRIVE @ 2.5 · overlay #1 FACTORY DRIVE edge 0.022 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.30 · 48.12 · 1:15.13 · Final 1:28.99

Splits (23:82) (27:01) (13:86)

MONEY MITCH stalked three-four-wide, rallied outside, took over late. MY REMBRANDT tracked leader outside, rallied, took over mid stretch, missed. LITTLE EDDIE, back early, advanced inside, rallied for show. CASHFLOW opened up long lead, tired, gave way mid stretch. MOONMAN RULES stalked four-wide, lacked rally. AMMA JAW DROPPER saved ground, lacked rally. OLIVER TIZ tracked leader off rail, faded final turn.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 Money Mitch · close 0.85-1

• MONEY MITCH stalked three-four-wide, rallied outside, took over late.
• MY REMBRANDT tracked leader outside, rallied, took over mid stretch, missed.
• LITTLE EDDIE , back early, advanced inside, rallied for show.
• CASHFLOW opened up long lead, tired, gave way mid stretch.
• MOONMAN RULES stalked four-wide, lacked rally.
• AMMA JAW DROPPER saved ground, lacked rally.
• OLIVER TIZ tracked leader off rail, faded final turn.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#7 MY REMBRANDT · minimum 3-1 · win · PLAY in the money · itm

Price model

WATCH · #7 MY REMBRANDT · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
MONEY MITCH stalked three-four-wide, rallied outside, took over late. MY REMBRANDT tracked leader outside, rallied, took over mid stretch, missed. LITTLE EDDIE, back early, advanced inside, rallied for show. CASHFLOW opened up long lead, tired, gave way mid stretch. MOONMAN RULES stalked four-wide, lacked rally. AMMA JAW DROPPER saved ground, lacked rally. OLIVER TIZ tracked leader off rail, faded final turn.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #7 MY REMBRANDT · minimum 3-1 · win · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#2 vs #5) · high pressure · stalkers and pressers get a live setup in A and B · CHALK #6 MONEY MITCH · opposable · ML 2, trouble-plagued last two, figs 65–68, class drop is real but price does not compensate for repeated wide trips and a figure ceiling that sits near the top of this field only marginally

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_itm · itm · price model WATCH #7 MY REMBRANDT · 2026-09-22 ASD R4 overlay_miss · winner #6 MONEY MITCH @ 0.85 · overlay #7 MY REMBRANDT edge 0.027 · PLAY itm #7 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.59 · 46.30 · 58.98 · Final 1:11.23

Splits (22:71) (12:68) (12:25)

MORO OUTLAW stalked forced pace inside, rallied outside, took over mid stretch, drew out. FREEZE 'EM stalked three-four-wide, moved out wide mid stretch, up for place. GOLDEN BUCK forced pace between horses early, stalked bid battle off rail turn, rallied to make a place bid. FINDING WAYS forced pace three-wide, bid early stretch, gave best to wire. ROLLING ON had inside speed under pressure, gave way mid stretch. CALL THE CAVALRY dropped back early, stalked four-wide, showed little. FLIPPING FISH stalked forced pace four-wide, bad step mid turn, eased, lost rider.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Moro Outlaw · close 16.3-1

• MORO OUTLAW stalked forced pace inside, rallied outside, took over mid stretch, drew out.
• FREEZE 'EM stalked three-four-wide, moved out wide mid stretch, up for place.
• GOLDEN BUCK forced pace between horses early, stalked bid battle off rail turn, rallied to make a place bid.
• FINDING WAYS forced pace three-wide, bid early stretch, gave best to wire.
• ROLLING ON had inside speed under pressure, gave way mid stretch.
• CALL THE CAVALRY dropped back early, stalked four-wide, showed little.
• FLIPPING FISH stalked forced pace four-wide, bad step mid turn, eased, lost rider.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
MORO OUTLAW stalked forced pace inside, rallied outside, took over mid stretch, drew out. FREEZE 'EM stalked three-four-wide, moved out wide mid stretch, up for place. GOLDEN BUCK forced pace between horses early, stalked bid battle off rail turn, rallied to make a place bid. FINDING WAYS forced pace three-wide, bid early stretch, gave best to wire. ROLLING ON had inside speed under pressure, gave way mid stretch. CALL THE CAVALRY dropped back early, stalked four-wide, showed little. FLIPPING FISH stalked forced pace four-wide, bad step mid turn, eased, lost rider.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early pace (#2 #5 #3) with pressure high; stalkers inherit in A/B; inside-rail bias helps posts 1–4 · CHALK #5 FINDING WAYS · opposable · declining figs, steps into a three-way duel, post 5 loses inside-bias edge vs inside speed

