← Results

LRL · 2026-10-09

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #1 LADY LENA; speed/inside bias; closers need a meltdown that this track discourages · CHALK #5 AWARDS CEREMONY · solid-to-short · real class drop from fClm30000, top E1 in field, prior sprint win here at same trip; legitimate favorite

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#2 EP vs #6 E) sets up the stalker; speed bias and inside rail favor the chalk sitting mid-pack · CHALK #3 INEEDYOUBABE — solid; top fig, top LP, rising cycle, clean stalking path inside, pace map runs directly into her hands

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — the only model overlay is #2 JOKE TELLER, a need-the-lead horse projecting into an extreme speed duel at a 3 ML that implies no real overlay at the close; the shape actively opposes it; no non-chalk horse has both a credible pace path AND a genuine price. · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#2 #1 #3 #5) — extreme pace duel projected; stalkers and pressers from mid-field (especially #6 #7 #4) inherit in scenarios A and B; closers #11 #10 only live in chaos (C). · CHALK #6 METALLICAN 2.5 ML · SOLID — last-race winner at this exact trip and class, rising figs (76→82), presser style slots cleanly behind the duel; short but rightful favorite.

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — the only overlay is the chalk; no price ticket is warranted · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#7 vs #4) sets up pressers/stalkers; speed bias and inside-rail bias favor early movers, hurting the lone closer · CHALK #5 STRONG SUSPICION · solid · top fig (87), rising cycle, presser style lands directly in Scenario A/B benefit zone, model edge +0.088

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#2/#8) sets up mid-stalkers; speed bias favors inside posts; rail and early advantage go to chalk · CHALK #4 CALL ME ANDY · solid · top fig (85), top signal, ideal post 4, turf sprint specialist, repeating a winning trip — opposable only on price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — no non-chalk overlay confirmed; if TENEBRIS opens 6-1 or longer on the live board, it earns reconsideration as a win ticket, but this sheet does not arm from ML alone · SHAPE Three-way speed duel (#5 #4 #3) projected at the front; speed bias but inside rail bias cancels outside posts; stalkers and pressers from posts 6–11 are the pace beneficiaries in A and B · CHALK #12 BOLTAGE · short/opposable · top signal and rising figs but draws post 12 in a race where posts 8+ are 0-for-field in the 60-day bias sample; pace shape hurts stalkers from wide outside

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#7) projects to clear; track bias strongly favors early speed; four debut horses add chaos noise · CHALK #8 ARUBA ARIBA (ML 1.2) — solid favorite, inside speed bias hurts its post-8 position slightly, but it led at first call last out and has a solid fig; #7 ENGAGED IS BETTER (ML 2.5) — also chalk, top fig in field, lone identified E, shape squarely in its favor

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — the only model overlay is chalk (#10); #9 BUZZAWAY has the most compelling primed profile but posts from the wrong half of the gate (post 9, 0% wins posts 8+) and shows no overlay at 15 ML; no price clears the bar · SHAPE Two-EP speed duel (#10 vs #4) on a speed/rail-bias track; collapse risk benefits closers with late energy, but closers post wide in a field that historically sends 0% winners from posts 8+ · CHALK #10 AMERICANDREAMMAKER · opposable · wide post (10) fights the inside bias, shipper barn 0% wins on turf ROI -1.57, and 2.5 ML leaves no price even if it fires

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R9no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 BILL OF RIGHTS · win · min 7-2 (pass if board is 3-1 or shorter) · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#7 vs #4) pressures the pace; stalkers and pressers inherit — chalk's negative zPace is a concern · CHALK #6 ROLL ON JESSE · short (ML 2) · opposable — zPace −1.81 flags a pace mismatch; this shape sets up against a stalker that needs a soft lead; 3rd-start-cycle ready signal noted but pace context undercuts it

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R10no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #7 OVER MY CENTS · min 3-1 · WIN · SHAPE Wall of EP speed (#3 #4 #5 #6) into an honest-to-brutal duel; speed bias favors early but the quantity kills them; stalkers/closer live in B/C · CHALK #6 PINKY SWEAR · opposable · pace mismatch (four-way duel, not lone speed), collapsed last fig (25, equipment issue), negative signal -0.41, negative model edge

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.