closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

KEE R2 · 2026-10-09

WATCHD1540y1 price overlay(s)PLAY lookRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R2 · 2026-10-09 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#4 vs #2)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#4TIZ GENERALEP
  2. C2#2WINDSOCKEP
  3. C3#15SMART N CENTSIBLEUU
  4. C4#11HARBORCOATUU
  5. C5#8HIGH STATUSP
  6. C6#5VERY GIFTEDUU
  7. C7#10MYSTERICALUU
  8. C8#16AMAZING MAXUU
  9. C9#12BIG MIKE FINKS
  10. C10#6BLAME THROWERUU
  11. C11#14DITLIHIC
  12. C12#7CHASING EMC
  13. C13#3HONOR AND COURAGEC
  14. C14#13TRIXIE BARRYC
  15. C15#9FARAZC
  16. C16#1MAMBO MANC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #4 TIZ GENERAL and #2 WINDSOCK. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #8 HIGH STATUS, #12 BIG MIKE FINK · hurts #4 TIZ GENERAL, #2 WINDSOCK

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #4 TIZ GENERAL and #2 WINDSOCK hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #8 HIGH STATUS, #12 BIG MIKE FINK · hurts #4 TIZ GENERAL, #2 WINDSOCK

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#12 BIG MIKE FINK, #14 DITLIHI, #7 CHASING EM, #3 HONOR AND COURAGE, #13 TRIXIE BARRY, #9 FARAZ, #1 MAMBO MAN).

Helps #12 BIG MIKE FINK, #14 DITLIHI, #7 CHASING EM, #3 HONOR AND COURAGE, #13 TRIXIE BARRY, #9 FARAZ, #1 MAMBO MAN · hurts #4 TIZ GENERAL, #2 WINDSOCK