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-22 ASD R5 pass_ok · winner #1 MORO OUTLAW @ 16.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.16 · 48.85 · 1:14.15 · 1:27.39 · Final 1:33.88

Splits (23:69) (25:30) (13:24) (6:49)

MAKENA'S JOY, back early, advanced between horses turn, took over stretch, drew out. BATI KING stalked inside, rallied wide for place. CALMING FORCE stalked three-wide, rallied for show. LUKA GRAZIE tracked leader inside, rallied evenly. BURN JAKEY BURN, back early, saved ground, rallied belatedly inside. LAB RAT opened up early, led to stretch, gave way. NO SHOW NO CALL stalked four-five-wide, lacked rally. THE RONALD stalked four-six-wide, faded. NORTHERN FORCE tracked leader outside, faded late final turn.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #9 Makena's Joy · close 3.25-1

• MAKENA'S JOY , back early, advanced between horses turn, took over stretch, drew out.
• BATI KING stalked inside, rallied wide for place.
• CALMING FORCE stalked three-wide, rallied for show.
• LUKA GRAZIE tracked leader inside, rallied evenly.
• BURN JAKEY BURN , back early, saved ground, rallied belatedly inside.
• LAB RAT opened up early, led to stretch, gave way.
• NO SHOW NO CALL stalked four-five-wide, lacked rally.
• THE RONALD stalked four-six-wide, faded.
• NORTHERN FORCE tracked leader outside, faded late final turn.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
MAKENA'S JOY, back early, advanced between horses turn, took over stretch, drew out. BATI KING stalked inside, rallied wide for place. CALMING FORCE stalked three-wide, rallied for show. LUKA GRAZIE tracked leader inside, rallied evenly. BURN JAKEY BURN, back early, saved ground, rallied belatedly inside. LAB RAT opened up early, led to stretch, gave way. NO SHOW NO CALL stalked four-five-wide, lacked rally. THE RONALD stalked four-six-wide, faded. NORTHERN FORCE tracked leader outside, faded late final turn.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #1 LAB RAT; wall of closers; pace melt helps them but Lab Rat's own figs collapse under pressure · CHALK #4 NO SHOW NO CALL · short · Real class drop, rising fig, inside draw — but priced at 2.5 ML, below any overlay threshold

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-22 ASD R6 pass_ok · winner #9 MAKENAS JOY @ 3.25 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.59 · 47.05 · 1:00.11 · Final 1:13.57

Splits (23:46) (13:06) (13:46)

LAYLA'S SONG tracked leader outside, challenged mid turn, opened up stretch, held well. EVEN PANDURA stalked five-seven-wide, rallied widest for the place. MISS Z tracked leader inside, finished evenly, held show. HIGHLANDER HONEY stalked four-six-wide, rallied mildly. DYNAMIC STRIKE stalked between horses, lacked rally. BIG TIPPA, inside and off the rail, steadied full of fun into turn, steadied behind horses in late turn, rallied, tired. VALERIE VALESKI opened up early, was challenged mid turn, gave way late turn. HELLABELLA broke a step slow, took a bad step behind horses nearing the turn and was eased.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Layla's Song · close 9.05-1

