closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

DEL R8 · 2026-10-07

WATCHT1100y1 price overlay(s)2 readyPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R8 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#1 #8 #6 #4 #3 #2 #9)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#1DUBOFFE
  2. C2#8MUDSLIDEE
  3. C3#6HOWLEREP
  4. C4#4KEYSTONE STATEEP
  5. C5#3DRINK THIS CUPEP
  6. C6#2ONYX TENEP
  7. C7#10OBSTREPEROUSP
  8. C8#11NOQUESTIONABOUTITP
  9. C9#5SASSAFRASSNESSP
  10. C10#9IMAGINE ERINEP
  11. C11#7AUNT JOS
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #1 DUBOFF and #8 MUDSLIDE and #6 HOWLER and #4 KEYSTONE STATE and #3 DRINK THIS CUP and #2 ONYX TEN and #9 IMAGINE ERIN. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #10 OBSTREPEROUS, #11 NOQUESTIONABOUTIT, #5 SASSAFRASSNESS, #7 AUNT JO · hurts #1 DUBOFF, #8 MUDSLIDE, #6 HOWLER, #4 KEYSTONE STATE, #3 DRINK THIS CUP, #2 ONYX TEN, #9 IMAGINE ERIN

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #1 DUBOFF and #8 MUDSLIDE and #6 HOWLER and #4 KEYSTONE STATE and #3 DRINK THIS CUP and #2 ONYX TEN and #9 IMAGINE ERIN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #10 OBSTREPEROUS, #11 NOQUESTIONABOUTIT, #5 SASSAFRASSNESS, #7 AUNT JO · hurts #1 DUBOFF, #8 MUDSLIDE, #6 HOWLER, #4 KEYSTONE STATE, #3 DRINK THIS CUP, #2 ONYX TEN, #9 IMAGINE ERIN

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 AUNT JO).

Helps #7 AUNT JO · hurts #1 DUBOFF, #8 MUDSLIDE, #6 HOWLER, #4 KEYSTONE STATE, #3 DRINK THIS CUP, #2 ONYX TEN, #9 IMAGINE ERIN

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
11NOQUESTIONABOUTITRUIZ JORGE2.0PClass dropSame trip2026-09-26 FAI 4f 48.40 B TT ft 4/48; 2026-09-19 FAI 4f 48.80 B TT ft 6/32 · barn: same as lastfAlw77400n1x → OClm 32000bTROMBETTA MICHAEL JFavorite
1DUBOFFLOPEZ PASCACIO3.0ELed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-10-01 DEL 3f 37.40 B MT ft 3/8; 2026-09-19 DEL 3f 37.20 B MT ft 6/32 · barn: same as lastfOC20000n1x → OClm 32000bSACCO GREGORY Doverlay
10OBSTREPEROUSCHEMINAUD VINCENT3.0PSame trip2026-10-02 DEL 3f 37.00 B MT ft 3/14; 2026-09-12 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/54 · barn: same as lastfIncblRvngB100k → OClm 32000bSIMONE MICHAEL Vfield
2ONYX TENROSARIO EMANUEL3.0EPSame trip2026-09-30 DEL 4f 48.40 B MT ft 6/34; 2026-09-04 DEL 5f 61.40 B MT ft 3/11 · barn: same as lastfrTxFreDstfH125k → OClm 32000bCAPUANO GARY Afield
5SASSAFRASSNESSRODRIGUEZ JAMIE4.0PTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-12 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 6/47; 2026-05-04 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as lastfrTxFreDstfH125k → OClm 32000bNESS JAMIEfield
3DRINK THIS CUPCEDENO CAROL6.0EPRising figsSame trip2026-10-01 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/21; 2026-09-18 DEL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 4/22 · barn: same as lastfOC30000n2x → OClm 32000bSTIDHAM MICHAELfield
6HOWLERVARGAS JOSE E12.0EPRising figsClass dropSame trip2026-09-25 FAI 4f 49.80 B MT ft 7/18; 2026-08-29 FAI 4f 51.00 B MT ft 20/20 · barn: same as lastfAlw46500n1x → OClm 32000bLYNCH CATHALprimed
4KEYSTONE STATEBATISTA JOSE A10.0EPSame trip2026-10-02 FAI 4f 49.80 B MT ft 8/17; 2026-09-25 FAI 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/18 · barn: same as lastfOC32000n2x → OClm 32000bLYNCH CATHALfield
8MUDSLIDEVILLASMIL EDGAR10.0ETrouble lastClass dropSame trip2026-10-03 DEL 3f 40.40 B MT gd 3/4; 2026-08-01 DEL 4f 52.20 B MT ft 44/52 · barn: same as lastfAlw55620nc → OClm 32000bDEITER KELLY LYNNprimed
9IMAGINE ERINHERNANDEZ JORGE F15.0EPRising figsLed lastSame trip2026-06-17 MTH 4f 50.60 Bg MT ft 3/7; 2026-05-03 MTH 4f 50.40 Bg MT ft 56/65 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → OClm 32000bBERTONE JOANNfield
7AUNT JOYANCAPALLO GOMOCIO SHIRLE20.0SSame trip2026-04-14 PRX 4f 50.40 B MT ft 14/18; 2026-03-31 PRX 4f 51.20 B MT ft 18/21 · barn: same as lastfClm16000b → OClm 32000bBERTONE JOANNfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEDEL R8 · 2026-10-07 · T 1100y OClm 32000b
  2. SHAPEWall of speed duel (7 pressers) favors stalkers; inside-rail bias hurts wide early types; post 11 chalk in wrong spot
  3. CHALKFavorite#11 NOQUESTIONABOUTIT · opposable · post 11 outside on an inside-rail bias, P style gets dragged into the duel, recent figs (76-78) below its 2025 peak
  4. LEANWinner call#10 OBSTREPEROUS · highest figs in field (95, 88, 86), proven presser/stalker, draws post 10 but has enough class from stakes company to handle the duel price
  5. PRIMED#6 HOWLER (rising figs +18, class drop ALW→CLM, path in A/B sitting mid-pack); #8 MUDSLIDE (trouble last, class drop, but turf win% near zero — use cautiously)
  6. PRICE#1 DUBOFF edge 0.025 per model; no other non-chalk overlay on the sheet
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the one model overlay is #1 DUBOFF (E style, post 1, inside-rail speed), but it faces six other pressers and its pace profile (collapses when hooked, see SAR and TAM 1760y lines) makes it a bounce risk in a duel; no non-chalk horse clears price + path + confidence threshold
  8. KILLOff-turf switch voids the shape entirely; inside-rail bias reversing (wet ground) flips the pace map; late scratch of a need-the-lead type clears lone speed and rescues the chalk
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/going report, rider changes not on PP lines

