RP R10 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find RP R10 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1NO NAME NECESSARYUU
- C2#6PASS THE ROSESP
- C3#12THE BIRDMANS
- C4#7HES THE GOATS
- C5#5MAGICAL MAXS
- C6#11KALUKIS
- C7#3SAGEBRUSH RUNNERC
- C8#13DI RISATA MOLTOC
- C9#2BANCHEROS
- C10#9GOSPEL UPC
- C11#10TURBO ROCKETS
- C12#4BUY ME ANOTHERC
- C13#8FISHIN ON THE ICEC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #6 PASS THE ROSES, #12 THE BIRDMAN, #7 HES THE GOAT, #5 MAGICAL MAX, #11 KALUKI, #2 BANCHERO, #10 TURBO ROCKET · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #6 PASS THE ROSES, #12 THE BIRDMAN, #7 HES THE GOAT, #5 MAGICAL MAX, #11 KALUKI, #2 BANCHERO, #10 TURBO ROCKET · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#12 THE BIRDMAN, #7 HES THE GOAT, #5 MAGICAL MAX, #11 KALUKI, #3 SAGEBRUSH RUNNER, #13 DI RISATA MOLTO, #2 BANCHERO, #9 GOSPEL UP, #10 TURBO ROCKET, #4 BUY ME ANOTHER, #8 FISHIN ON THE ICE).
Helps #12 THE BIRDMAN, #7 HES THE GOAT, #5 MAGICAL MAX, #11 KALUKI, #3 SAGEBRUSH RUNNER, #13 DI RISATA MOLTO, #2 BANCHERO, #9 GOSPEL UP, #10 TURBO ROCKET, #4 BUY ME ANOTHER, #8 FISHIN ON THE ICE · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | PASS THE ROSESASMUSSEN ERIK | 2.5 | P | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-27 RP 4f 53.80 H MT ft 13/13; 2026-08-07 RP 4f 50.40 H MT ft 44/80 · barn: same as last | sMd7500 → Md 7500 | ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | Favorite |
| 3 | SAGEBRUSH RUNNERDIEGO I V | 4.5 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-10-03 RP 4f 50.80 H MT ft 59/94; 2026-09-25 RP 5f 62.40 H MT ft 4/8 · barn: same as last | sMd10000 → Md 7500 | BRAVO FRANCISCO | primed |
| 2 | BANCHEROCABRERA DAVID | 5.0 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-23 RP 4f 48.20 H MT ft 7/31; 2026-08-28 RP 3f 38.00 H MT ft 4/15 · barn: same as last | sMd10000 → Md 7500 | TROUT C R | primed |
| 13 | DI RISATA MOLTOHUCKABY RONNIE | 6.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-12 RP 4f 50.60 H MT ft 24/48; 2026-07-27 PRM 4f 49.20 B MT ft 5/8 · barn: same as last | sMd7500 → Md 7500 | SWAN PATRICK E | primed |
| 11 | KALUKIGONCALVES LEANDRO R | 8.0 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-09-30 RP 5f 62.60 H MT ft 8/9; 2026-09-19 RP 5f 62.40 H MT ft 16/27 · barn: same as last | sMd10000 → Md 7500 | CRADDOCK KARI | primed |
| 12 | THE BIRDMANVALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO | 10.0 | S | Same trip2026-10-06 RP 3f 36.60 H MT ft 2/7; 2026-07-12 LS 3f 39.40 B MT ft 17/17 · barn: same as last | sMd7500 → Md 7500 | CASTELLANOS JAIME | field |
| 8 | FISHIN ON THE ICEWISEMAN ISAIAH | 15.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-22 RP 4f 49.40 H MT ft 13/26; 2026-08-09 CBY 4f 48.80 B MT ft 3/28 · barn: same as last | sMd10000v → Md 7500 | HANSON VIC | primed |
| 5 | MAGICAL MAXERAMIA RICHARD E | 20.0 | S | Same trip2026-10-02 RP 4f 52.80 H MT ft 35/37; 2026-08-11 RP 4f 50.00 H MT ft 31/64 · barn: same as last | sMd10000 → Md 7500 | LEE MARK | field |
| 7 | HES THE GOATFUENTES MARIO | 20.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-30 RP 3f 40.60 H MT ft 13/13; 2026-08-10 RP 4f 51.80 H MT ft 13/13 · barn: same as last | sMd10000 → Md 7500 | RODRIGUEZ MARTI | field |
| 9 | GOSPEL UPZABALA EMANUEL CASTILLO | 20.0 | C | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-08-14 RP 3f 39.80 H MT ft 28/30; 2026-08-04 RP 4f 50.00 H MT ft 22/41 · barn: same as last | sMd7500 → Md 7500 | WILLIAMS STEVE F | field |
| 1 | NO NAME NECESSARYJARA FERNANDO | 20.0 | U | Top last paceSame trip2026-09-18 RP 4f 50.00 H MT ft 23/42; 2026-09-11 RP 4f 50.00 Hg MT ft 33/46 · barn: same as last | sMd20000 → Md 7500 | YOUNG SCOTT E | field |
| 10 | TURBO ROCKETHUAMAN LUIS A | 30.0 | S | Same trip2026-08-14 WRD 4f 51.60 H MT ft 1/1; 2026-06-10 FMT 3f 39.80 Hg MT ft 4/4 · barn: same as last | sMd20000 → Md 7500 | DONALDSON JERRY | field |