• LAYLA'S SONG tracked leader outside, challenged mid turn, opened up stretch, held well.
• EVEN PANDURA stalked five-seven-wide, rallied widest for the place.
• MISS Z tracked leader inside, finished evenly, held show.
• HIGHLANDER HONEY stalked four-six-wide, rallied mildly.
• DYNAMIC STRIKE stalked between horses, lacked rally.
• BIG TIPPA , inside and off the rail, steadied full of fun into turn, steadied behind horses in late turn, rallied, tired.
• VALERIE VALESKI opened up early, was challenged mid turn, gave way late turn.
• HELLABELLA broke a step slow, took a bad step behind horses nearing the turn and was eased.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — sole overlay is the chalk; no non-chalk horse clears the price bar · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LAYLA'S SONG tracked leader outside, challenged mid turn, opened up stretch, held well. EVEN PANDURA stalked five-seven-wide, rallied widest for the place. MISS Z tracked leader inside, finished evenly, held show. HIGHLANDER HONEY stalked four-six-wide, rallied mildly. DYNAMIC STRIKE stalked between horses, lacked rally. BIG TIPPA, inside and off the rail, steadied full of fun into turn, steadied behind horses in late turn, rallied, tired. VALERIE VALESKI opened up early, was challenged mid turn, gave way late turn. HELLABELLA broke a step slow, took a bad step behind horses nearing the turn and was eased.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — sole overlay is the chalk; no non-chalk horse clears the price bar · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#8 vs #3) + inside rail bias sets up stalkers/pressers mid-pack; #8 from post 8 against the bias is a liability · CHALK #1 BIG TIPPA · usable but short (ML 2, only model overlay) · solid class drop, inside post, clean stalking path in A/B — correctly favored, just no price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-22 ASD R7 pass_ok · winner #3 LAYLAS SONG @ 9.05 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 26.19 · 49.95 · 1:15.16 · 1:28.40 · Final 1:35.46

Splits (23:76) (25:21) (13:24) (7:06)

ZULTAN had outside speed to open up four-wide on the backstretch, pressured while inside final turn, turned back rival early stretch, drew out gradually. BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME, well placed outside, pressed final turn, bid into stretch, turned back, gave best to wire. FUNKENSTEIN trailed to stretch, finished well between horses. CHARMING CHARLIE tracked leader inside, rallied evenly. WRONG DIRECTION, four-wide early, off rail final turn, finished evenly. CAPTIVE KITTEN saved ground, rallied, tired. MAIN DUDE broke off balance, stalked four-six-wide, tired. SARGE'S SERMON stalked off rail, faded. Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $1,557,204

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #8 Zultan · close 7.95-1

• ZULTAN had outside speed to open up four-wide on the backstretch, pressured while inside final turn, turned back rival early stretch, drew out gradually.
• BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME , well placed outside, pressed final turn, bid into stretch, turned back, gave best to wire.
• FUNKENSTEIN trailed to stretch, finished well between horses.
• CHARMING CHARLIE tracked leader inside, rallied evenly.
• WRONG DIRECTION , four-wide early, off rail final turn, finished evenly.
• CAPTIVE KITTEN saved ground, rallied, tired.
• MAIN DUDE broke off balance, stalked four-six-wide, tired.
• SARGE'S SERMON stalked off rail, faded. Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $1,557,204

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
ZULTAN had outside speed to open up four-wide on the backstretch, pressured while inside final turn, turned back rival early stretch, drew out gradually. BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME, well placed outside, pressed final turn, bid into stretch, turned back, gave best to wire. FUNKENSTEIN trailed to stretch, finished well between horses. CHARMING CHARLIE tracked leader inside, rallied evenly. WRONG DIRECTION, four-wide early, off rail final turn, finished evenly. CAPTIVE KITTEN saved ground, rallied, tired. MAIN DUDE broke off balance, stalked four-six-wide, tired. SARGE'S SERMON stalked off rail, faded.

 Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $1,557,204

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#8 vs #6) sets honest pace; stalkers and closers theoretically inherit but lack the figures to capitalise · CHALK #6 BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME · 1.2 ML · solid-to-short · rising figs, model overlay, class drop from Clm4500b, wins at this oval — but 1.2 is unplayable price for a duel setup

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-22 ASD R8 pass_ok · winner #8 ZULTAN @ 7.95 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.