Why

Turf sprint at a claiming level (OClm 32k) with a wall of seven early/pressers in an 11-horse field — volatility high. The shape is an extreme pressure duel that favors deep-sitters (#10, #11, #7), with chalk #11 NOQUESTIONABOUTIT dropping from allowance and drawing an outside post (11) into a speed-biased inside rail track, blunting its advantages. Primed #8 MUDSLIDE has trouble last (squeezed, forced 3-wide) and a class drop, but its trainer is near-zero on turf (3.5% w) and its last fig (57) on the surface is alarming — while primed #6 HOWLER shows a genuine 18-point fig spike to 84 and a real allowance-to-claimer drop, though post 6 on an inside-rail turf bias is workable and it has a path sitting just off the duel in scenarios A and B.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#1 DUBOFF+2.5%ML 3.0Led lastTop last paceSame trip
Sign in to bet

Ready, not overlaid

#6 HOWLERML 12.0Rising figsClass dropSame trip
#8 MUDSLIDEML 10.0Trouble lastClass dropSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
11NOQUESTIONABOUTIT2.018.6%17.7%-0.8%0.07PfavoriteClass dropSame trip—
1DUBOFF3.013.9%16.5%+2.5%0.92ELed lastTop last paceSame trip—
10OBSTREPEROUS3.013.9%15.7%+1.8%0.74PSame trip—
2ONYX TEN3.013.9%13.9%+0.0%0.26EPSame trip—
5SASSAFRASSNESS4.011.1%10.0%-1.2%-0.19PTrouble lastSame trip—
3DRINK THIS CUP6.08.0%8.1%+0.2%0.33EPRising figsSame trip—
6HOWLER12.04.3%4.6%+0.3%0.55EPRising figsClass dropSame trip—
4KEYSTONE STATE10.05.1%4.5%-0.5%-0.20EPSame trip—
8MUDSLIDE10.05.1%4.4%-0.6%-0.29ETrouble lastClass dropSame trip—
9IMAGINE ERIN15.03.5%2.8%-0.7%-0.64EPRising figsLed lastSame trip—
7AUNT JO20.02.7%1.7%-1.0%-1.54SSame trip—