KEE R1 · 2026-10-03
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R1 · 2026-10-03 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1UR A COLLECTIONUU
- C2#6NOBLE ANTHEMP
- C3#7MAYFIELDUU
- C4#5ALWORTHUU
- C5#8UNLIMITEDUU
- C6#4DREAM MACHINES
- C7#3SUMMIT RIDGEC
- C8#2COMMENTATEUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #6 NOBLE ANTHEM, #4 DREAM MACHINE · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #6 NOBLE ANTHEM, #4 DREAM MACHINE · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 DREAM MACHINE, #3 SUMMIT RIDGE).
Helps #4 DREAM MACHINE, #3 SUMMIT RIDGE · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | DREAM MACHINEORTIZ IRAD JR | 1.8 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip2026-09-25 BEL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 68/138; 2026-09-18 BEL 4f 48.00 B MT ft 8/68 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | BROWN CHAD C | Favorite |
| 2 | COMMENTATEORTIZ JOSE L | 3.0 | U | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-25 KEE 5f 59.80 B MT ft bullet 1/5; 2026-09-18 KEE 4f 47.40 B MT ft 4/22 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | DEVAUX CHERIE | field |
| 5 | ALWORTHSAEZ LUIS | 4.5 | U | Same trip2026-09-26 TP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 45/97; 2026-09-04 TP 4f 48.20 Bg MT ft 5/40 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | DAVIS CHRISTOPHER | field |
| 7 | MAYFIELDGAFFALIONE TYLER | 6.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-25 CD 4f 48.00 B MT ft 14/69; 2026-09-17 CD 5f 59.80 B MT ft bullet 1/8 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | WALSH BRENDAN P | field |
| 1 | UR A COLLECTIONGUTIERREZ MARIO | 8.0 | U | Top last paceSame trip2026-09-24 CD 4f 47.80 B MT ft 2/33; 2026-09-16 CD 5f 62.20 B MT ft 11/11 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | SCHULTZ LINDSAY | field |
| 8 | UNLIMITEDALVARADO JUNIOR | 10.0 | U | —2026-09-26 ELP 5f 60.80 Hg MT ft 2/14; 2026-09-19 ELP 4f 48.00 Hg MT ft 6/36 · barn: MOTT RILEY (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | MOTT RILEY | field |
| 3 | SUMMIT RIDGEMORALES EDGAR | 12.0 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-27 CD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 26/104; 2026-09-06 CD 5f 62.60 B MT ft 9/17 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | SWEEZEY J KENT | field |
| 6 | NOBLE ANTHEMVELAZQUEZ J R | 12.0 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoff2026-09-26 KEE 4f 49.40 B MT ft 42/56; 2026-09-18 KEE 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/22 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | OLIVER VICTORIA | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEKEE R1 · 2026-10-03 · Dirt 1540y Md Sp Wt
- SHAPENo dedicated early; crawl likely; stalker/presser benefits; chalk is solid and fits A/B
- CHALKFavorite#4 DREAM MACHINE · solid · fig 87 top of field, 2nd off layoff, Brown/Irad, clean path from post 4
- LEANWinner call#4 DREAM MACHINE · best credentials, fits A and B, rightful winner
- PRIMED#6 NOBLE ANTHEM (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, three KEE bullets)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay clears
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLA surprise speed type scrambles the crawl map; #6 route-to-sprint history (3.23% win) and weak trainer sprint numbers remain a drag
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden special weight at Keeneland, eight horses, field-wide style uncertainty creates a crawl-likely shape with high volatility. No dedicated speed in the projected pace map; #4 DREAM MACHINE (1.8 ML chalk) is a legitimate short-price standout with a 48-point fig spike 2nd off a layoff under Irad in the Chad Brown barn, making it solid but unplayable at 4-5. #6 NOBLE ANTHEM is the tagged primed horse (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) with a presser style that fits the crawl scenario and three consecutive bullets at Keeneland in the works tab, but the model edge is negative and the ML of 12-1 has not translated to a non-chalk overlay designation.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | DREAM MACHINE | 1.8 | 27.7% | 34.9% | +7.2% | 1.09 | S | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | COMMENTATE | 3.0 | 19.4% | 16.2% | -3.2% | -0.56 | U | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 5 | ALWORTH | 4.5 | 14.1% | 13.1% | -1.1% | -0.14 | U | Same trip | — |
| 7 | MAYFIELD | 6.0 | 11.1% | 8.7% | -2.4% | -0.81 | U | Same trip | — |
| 1 | UR A COLLECTION | 8.0 | 8.6% | 8.2% | -0.4% | -0.04 | U | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 8 | UNLIMITED | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.8% | -0.3% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 3 | SUMMIT RIDGE | 12.0 | 6.0% | 6.5% | +0.6% | 0.53 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | NOBLE ANTHEM | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.6% | -0.3% | -0.07 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoff | — |