← RaceDay

PID R7 · 2026-09-28

Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R7 · 2026-09-28 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#6 #2 #3 #1)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#6KID RICHE
  2. C2#2SEALANDE
  3. C3#3FRENCHMAN JAMESEP
  4. C4#7GO SIMPLEP
  5. C5#1EPIC SUMMEREP
  6. C6#5IPLEDTHEFIFTHP
  7. C7#4PARTY AT THE BEACHS
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #6 KID RICH and #2 SEALAND and #3 FRENCHMAN JAMES and #1 EPIC SUMMER. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #7 GO SIMPLE, #5 IPLEDTHEFIFTH, #4 PARTY AT THE BEACH · hurts #6 KID RICH, #2 SEALAND, #3 FRENCHMAN JAMES, #1 EPIC SUMMER

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #6 KID RICH and #2 SEALAND and #3 FRENCHMAN JAMES and #1 EPIC SUMMER hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #7 GO SIMPLE, #5 IPLEDTHEFIFTH, #4 PARTY AT THE BEACH · hurts #6 KID RICH, #2 SEALAND, #3 FRENCHMAN JAMES, #1 EPIC SUMMER

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 PARTY AT THE BEACH).

Helps #4 PARTY AT THE BEACH · hurts #6 KID RICH, #2 SEALAND, #3 FRENCHMAN JAMES, #1 EPIC SUMMER

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
7GO SIMPLEKINGSLEY TAYLOR3.0P3rd start cycleTag dropLed lastSame trip2026-07-22 PID 5f 60.00 B MT ft 2/8; 2026-07-15 PID 4f 45.60 B MT ft bullet 1/13 · barn: same as lastClm25000n2l → Clm 12500n2lHAMM TIMOTHYFavorite
6KID RICHAYALA ADDIEL J4.0ERising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-10 PID 5f 61.80 Bg MT ft 5/6; 2026-09-01 PID 4f 47.20 B MT ft 3/12 · barn: same as lastClm12500b → Clm 12500n2lRICE KEVINprimed
2SEALANDMARTINEZ GADDIEL A3.5ERising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-23 PID 4f 51.20 B MT ft 8/8; 2026-09-17 PID 4f 52.40 B MT ft 10/10 · barn: same as lastsMdSpWt → Clm 12500n2lKINTZ S MATTHEWfield
5IPLEDTHEFIFTHGONZALEZ ALEX4.5PRising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-08-23 PID 3f 34.20 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-06-08 PID 4f 47.80 B MT ft 4/10 · barn: change vs RICE KEVINClm6250n2lc → Clm 12500n2lHERRINGTON CALLY ANNfield
4PARTY AT THE BEACHROJAS MARTINA6.0SSame trip2026-05-14 JWE 4f 51.40 Bg MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-02 JWE 4f 51.00 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as lastClm6250n2l → Clm 12500n2lFENNESSY JOHNfield
3FRENCHMAN JAMESMONTANEZ ROSARIO10.0EPTop last pace2026-06-12 PID 4f 46.60 B MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-06-05 PID 3f 38.00 B MT ft 3/11 · barn: same as lastClm6250n2l → Clm 12500n2lPAPPADA MICHAEL Cfield
1EPIC SUMMERALLEN M10.0EPSame trip2026-06-16 PID 4f 48.80 B MT ft 10/23; 2026-05-13 HPT 4f 51.40 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as lastClm6250n2l → Clm 12500n2lFENNESSY JOHNfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade
  1. RACEPID R7 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 12500n2l
  2. SHAPEWall of early speed (#6 #2 #3 #1) → honest-to-meltdown pace; stalkers/pressers #7 #5 #4 are the beneficiaries
  3. CHALKFavorite#7 GO SIMPLE · short · solid dropper (Clm25000→12500) with 3rd-start-cycle flag and a pace path, but ML 3 prices in the win chance fairly; not opposable, just not a bet
  4. LEANWinner call#7 GO SIMPLE · class drop is real, 3rd start fires, gets a stalking trip as speed tangles — most likely winner
  5. PRIMED#6 KID RICH — rising figs (41→73, +32), 3rd start cycle, same trip, inside post in a speed-bias track; needs to get to the front or sit a close second before the wall hooks
  6. PRICE#6 KID RICH · edge 0.047 · ML 4 · non-chalk overlay
  7. PLAYPrice ticket#6 KID RICH · min 4-1 · win ticket — at 3-1 or shorter, pass
  8. KILL#2 SEALAND (top fig 74, cleared wire-to-wire last, inside post 2 on a rail-bias track) steals a clean lead at honest fractions and never looks back; or KID RICH's e1 drop (84 vs 95 prior) means it can't get to the front and gets swallowed by the wall
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant day-of, rider changes not on PP line

Why

Dirt sprint at PID, Clm 12500n2l, four early/presser types in a seven-horse field — moderate-to-high volatility with a genuine pace meltdown risk.

Wall of speed (#6, #2, #3, #1) makes this a likely duel that shapes up for the lone stalker-closer group, but chalk #7 GO SIMPLE is the class dropper sitting just off that pace on post 7 — a legitimate threat if the fractions honest themselves out.

#6 KID RICH is primed (rising figs 41→73, third start of cycle) with an inside post and a speed style that could steal or sit second off the duel; the 32-point fig spike is real and the pace map gives it a clean A/B path if it gets to the front before the wall hooks.

---

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#6 KID RICH+4.7%ML 4.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip
Sign in to bet

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
7GO SIMPLE3.021.2%24.2%+3.0%0.79Pfavorite3rd start cycleTag dropLed lastSame trip—
6KID RICH4.017.0%21.6%+4.7%1.22ERising figs3rd start cycleSame trip—
2SEALAND3.518.9%18.7%-0.2%0.21ERising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip—
5IPLEDTHEFIFTH4.515.4%14.0%-1.4%-0.14PRising figsBarn changeSame trip—
4PARTY AT THE BEACH6.012.1%8.4%-3.8%-1.24SSame trip—
3FRENCHMAN JAMES10.07.7%7.2%-0.5%0.00EPTop last pace—
1EPIC SUMMER10.07.7%5.9%-1.8%-0.83EPSame trip—