FL R4 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FL R4 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#4 vs #6)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4LADY SERENITYE
- C2#6PRINCESS WADADLIEP
- C3#5ZHEN LOUP
- C4#1MISCHIEVOUS TRICKP
- C5#2KAZ MUSICC
- C6#3MARILYNS NY PRIDEC
- C7#7LA INDECENTEC
Honest pace among #4 LADY SERENITY and #6 PRINCESS WADADLI. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 ZHEN LOU, #1 MISCHIEVOUS TRICK · hurts #4 LADY SERENITY, #6 PRINCESS WADADLI
Pressure: #4 LADY SERENITY and #6 PRINCESS WADADLI hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 ZHEN LOU, #1 MISCHIEVOUS TRICK · hurts #4 LADY SERENITY, #6 PRINCESS WADADLI
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 KAZ MUSIC, #3 MARILYNS NY PRIDE, #7 LA INDECENTE).
Helps #2 KAZ MUSIC, #3 MARILYNS NY PRIDE, #7 LA INDECENTE · hurts #4 LADY SERENITY, #6 PRINCESS WADADLI
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LADY SERENITYWORRIE ANDRE SHIVNARINE | 2.5 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-04 FL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 5/31; 2026-07-06 FL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 17/23 · barn: same as last | fOC8000 → OClm 10000n2x | ENGLEHART CHRIS | Favorite |
| 6 | PRINCESS WADADLIELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER | 3.0 | EP | Class dropSame trip2026-09-23 SAR 4f 51.20 B TT ft 39/44; 2026-09-16 SAR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 15/17 · barn: same as last | fAlw25500b → OClm 10000n2x | FALCONE ROBERT N JR | field |
| 1 | MISCHIEVOUS TRICKCOA KEIBER J | 3.5 | P | Same trip2026-09-22 FL 5f 62.20 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-09-11 FL 5f 61.20 B MT ft 2/9 · barn: same as last | fOC30000n2y → OClm 10000n2x | FERRARO M ANTHONY | field |
| 3 | MARILYNS NY PRIDEGOMEZ O | 4.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip2026-09-19 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/19; 2026-09-11 FL 5f 60.00 B MT ft bullet 1/9 · barn: same as last | fsAlw24500n1x → OClm 10000n2x | SHAFFER RICHARD | primed |
| 2 | KAZ MUSICDAVILA M A JR | 6.0 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-27 FL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/9; 2026-08-17 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as last | fOC8000 → OClm 10000n2x | MURPHY TIMOTHY P | field |
| 5 | ZHEN LOUDE DIEGO EMANUEL | 10.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSame trip2026-08-10 FL 4f 53.00 B MT ft 10/12; 2026-07-18 FL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 19/26 · barn: same as last | fClm11000b → OClm 10000n2x | D'ALESSANDRO RALPH | field |
| 7 | LA INDECENTERENGIFO WLADIMIR | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-23 FL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/42; 2026-05-11 FL 4f 48.40 B MT ft 7/26 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → OClm 10000n2x | FERRARO M ANTHONY | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFL R4 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1320y · OClm 10000n2x
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#4 vs #6) · speed/inside bias · closers need the duel to fire
- CHALKFavorite#4 LADY SERENITY · solid but short · top fig, top pace, won last two, clean trip
- LEANWinner call#4 LADY SERENITY · best fig, best pace, proven at this track/dist; duel risk is real but she has handled pressure before
- PRIMED#3 MARILYNS NY PRIDE · rising figs (77→78→80), 3rd start cycle, class drop from n1x ALW — needs #4/#6 to hook up
- PRICEnone (model overlays chalk only; #3 is below ML fair, no non-chalk overlay on the sheet)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#6 clears cleanly without pressure, or #3 gets buried on the rail in a speed-biased sprint
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint claiming field at Finger Lakes, OClm 10k with a speed and inside bias, moderate-to-high volatility given the duel shape and closer-heavy field. The chalk #4 LADY SERENITY (2.5 ML) owns the best figs and lone-speed role but faces a real threat from #6 PRINCESS WADADLI in a two-speed duel that could drain them both. #3 MARILYNS NY PRIDE is primed on three flags (rising figs, third start of cycle, class drop) and owns sharp recent works, but as a closer needs the duel to materialize and faces an inside-post disadvantage in a rail-biased sprint. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LADY SERENITY | 2.5 | 22.8% | 28.2% | +5.4% | 1.22 | E | favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | PRINCESS WADADLI | 3.0 | 19.9% | 19.7% | -0.3% | 0.31 | EP | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | MISCHIEVOUS TRICK | 3.5 | 17.7% | 18.6% | +0.8% | 0.55 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | MARILYNS NY PRIDE | 4.0 | 15.9% | 14.6% | -1.4% | -0.00 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | KAZ MUSIC | 6.0 | 11.4% | 9.6% | -1.8% | -0.32 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 5 | ZHEN LOU | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.4% | -0.9% | -0.15 | P | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | LA INDECENTE | 15.0 | 5.0% | 3.0% | -1.9% | -1.60 | C | Same trip | — |