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
2WINDSOCKTORRES CRISTIAN A4.0EPRising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-09-27 ELP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 14/68; 2026-09-20 ELP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/49 · barn: same as lastMd40000 → Md 30000BRISSET RODOLPHEoverlay
12BIG MIKE FINKGAFFALIONE TYLER3.0SMSW → MCL2026-10-02 KEE 4f 49.40 B MT ft 64/85; 2026-09-23 TP 5f 62.60 B MT ft 13/21 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md 30000WALSH BRENDAN PFavorite
16AMAZING MAXORTIZ IRAD JR4.0USame trip2026-10-03 IND 4f 48.40 B MT ft 2/15; 2026-09-26 IND 5f 62.00 B MT ft 6/11 · barn: same as lastMd30000 → Md 30000COX BRAD Hfield
5VERY GIFTEDESQUIVEL EMMANUEL6.0U—2026-10-03 KEE 4f 50.00 B MT ft 44/60; 2026-09-26 KEE 4f 47.60 B MT ft 14/56 · barn: MCPEEK KENNETH G (no last-line barn)— → Md 30000MCPEEK KENNETH Gfield
8HIGH STATUSESPINOZA ASSAEL8.0PRising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-30 CDT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/15; 2026-09-23 CDT 3f 37.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as lastMd50000 → Md 30000BRYNER RAYMOND Cfield
4TIZ GENERALFUENMAYOR LUIS8.0EPSame trip2026-10-04 CDT 4f 50.60 B MT ft 23/31; 2026-09-13 CDT 4f 48.80 B MT ft 21/42 · barn: same as lastMd30000 → Md 30000MUNOZ CARLOSfield
3HONOR AND COURAGEBESCHIZZA ADAM10.0CRising figs2026-10-02 CD 4f 47.60 B MT ft 3/64; 2026-09-09 CD 4f 48.80 B MT ft 8/37 · barn: same as lastMd30000 → Md 30000VANCE THOMAS Dfield
14DITLIHISHEEHY DANNY10.0CRising figsMSW → MCL2026-10-02 TTC 3f 36.60 B MT ft 2/23; 2026-09-25 TTC 3f 37.80 B MT ft 3/9 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md 30000ENNIS JOHNfield
7CHASING EMBEJARANO R10.0CRising figsTag dropSame trip2026-10-02 CD 4f 47.80 B MT my 8/64; 2026-09-25 CD 3f 36.60 B MT ft 8/13 · barn: same as lastMd50000 → Md 30000HARTMAN CHRISfield
13TRIXIE BARRYGAFFALIONE TYLER8.0CTag dropSame trip2026-09-29 TP 5f 63.20 B MT ft 14/15; 2026-09-22 TP 4f 50.40 B MT ft 63/72 · barn: same as lastMd50000 → Md 30000WALSH BRENDAN Pfield
11HARBORCOATANTONGEORGI WILLIAM JR12.0UBarn changeSame trip2026-09-12 CD 4f 48.20 B MT gd 14/122; 2026-09-05 CD 5f 62.40 B MT ft 29/38 · barn: change vs LAROSE KINNONMd30000c → Md 30000HOLSAPPLE HUTCHfield
1MAMBO MANMACHADO DYLAN20.0CRising figsLed last2026-08-22 BTP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 3/26; 2026-07-29 BTP 4f 49.60 Bg MT ft 4/5 · barn: same as lastMd30000 → Md 30000FERNANDEZ KELLY Afield
6BLAME THROWERGRAHAM J20.0USame trip2026-10-03 CD 5f 63.20 B MT gd 29/30; 2026-09-26 CD 4f 50.40 B MT ft 146/155 · barn: same as lastMd30000 → Md 30000DESORMEAUX J KEITHfield
15SMART N CENTSIBLECORRALES GERARDO20.0UTrouble lastTop last paceSame trip2026-10-04 CD 5f 60.60 B MT ft 11/45; 2026-09-27 CD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 26/104 · barn: same as lastMoc50000 → Md 30000SWEEZEY J KENTfield
10MYSTERICALARRIETA FRANCISCO30.0U—2026-10-02 TTC 5f 61.40 B MT ft 5/9; 2026-09-19 TTC 5f 62.40 Bg MT ft 8/14 · barn: ANDERSON DOUG L (no last-line barn)— → Md 30000ANDERSON DOUG Lfield
9FARAZGRISALES RAVE DANILO30.0CSame trip2026-09-08 HPT 4f 53.80 B MT ft 5/5; 2026-07-18 HPT 3f 38.20 B MT gd 4/7 · barn: same as lastMd30000 → Md 30000CAMBRAY ANDRESfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade
  1. RACEKEE R2 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1540y · Md30000
  2. SHAPETwo-speed duel (#4 vs #2) · pace high · stalkers and pressers favored · 16-horse field volatility HIGH
  3. CHALKFavorite#12 BIG MIKE FINK · opposable · turf-route lines, fig 55-63 range below field top, route-to-sprint, MSW drop looks like a class softener not a bomb
  4. LEANWinner call#2 WINDSOCK · rising figs, real class drop, same trip, EP with pace path in A and B
  5. PRIMEDnone (WINDSOCK has rising figs + tag drop but is the model overlay, not a 2+ flag non-chalk primed by doctrine)
  6. PRICE#2 WINDSOCK · ML 4 · edge 0.028 · non-chalk overlay
  7. PLAYPrice ticket#2 WINDSOCK · win · minimum 4-1 · PASS if board opens shorter
  8. KILLDuel never materializes — lone speed clears and WINDSOCK gets parked wide without the kick to close; or board compresses below 4-1 at post
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt sprint, MCL field of 16 at Keeneland — two-speed pace map projects a duel between #4 and #2, which sets up stalkers and pressers in a noisy, high-volatility maiden claiming race. Chalk #12 BIG MIKE FINK (3 ML, MSW dropper) is opposable: turf figures, flat zForm, and a route-to-sprint switch leave the public price looking thin against a field that should fire pace. #2 WINDSOCK is the lone model overlay with rising figs (68 vs 56 prior), a genuine class drop, and an EP style that could press or sit second depending on the duel — path exists in both A and B scenarios, though last line showed no kick after pressing rail at IND.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#2 WINDSOCK+2.8%ML 4.0Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip
Sign in to bet

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
2WINDSOCK4.011.9%14.7%+2.8%1.06EPRising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip—
12BIG MIKE FINK3.014.9%13.9%-1.0%-0.07SfavoriteMSW → MCL—
16AMAZING MAX4.011.9%11.4%-0.5%0.05USame trip—
5VERY GIFTED6.08.5%8.1%-0.4%-0.00U—
8HIGH STATUS8.06.6%7.8%+1.2%0.85PRising figsTag dropSame trip—
4TIZ GENERAL8.06.6%7.6%+1.0%0.76EPSame trip—
3HONOR AND COURAGE10.05.4%5.8%+0.4%0.53CRising figs—
14DITLIHI10.05.4%5.8%+0.4%0.46CRising figsMSW → MCL—
7CHASING EM10.05.4%5.3%-0.1%0.09CRising figsTag dropSame trip—
13TRIXIE BARRY8.06.6%5.2%-1.4%-0.76CTag dropSame trip—
11HARBORCOAT12.04.6%4.6%+0.1%0.26UBarn changeSame trip—
1MAMBO MAN20.02.8%2.4%-0.4%-0.41CRising figsLed last—
6BLAME THROWER20.02.8%2.2%-0.6%-0.83USame trip—
15SMART N CENTSIBLE20.02.8%2.1%-0.7%-0.90UTrouble lastTop last paceSame trip—
10MYSTERICAL30.01.9%1.8%-0.1%-0.00U—
9FARAZ30.01.9%1.4%-0.5%-1.07CSame trip—