Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LRL R6 · 2026-10-04 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#3 #8 #4 #13 #6 #14)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#3CURLY DIVININGE
  2. C2#8SNOWBOARDEREP
  3. C3#4MEREDITHSLIGHTNINGEP
  4. C4#13FORTY SEVEN SMOKEREP
  5. C5#6FINAL MOMENTEP
  6. C6#14ADIOS MARILYNEP
  7. C7#10BABY QUEENUU
  8. C8#12DARING DELIGHTP
  9. C9#2HAIL NOP
  10. C10#9BROADWAY MUSICALP
  11. C11#7PAYNTED BY NANCYP
  12. C12#1DASH DASH DOTC
  13. C13#11TAKE ON THE JEWELSUU
  14. C14#15ALLABOUTSASSYC
  15. C15#5GOTTA BE DA SHOESC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #3 CURLY DIVINING and #8 SNOWBOARDER and #4 MEREDITHSLIGHTNING and #13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKER and #6 FINAL MOMENT and #14 ADIOS MARILYN. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #12 DARING DELIGHT, #2 HAIL NO, #9 BROADWAY MUSICAL, #7 PAYNTED BY NANCY · hurts #3 CURLY DIVINING, #8 SNOWBOARDER, #4 MEREDITHSLIGHTNING, #13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKER, #6 FINAL MOMENT, #14 ADIOS MARILYN

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #3 CURLY DIVINING and #8 SNOWBOARDER and #4 MEREDITHSLIGHTNING and #13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKER and #6 FINAL MOMENT and #14 ADIOS MARILYN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #12 DARING DELIGHT, #2 HAIL NO, #9 BROADWAY MUSICAL, #7 PAYNTED BY NANCY · hurts #3 CURLY DIVINING, #8 SNOWBOARDER, #4 MEREDITHSLIGHTNING, #13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKER, #6 FINAL MOMENT, #14 ADIOS MARILYN

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 DASH DASH DOT, #15 ALLABOUTSASSY, #5 GOTTA BE DA SHOES).

Helps #1 DASH DASH DOT, #15 ALLABOUTSASSY, #5 GOTTA BE DA SHOES · hurts #3 CURLY DIVINING, #8 SNOWBOARDER, #4 MEREDITHSLIGHTNING, #13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKER, #6 FINAL MOMENT, #14 ADIOS MARILYN