| 4 | BUY ME ANOTHERQUINONEZ B | 30.0 | C | MSW → MCLSame trip2026-05-17 CBY 3f 37.60 B MT ft 6/13; 2026-04-09 WRD 4f 54.80 H MT ft 6/6 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md 7500 | HANSON VIC | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACERP R10 · 2026-10-09 · D 1320y Md7500
- SHAPENo dedicated early speed, crawl likely, stalkers and pressers favored; inside rail bias (Posts 1-3 win 57%, Posts 8+ win 0%)
- CHALKFavorite#6 PASS THE ROSES · short/usable — top fig (57), Asmussen, pace path in A/B, but 2.5 ML on a crawl map with a tired-late last line and rail-disadvantaged post 6
- LEANWinner call#3 SAGEBRUSH RUNNER · rising figs, 2nd off layoff, class drop, inside post, sustained bid last out
- PRIMED#3 SAGEBRUSH RUNNER (rising_figs, second_off_layoff, class drop, inside post); #2 BANCHERO (rising_figs, second_off_layoff, class drop, stalker); #11 KALUKI (rising_figs, second_off_layoff, led last, class drop); #13 DI RISATA MOLTO (rising_figs, third_start_cycle); #8 FISHIN ON THE ICE (rising_figs, second_off_layoff, class drop — pace negative flags)
- PRICENo non-chalk overlays on the brief (model edge on all non-chalk horses is ≤ 0.004 or negative)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLLive tote shortens #3 toward chalk territory; a surprise early type materializes and converts the crawl map into honest pace that benefits #6; inside rail bias is off on a wet or harrowed surface
- MISSINGLive tote (morning line only), official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden claimer at RP, 13-horse field, crawl-likely pace map with no dedicated early speed and an inside rail bias — high volatility, noisy cheap field. Chalk #6 PASS THE ROSES (2.5 ML) is the top fig holder and legitimate pace threat from post 6, but the no-pace shape invites stalkers to dictate and the ROI history on Asmussen chalk is punishing. Among the primed horses, #3 SAGEBRUSH RUNNER (4.5 ML) stands out: rising figs (+20 last out), second off a 334-day layoff, class drop from sMd10000, draws post 3 into the inside rail bias, and showed a sustained five-wide bid last out that the finish position (2nd) only partially rewards — however the model edge is negligible (0.004) and no non-chalk price overlay exists on this sheet.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | PASS THE ROSES | 2.5 | 22.0% | 25.8% | +3.7% | 1.02 | P | favoriteRising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | SAGEBRUSH RUNNER | 4.5 | 14.0% | 14.4% | +0.4% | 0.50 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | BANCHERO | 5.0 | 12.9% | 12.2% | -0.6% | 0.19 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 13 | DI RISATA MOLTO | 6.0 | 11.0% | 12.1% | +1.0% | 0.75 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 11 | KALUKI | 8.0 | 8.6% | 8.4% | -0.2% | 0.30 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip | — |
| 12 | THE BIRDMAN | 10.0 | 7.0% | 6.8% | -0.2% | 0.27 | S | Same trip | — |
| 8 | FISHIN ON THE ICE | 15.0 | 4.8% | 3.7% | -1.1% | -0.66 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 5 | MAGICAL MAX | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.5% | -0.1% | 0.26 | S | Same trip | — |
| 7 | HES THE GOAT | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.4% | -0.3% | 0.09 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 9 | GOSPEL UP | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.3% | -0.4% | -0.06 | C | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | NO NAME NECESSARY | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.1% | -0.6% | -0.26 | U | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 10 | TURBO ROCKET | 30.0 | 2.5% | 1.8% | -0.7% | -0.90 | S | Same trip | — |
| 4 | BUY ME ANOTHER | 30.0 | 2.5% | 1.6% | -0.9% | -1.50 | C | MSW → MCLSame trip | — |