closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

PRX R2 · 2026-09-29

PASSD1830y1 readyPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R2 · 2026-09-29 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Lone speed #6 GREAT ESCAPE

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#6GREAT ESCAPEE
  2. C2#7HEY PORTERC
  3. C3#2CHELONIANP
  4. C4#1MAJESTIC LIONC
  5. C5#3CUT THE CORDC
  6. C6#8LIBERTY RUNNERC
  7. C7#4BATTER UP BUDC
  8. C8#5ADMIRALS WAVEC
A · Likely — expected flow

#6 GREAT ESCAPE controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.

Helps #6 GREAT ESCAPE · hurts #7 HEY PORTER, #1 MAJESTIC LION, #3 CUT THE CORD, #8 LIBERTY RUNNER, #4 BATTER UP BUD, #5 ADMIRALS WAVE

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Someone presses #6 GREAT ESCAPE. Soft-lead thesis dies.

Helps #2 CHELONIAN · hurts #6 GREAT ESCAPE

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 HEY PORTER, #1 MAJESTIC LION, #3 CUT THE CORD, #8 LIBERTY RUNNER, #4 BATTER UP BUD, #5 ADMIRALS WAVE).

Helps #7 HEY PORTER, #1 MAJESTIC LION, #3 CUT THE CORD, #8 LIBERTY RUNNER, #4 BATTER UP BUD, #5 ADMIRALS WAVE · hurts #6 GREAT ESCAPE

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
7HEY PORTERLOPEZ PASCACIO2.5CRising figsTag dropBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-09-12 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 81/89; 2025-10-01 PRX 5f 61.80 B MT ft 5/9 · barn: change vs ARCE JOSUEClm7500c → Clm 5000n1yFLORES-COBA FELIX LFavorite
6GREAT ESCAPEOCASIO LUIS M1.8ERising figsHidden paceTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-09-24 PRX 3f 37.20 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-09-15 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT ft 6/20 · barn: change vs SHARP JOEClm20000 → Clm 5000n1yPINO MICHAEL VFavorite
2CHELONIANGONZALEZ MELVIS3.0PTrouble lastTag dropLed lastSame trip2026-09-12 PRX 5f 62.00 B MT ft 9/17; 2026-08-26 PRX 5f 61.80 B MT ft 9/13 · barn: same as lastClm7500n1y → Clm 5000n1yGUERRERO J CARLOSfield
3CUT THE CORDSANCHEZ MYCHEL J3.5C2nd off layoffTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-08-10 PRX 5f 63.60 B MT ft 13/16; 2026-07-05 CNL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 34/37 · barn: change vs PADILLA-PRECIADO ERNESTOClm7500n1yc → Clm 5000n1yNESS JAMIEfield
5ADMIRALS WAVEADORNO ABNER8.0CSame trip2026-09-05 PRX 5f 63.00 B MT ft 9/16; 2026-03-20 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT ft 6/25 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 5000n1yLAKE SCOTT Afield
1MAJESTIC LIONAVILA LUIS15.0CRising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceTop last pace2026-08-22 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 40/64; 2026-07-23 MTH 3f 37.60 B MT ft 6/13 · barn: same as lastClm5000n1y → Clm 5000n1yCABAN CARLOS Eprimed
8LIBERTY RUNNERHENRY PATRICK JR20.0C2nd off layoff2026-08-15 PRX 3f 37.20 B MT ft 6/22; 2026-04-08 PRX 4f 47.80 B MT ft 7/45 · barn: same as lastClm5000n1y → Clm 5000n1yLEUNG CARLOS Afield
4BATTER UP BUDORELLANA SEBASTIAN20.0C3rd start cycle2026-08-12 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 40/47; 2026-02-19 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 16/24 · barn: same as lastClm5000n1y → Clm 5000n1yTZORTZAKIS Efield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEPRX R2 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1830y · Clm 5000n1y
  2. SHAPELone speed #6 GREAT ESCAPE projects to clear; seven closers hunting a pace that may not collapse
  3. CHALKFavorite#6 GREAT ESCAPE ML 1.8 · short/usable · lone-speed angle clean but zPace negative, first for barn, 97-day layoff, edge ~flat
  4. LEANWinner call#6 GREAT ESCAPE · lone speed in a field of closers with a real class drop is the most likely winner
  5. PRIMED#1 MAJESTIC LION (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, hidden pace LP 96, top late pace field) — C-scenario path only from post 1
  6. PRICEnone (model shows no non-chalk overlay; #1 model edge 0.001, essentially zero)
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILL#2 CHELONIAN or any presser hooks #6 early and melts the pace, opening the door for closers at short prices that still don't offer overlay
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes

Why

Dirt two-turn route at the $5,000 n1y claiming level with a thin field of eight and moderate-to-high volatility given the class disparity and large closers-only map. #6 GREAT ESCAPE is lone speed from post 6 and projects to clear into a comfortable lead, but is co-chalk at ML 1.8 with a negative zPace and a barn shipping in first for Pino after 97 days away — solid on paper but model edge is essentially zero. #1 MAJESTIC LION is flagged primed at 15-1 with four ready signals (rising figs +15, 2nd off layoff, hidden pace, top LP 96 in field) and a stalking path that opens only in scenario C if the lone speed cracks.

```
```

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#1 MAJESTIC LIONML 15.0Rising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceTop last pace

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
7HEY PORTER2.520.6%26.5%+5.8%1.33CfavoriteRising figsTag dropBarn changeTop last figSame trip—
6GREAT ESCAPE1.825.8%26.3%+0.5%0.42EfavoriteRising figsHidden paceTag dropBarn changeSame trip—
2CHELONIAN3.018.1%18.2%+0.1%0.37PTrouble lastTag dropLed lastSame trip—
3CUT THE CORD3.516.1%12.8%-3.3%-0.57C2nd off layoffTag dropBarn changeSame trip—
5ADMIRALS WAVE8.08.0%6.3%-1.7%-0.64CSame trip—
1MAJESTIC LION15.04.5%4.6%+0.1%0.45CRising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceTop last pace—
8LIBERTY RUNNER20.03.4%2.8%-0.6%-0.44C2nd off layoff—
4BATTER UP BUD20.03.4%2.5%-0.9%-0.93C3rd start cycle—