IND R2 · 2026-09-30

PASSD1760yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find IND R2 · 2026-09-30 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1

Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#8START THE DISCOUU
C2#4TOLL BOOTH WILLYUU
C3#1THOUSAND BYUSUU
C4#6CYTOWN TIMEUU
C5#3MARVEL MANUU
C6#9EPICALUU
C7#2POWER OF VINOUU
C8#5INTOLOUNUU
C9#7KNICKS WARRIORC

A · Likely — expected flow

No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.

Helps — · hurts —

B · Pressure — duel / honest

A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.

Helps #7 KNICKS WARRIOR · hurts —

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 KNICKS WARRIOR).

Helps #7 KNICKS WARRIOR · hurts —

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
8	START THE DISCOCARRASCO VICTOR R	2.5	U	Top last figTop last pace2026-09-19 CD 4f 48.40 Bg MT ft 29/139; 2026-09-07 CD 4f 50.40 B MT ft 10/16 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	MOTT RILEY	Favorite
6	CYTOWN TIMEDE LA CRUZ FERNANDO	3.5	U	—2026-09-25 ELP 5f 62.40 Hg MT ft 8/9; 2026-09-17 ELP 4f 49.40 B MT ft 12/20 · barn: COX BRAD H (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	COX BRAD H	field
3	MARVEL MANPEDROZA MARCELINO	4.0	U	—2026-09-23 IND 5f 61.40 Bg MT ft 8/19; 2026-09-15 IND 4f 48.40 B MT ft 6/55 · barn: COX BRAD H (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	COX BRAD H	field
4	TOLL BOOTH WILLYROMAN EVIN A	6.0	U	—2026-09-12 TP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 25/95; 2026-08-07 TP 4f 47.80 Bg MT ft 2/57 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	GREENHILL JEFF	field
9	EPICALASMUSSEN KEITH J	5.0	U	—2026-09-22 TP 5f 62.20 Bg MT ft 12/19; 2026-09-12 TP 5f 62.00 B MT ft 17/41 · barn: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	ASMUSSEN STEVEN M	field
1	THOUSAND BYUSGUTIERREZ JOSE RAMOS	15.0	U	—2026-09-10 IND 4f 48.80 B MT ft 2/5; 2026-09-02 IND 5f 63.00 Bg MT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	FOSDICK STEVE	field
5	INTOLOUNACHARD ALEX	12.0	U	—2026-09-25 ELP 4f 49.20 B MT ft 20/56; 2026-09-05 CD 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 61/166 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	MOTT RILEY	field
7	KNICKS WARRIORHAZLEWOOD YEDSIT	15.0	C	2nd off layoff2026-09-25 CD 4f 49.00 B MT ft 38/69; 2026-09-09 CDT 4f 49.20 B MT ft 7/14 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	MCCARTHY MICHAEL W	field
2	POWER OF VINOESQUIVEL EMMANUEL	20.0	U	—2026-09-20 CDT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 19/38; 2026-08-29 CNL 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 6/20 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	SIMMS MARK JR	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed

RACEIND R2 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt route · Md Sp Wt
SHAPEPace unknown — debut-heavy field, crawl likely; bias favors inside posts, chalk draws post 8
CHALKFavorite#8 START THE DISCO · short (2.5 ML) · best fig/pace in field but post 8 on a confirmed inside-rail track is a structural problem
LEANWinner call#8 START THE DISCO · strongest measurable credentials in the field despite the post disadvantage
PRIMEDnone (KNICKS WARRIOR flag is one signal only; form/signal scores are bottom of field)
PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlays; sheet rec PASS)
PLAYPrice ticketPASS
KILLIf any debut fires early and clears from an inside post, the chalk's post-8 trip on a rail-biased track gets ugly fast
MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, pedigree details on five debuts, rider changes

Why

Dirt route maiden special weight at IND, nine starters including five first-time starters, high volatility given debut-heavy field and a pace map that is nearly all unknown.

Shape is unknowable — eight of nine horses have no call-data, so the crawl/duel question is open; chalk #8 START THE DISCO (2.5 ML) is the lone experienced runner with the top fig and top late pace in the field but draws post 8 on a track showing a hard inside-rail bias with zero wins from posts 8+ in the 30-day sample.

No horse reaches the two-flag PRIMED threshold that also has a price: #7 KNICKS WARRIOR has the 2nd-off-layoff flag but carries the worst signal/form scores in the field, finished 12th in its return, and is a C-only horse on a pace map that projects no duel.

```
```

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
8	START THE DISCO	2.5	22.6%	29.4%	+6.9%	1.44	U	favoriteTop last figTop last pace	—
6	CYTOWN TIME	3.5	17.5%	16.0%	-1.6%	0.00	U		—
3	MARVEL MAN	4.0	15.8%	14.4%	-1.4%	0.00	U		—
4	TOLL BOOTH WILLY	6.0	11.3%	12.6%	+1.3%	0.81	U		—
9	EPICAL	5.0	13.2%	12.0%	-1.2%	0.00	U		—
1	THOUSAND BYUS	15.0	4.9%	4.9%	-0.0%	0.36	U		—
5	INTOLOUN	12.0	6.1%	4.6%	-1.5%	-0.76	U		—
7	KNICKS WARRIOR	15.0	4.9%	3.3%	-1.7%	-1.28	C	2nd off layoff	—
2	POWER OF VINO	20.0	3.8%	3.0%	-0.8%	-0.57	U		—