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
9BROADWAY MUSICALBEATO INOEL2.5PRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-07-31 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 8/17; 2026-07-20 PEN 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/11 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000MCCLELLAN ERIN CFavorite
3CURLY DIVININGBRICENO LEANDRO M5.0E3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-26 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 18/109; 2026-08-13 LRL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 13/18 · barn: same as lastfMd25000 → Md 16000SALZMAN JOHN E JRprimed
5GOTTA BE DA SHOESRODRIGUEZ JAMIE4.5C—2026-07-26 LRL 3f 37.60 B MT ft 23/34; 2026-06-26 LRL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 15/24 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000DILODOVICO DAMON Rfield
2HAIL NOKARAMANOS H A6.0PSame trip2026-07-18 CNL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 20/28; 2026-06-25 CNL 4f 47.60 B MT ft 3/22 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000PAYNE C BEALEfield
4MEREDITHSLIGHTNINGKINGSLEY TAYLOR6.0EPSame trip2026-08-22 LRL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 15/18; 2026-05-31 LRL 4f 50.60 B MT ft 68/79 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000KEIL CAITLINfield
8SNOWBOARDERRODRIGUEZ RONALDO8.0EPRising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-23 LRL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 42/43; 2026-08-16 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 61/69 · barn: same as lastfMd12500 → Md 16000ALLEN A FERRIS IIIfield
11TAKE ON THE JEWELSGOMEZ KEVIN6.0USame trip2026-08-30 LRL 5f 62.00 B MT ft 6/9; 2026-08-22 LRL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 13/18 · barn: same as lastfMd25000 → Md 16000KEIL CAITLINfield
13FORTY SEVEN SMOKERCRUZ ANGEL8.0EPRising figsTrouble lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-28 FAI 4f 47.80 B TT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-07-24 FAI 3f 35.00 B TT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as lastfMd12500 → Md 16000SHUMAN MARKprimed
12DARING DELIGHTLYAPUSTINA TAIS10.0P3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-25 LRL 4f 52.00 B MT ft 53/54; 2026-08-20 LRL 4f 50.60 B MT ft 16/25 · barn: same as lastfMd40000 → Md 16000KJELSTRUP EVELINEfield
7PAYNTED BY NANCYRUIZ JORGE10.0PLed last2026-08-22 WLN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-06-26 WLN 5f 62.00 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000COONEY SUSAN Sfield
14ADIOS MARILYNGOMEZ KEVIN15.0EPRising figsSame trip2026-09-12 LRL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 11/49; 2026-08-15 LRL 4f 51.40 B MT ft 26/27 · barn: same as lastfMd35000 → Md 16000RAWLINGS AMANDA COLLEENfield
10BABY QUEENROSARIO EMANUEL20.0UMSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip2026-09-25 CNL 4f 53.40 B MT ft 13/13; 2026-08-30 CNL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 26/39 · barn: change vs AZPURUA EDUARDO JRfMdSpWt → Md 16000SALAZAR MARCOfield
6FINAL MOMENTLOPEZ CARLOS EDUARDO30.0EPRising figsSame trip2026-08-20 CNL 4f 48.00 B MT ft 2/16; 2026-07-26 CNL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 52/80 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000PAYNE C BEALEfield
1DASH DASH DOTHESS SARA30.0CTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-23 LRL 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 15/43; 2026-07-30 LRL 3f 36.60 B MT ft 6/15 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000LEAF ROBERT IIIfield
15ALLABOUTSASSYVARGAS JOSE E30.0C—2026-09-26 LRL 5f 65.60 B MT ft 31/31; 2026-09-20 LRL 5f 64.40 B MT ft 17/18 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 16000COX KENNETH Mfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACELRL R6 · 2026-10-04 · Turf 1210y Md 16000
  2. SHAPEWall of six early/pressers (#3 #8 #4 #13 #6 #14) guarantees pressure-extreme pace; stalkers and closers benefit in A and B
  3. CHALKFavorite#9 BROADWAY MUSICAL · short (2.5-1) · usable but short — rising fig, 3rd-start cycle, exact return trip, but no overlay and pace map is against the speed side she presses
  4. LEANWinner call#9 BROADWAY MUSICAL · best composite (rising figs, 3rd-cycle, same trip), but pace pressure is real and she is chalk
  5. PRIMED#3 CURLY DIVINING (3rd-start cycle, trouble last, E-style with a path only if she clears the wall — risky); #13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKER (rising figs, trouble last, bullet work, EP style with a stalking lane in A/B)
  6. PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays exist in this field
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLIf pace collapses early, closers (#1 #15 #5) inherit and the lean evaporates; any scratch among the speed changes the map entirely
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/going, rider changes

Why

Turf sprint maiden claimer at LRL with a 15-horse field and a wall of six early/presser types makes this a high-volatility, pace-meltdown setup where closers and stalkers inherit in Scenarios A and B. The chalk #9 BROADWAY MUSICAL is a presser at 2.5-1 who ran a rising 66 last out on this exact surface/trip but the pace map buries the speed and the model shows no overlay. Neither primed horse (#3 CURLY DIVINING, #13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKER) is a non-chalk overlay — the model edges are positive but both sit inside the no-overlay zone and the sheet rec is PASS.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#3 CURLY DIVININGML 5.03rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip
#13 FORTY SEVEN SMOKERML 8.0Rising figsTrouble lastSharp workSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
9BROADWAY MUSICAL2.517.1%17.5%+0.5%0.31PfavoriteRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip—
3CURLY DIVINING5.010.0%10.2%+0.2%0.30E3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip—
5GOTTA BE DA SHOES4.510.9%9.9%-0.9%-0.15C—
2HAIL NO6.08.5%9.0%+0.5%0.44PSame trip—
4MEREDITHSLIGHTNING6.08.5%8.9%+0.4%0.37EPSame trip—
8SNOWBOARDER8.06.6%8.1%+1.5%1.01EPRising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip—
11TAKE ON THE JEWELS6.08.5%7.7%-0.9%-0.21USame trip—
13FORTY SEVEN SMOKER8.06.6%7.2%+0.6%0.53EPRising figsTrouble lastSharp workSame trip—
12DARING DELIGHT10.05.4%5.4%-0.0%0.19P3rd start cycleSame trip—
7PAYNTED BY NANCY10.05.4%5.3%-0.1%0.11PLed last—
14ADIOS MARILYN15.03.7%4.0%+0.2%0.45EPRising figsSame trip—
10BABY QUEEN20.02.8%2.2%-0.6%-0.76UMSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip—
6FINAL MOMENT30.01.9%1.8%-0.1%-0.08EPRising figsSame trip—
1DASH DASH DOT30.01.9%1.6%-0.3%-0.51CTrouble lastSame trip—
15ALLABOUTSASSY30.01.9%1.1%-0.8%-2.02C—