MNR R7 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R7 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#2 #3 #8 #5)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2PRAIRIE BRATE
- C2#3SPATULAE
- C3#8KNOBIESMAGICSONDEEP
- C4#5PRESLEYS VOLLEYEP
- C5#7COASTALNESSUU
- C6#4HOLLY ROLLERS
- C7#6R CANDYS
- C8#1MOO LIOC
Honest pace among #2 PRAIRIE BRAT and #3 SPATULA and #8 KNOBIESMAGICSONDE and #5 PRESLEYS VOLLEY. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 HOLLY ROLLER, #6 R CANDY · hurts #2 PRAIRIE BRAT, #3 SPATULA, #8 KNOBIESMAGICSONDE, #5 PRESLEYS VOLLEY
Pressure: #2 PRAIRIE BRAT and #3 SPATULA and #8 KNOBIESMAGICSONDE and #5 PRESLEYS VOLLEY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 HOLLY ROLLER, #6 R CANDY · hurts #2 PRAIRIE BRAT, #3 SPATULA, #8 KNOBIESMAGICSONDE, #5 PRESLEYS VOLLEY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 HOLLY ROLLER, #6 R CANDY, #1 MOO LIO).
Helps #4 HOLLY ROLLER, #6 R CANDY, #1 MOO LIO · hurts #2 PRAIRIE BRAT, #3 SPATULA, #8 KNOBIESMAGICSONDE, #5 PRESLEYS VOLLEY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PRAIRIE BRATGILBERT KYLE | 2.0 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-08-05 FP 3f 39.80 B MT ft 10/11; 2026-04-25 WRD 4f 48.80 H MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fClm10000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BROWN JOHN T | Favorite |
| 7 | COASTALNESSLEON JOSE A | 3.5 | U | Led lastTop last paceSame trip2026-04-14 MNR 3f 38.80 B MT ft 15/19; 2025-04-13 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/27 · barn: same as last | fClm3200n2x → Clm 4000n2x | STANOSZEK SARA | overlay |
| 3 | SPATULABATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 3.0 | E | Barn changeSame trip2026-04-10 CT 3f 35.80 B MT ft 2/11; 2026-02-27 DER 4f 51.20 B MT gd 1/2 · barn: change vs FARRIOR ANTHONY | fClm3200n2x → Clm 4000n2x | CLOUSTON EDWARD | field |
| 4 | HOLLY ROLLEROLIVEROS CHARLE | 8.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-07-24 MNR 4f 48.40 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-05-19 MNR 4f 49.20 B MT ft 4/18 · barn: same as last | fClm10000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | COX L CRAIG | field |
| 8 | KNOBIESMAGICSONDEVILCHEZ MAIKOL | 10.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-26 MNR 3f 37.00 B MT ft 7/10; 2025-11-23 MNR 4f 49.00 B D MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | fClm3200n2x → Clm 4000n2x | SANDERS MELINDA | field |
| 6 | R CANDYNEGRON LUIS | 10.0 | S | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-03-14 CT 3f 38.80 B MT ft 17/20; 2025-12-23 CT 3f 37.00 B MT ft 10/25 · barn: same as last | fClm10000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BERNARDINI JAY P | field |
| 1 | MOO LIOSTOKES J | 15.0 | C | Tag dropSame trip2026-05-01 CT 3f 40.60 B MT ft 16/16; 2026-04-24 CT 3f 40.60 B MT ft 13/14 · barn: same as last | fClm30000n2l → Clm 4000n2x | LANE SCOTT J | field |
| 5 | PRESLEYS VOLLEYWEATHERLY BAILEY | 20.0 | EP | Same trip2026-08-05 FP 3f 40.20 B MT ft 11/11; 2026-01-21 WRD 5f 66.20 H MT ft 4/4 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BROWN JOHN T | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R7 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 990y · Clm4000n2x
- SHAPEWall of early/pressers (#2 #3 #8 #5) projects a meltdown pace; stalkers #4 and #6 get the best of scenario B/C, but both are negative overlays; chalk sits on the fence with post 2 and a live class drop
- CHALKFavorite#2 PRAIRIE BRAT · short (ML 2) · solid — top fig in field, real class drop, inside post, speed bias; only threat is the pace duel it must survive
- LEANWinner call#2 PRAIRIE BRAT · best horse by fig, class, post, and bias alignment; chalk but rightful winner call
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse cleared 2+ flags with a clean path)
- PRICE#7 COASTALNESS edge 0.032 · but trainer 2.6% win rate claiming, style unknown, post 7 against an inside bias, zBias 0.00 — structural concerns undercut the edge
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay is #7 COASTALNESS, whose trainer stat and post-bias penalty make the number suspect; no confident non-chalk price ticket exists
- KILLPace duel softens early enough that #2 clears; if #3 or #8 press hard from inside posts and the bias holds, #2 could survive the hook and wire the field anyway — i.e., PLAY is already PASS so the kill is academic
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes, works fresher than April for #7
Why
Dirt sprint at a cheap claiming level (MNR 990y Clm4000n2x) with a moderate-to-high volatility field of eight where inside posts own two-thirds of the winners and speed bias is pronounced. Four early/presser types (#2, #3, #5, #8) project a wall of pace that should cook itself by the turn, giving stalkers/closers a live path, but the chalk (#2 PRAIRIE BRAT) draws post 2 with a real class drop, a rising fig (50→61), and top speed figure in the field — pace duel is its main threat. No horse cleared the two-flag primed bar, and the only non-chalk model overlay is #7 COASTALNESS (edge 0.032, ML 3.5) whose style is unknown, zPace is the field's best, and whose trainer wins at 2.6% claiming — a structural leak that undermines the price.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PRAIRIE BRAT | 2.0 | 27.6% | 30.5% | +3.0% | 0.83 | E | favoriteRising figsTag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 7 | COASTALNESS | 3.5 | 18.4% | 21.6% | +3.2% | 1.08 | U | Led lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | SPATULA | 3.0 | 20.7% | 20.1% | -0.6% | 0.31 | E | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | HOLLY ROLLER | 8.0 | 9.2% | 8.4% | -0.8% | 0.06 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 8 | KNOBIESMAGICSONDE | 10.0 | 7.5% | 6.9% | -0.6% | 0.08 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | R CANDY | 10.0 | 7.5% | 6.0% | -1.5% | -0.46 | S | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | MOO LIO | 15.0 | 5.2% | 3.5% | -1.7% | -1.18 | C | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | PRESLEYS VOLLEY | 20.0 | 3.9% | 3.0% | -1.0% | -0.73 | EP | Same trip | — |