MNR R1 · 2026-09-27
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R1 · 2026-09-27 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6TRICKY TIGERP
- C2#2LEGAL TITANS
- C3#7GROWTH CAPITALP
- C4#3DEL MOP
- C5#4VALENTINE BUGS
- C6#1MARSALA MONARCHC
- C7#5BARLEEWONS
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #6 TRICKY TIGER, #7 GROWTH CAPITAL, #3 DEL MO, #2 LEGAL TITAN, #4 VALENTINE BUG, #5 BARLEEWON · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #6 TRICKY TIGER, #7 GROWTH CAPITAL, #3 DEL MO, #2 LEGAL TITAN, #4 VALENTINE BUG, #5 BARLEEWON · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 LEGAL TITAN, #4 VALENTINE BUG, #1 MARSALA MONARCH, #5 BARLEEWON).
Helps #2 LEGAL TITAN, #4 VALENTINE BUG, #1 MARSALA MONARCH, #5 BARLEEWON · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VALENTINE BUGPARKER D L | 2.5 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip2026-08-18 MNR 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/17; 2026-05-13 MNR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 3/21 · barn: same as last | sOC12500b → Clm 12500b | BERNARDINI JAY P | Favorite |
| 3 | DEL MOOLIVEROS CHARLE | 3.0 | P | Barn change2026-06-28 TTC 4f 51.40 B MT sy 1/2; 2026-06-04 TTC 4f 48.60 Bg MT ft 9/19 · barn: change vs ORANTES JOSE | Clm7500b → Clm 12500b | ORANTES YONI R | field |
| 7 | GROWTH CAPITALLEON JOSE A | 3.5 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-08-22 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 4/7; 2026-07-21 MNR 4f 49.40 B MT ft 3/8 · barn: same as last | Clm25000b → Clm 12500b | ZOOK JEFF W | field |
| 2 | LEGAL TITANPAUCAR E | 4.5 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-16 MNR 4f 50.40 B MT ft 6/13; 2026-08-19 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 12/17 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → Clm 12500b | JENKINS WALLACE A | field |
| 6 | TRICKY TIGERBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 8.0 | P | Class dropLed lastBarn changeTop last pace2025-08-22 PMM 3f 39.20 B MT ft 18/20; 2025-05-07 PMM 3f 38.20 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: change vs RIVERA NESTOR R | Alw10000s → Clm 12500b | BERNARDINI JAY P | pace + drop |
| 1 | MARSALA MONARCHBARRIOS RICARDO | 10.0 | C | Rising figsTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-06-23 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 4/17; 2026-06-12 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: change vs VICKERS RICHARD T | Clm25000b → Clm 12500b | LOGSTON CHRISTOPHER | field |
| 5 | BARLEEWONYARANGA Y | 15.0 | S | 2nd off layoff2026-08-13 PEN 4f 51.60 B MT ft 5/5; 2026-07-22 PEN 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last | Clm7500 → Clm 12500b | HARIGEORGIOU KONSTAN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R1 · 2026-09-27 · Turf 1540y · Clm 12500b
- SHAPENo pace — crawl map, presser/stalker field, lone-speed bias track; shape suits Valentine Bug
- CHALKFavorite#4 VALENTINE BUG · solid · rising figs, top fig, 3rd cycle start, right style for no-pace
- LEANWinner call#4 VALENTINE BUG · best figure, cycle ready, pace path in A
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ flags with a clean pace path)
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlay clears)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLOff-turf move would scramble the field; crawl collapses into a tactical sprint Valentine Bug can't sustain wide
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/going report, rider changes
Why
Turf sprint claimer at MNR with no dedicated early speed, a crawl-likely pace map, and a compressed field of seven — moderate-to-high volatility given the no-pace shape and surface uncertainty. The chalk #4 VALENTINE BUG (2.5 ML) is the top fig in the field (82), third start of the cycle, and a rising line, making it **solid** at 2.5 but short for a PLAY; no non-chalk horse clears the overlay bar — model shows no non-chalk edge above zero. No primed non-chalk exists: the closest candidate, #6 TRICKY TIGER (8 ML), has a barn switch, top pace figure, and a class drop, but its last three figs (72, 80, 80) show form declining into today's surface (dirt-to-turf), and the model edge is marginal positive but not enough to call overlay. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Pace + drop
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VALENTINE BUG | 2.5 | 23.7% | 25.8% | +2.0% | 0.50 | S | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | DEL MO | 3.0 | 20.8% | 20.0% | -0.8% | 0.02 | P | Barn change | — |
| 7 | GROWTH CAPITAL | 3.5 | 18.5% | 16.5% | -1.9% | -0.26 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | LEGAL TITAN | 4.5 | 15.1% | 16.2% | +1.1% | 0.45 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | TRICKY TIGER | 8.0 | 9.2% | 10.5% | +1.3% | 0.71 | P | Class dropLed lastBarn changeTop last pace | — |
| 1 | MARSALA MONARCH | 10.0 | 7.5% | 7.9% | +0.3% | 0.34 | C | Rising figsTag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | BARLEEWON | 15.0 | 5.2% | 3.2% | -2.0% | -1.75 | S | 2nd off layoff | — |