RP R4 · 2026-09-27
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find RP R4 · 2026-09-27 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#7 #5 #3 #6)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7JOHNE
- C2#5BROADWAY APPEALE
- C3#3PASA DOBLEE
- C4#6WOODSPOINTEP
- C5#4ALGEBRAP
- C6#1MCMUSICS
- C7#2WHIPC
Honest pace among #7 JOHN and #5 BROADWAY APPEAL and #3 PASA DOBLE and #6 WOODSPOINT. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 ALGEBRA, #1 MCMUSIC · hurts #7 JOHN, #5 BROADWAY APPEAL, #3 PASA DOBLE, #6 WOODSPOINT
Pressure: #7 JOHN and #5 BROADWAY APPEAL and #3 PASA DOBLE and #6 WOODSPOINT hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 ALGEBRA, #1 MCMUSIC · hurts #7 JOHN, #5 BROADWAY APPEAL, #3 PASA DOBLE, #6 WOODSPOINT
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 MCMUSIC, #2 WHIP).
Helps #1 MCMUSIC, #2 WHIP · hurts #7 JOHN, #5 BROADWAY APPEAL, #3 PASA DOBLE, #6 WOODSPOINT
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | JOHNQUINONEZ B | 2.5 | E | 2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip2026-08-19 RP 4f 49.80 H MT ft 14/50; 2026-08-05 RP 3f 40.20 H MT ft 16/19 · barn: same as last | sClm5000b → Clm 5000b | BUEHRER MARK W | Favorite |
| 4 | ALGEBRAELLIOTT S | 3.0 | P | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-12 LAD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 8/55; 2026-07-28 LAD 4f 51.40 B MT ft 19/21 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → Clm 5000b | JACKS KAREN E | field |
| 6 | WOODSPOINTBACON TYLER W | 4.0 | EP | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-08-08 PRM 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/8; 2026-06-22 PRM 3f 36.00 B MT ft 2/10 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n3l → Clm 5000b | FLORES OSCAR | field |
| 5 | BROADWAY APPEALVALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO | 4.5 | E | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-19 RP 4f 50.20 H MT ft 61/94; 2026-07-22 PRM 5f 65.00 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n1y → Clm 5000b | FLORES OSCAR | field |
| 3 | PASA DOBLECABRERA DAVID | 5.0 | E | Barn changeTop last paceSame trip2026-09-19 RP 3f 38.20 H MT ft 17/32; 2026-08-28 RP 4f 47.80 H MT ft 3/48 · barn: change vs COUGHLIN CHRIS | Clm5000b → Clm 5000b | CASTER BOYD | field |
| 1 | MCMUSICFRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI | 10.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-29 RP 3f 39.00 H MT ft 34/45; 2026-08-13 RP 5f 62.40 H MT ft 4/12 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → Clm 5000b | CORDERMAN SCOTT | field |
| 2 | WHIPGONCALVES LEANDRO R | 12.0 | C | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip2026-03-15 WRD 3f 36.00 H MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-02-24 WRD 4f 50.20 H MT ft 17/45 · barn: same as last | sClm5000b → Clm 5000b | HALE JAMES VICTOR | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACERP R4 · 2026-09-27 · D / 1100y / Clm 5000b
- SHAPEWall of speed (#7 #5 #3 #6) guarantees honest-to-brutal early fractions; stalkers and closers inherit if it melts
- CHALKFavorite#7 JOHN · short (2.5 ML, post 7, outermost of a four-way speed war) · opposable on pace shape alone
- LEANWinner call#7 JOHN · top fig, top signal, 2nd-off-layoff, but the pace map is against him; still most likely to survive if the others lose more
- PRIMED#2 WHIP (2nd-off-layoff + trouble last — 3-wide, in tight, never asked; rail draw helps today)
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlay on the sheet)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#7 clears cleanly from post 7 and the duel never materializes; or #2 WHIP gets buried on the rail in a crowd at the break
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint claiming at RP, field of seven, speed-heavy and noisy — moderate-to-high volatility for a cheap claimer. Wall of early speed (#7, #5, #3, #6) sets up a duel/meltdown shape; chalk #7 JOHN (2.5 ML) is the model's top horse but exits post 7 into a speed war that could burn him up. #2 WHIP is the only primed horse (2nd-off-layoff + trouble last at 3-wide in tight), draws rail post 2, closes into whatever pace carnage develops, and the trainer's claiming/sprint ROI is marginally positive — but the model edge is negative and no price overlay exists on the sheet.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | JOHN | 2.5 | 22.8% | 29.5% | +6.7% | 1.38 | E | favorite2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip | — |
| 4 | ALGEBRA | 3.0 | 20.0% | 20.6% | +0.6% | 0.48 | P | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 6 | WOODSPOINT | 4.0 | 16.0% | 14.7% | -1.2% | 0.03 | EP | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | BROADWAY APPEAL | 4.5 | 14.5% | 14.0% | -0.5% | 0.22 | E | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 3 | PASA DOBLE | 5.0 | 13.3% | 11.5% | -1.9% | -0.24 | E | Barn changeTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | MCMUSIC | 10.0 | 7.3% | 5.1% | -2.2% | -1.08 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | WHIP | 12.0 | 6.1% | 4.6% | -1.5% | -0.80 | C | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip | — |