MNR R5 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R5 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5MISS M MS
- C2#4IN TO THE NIGHTC
- C3#7VINO ROSATOS
- C4#2MYRA FLEENERC
- C5#3HYPER AWAKENINGC
- C6#6VINGATIVAS
- C7#8SHES A SAINTC
- C8#1MORNING HOLIDAYS
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #5 MISS M M, #7 VINO ROSATO, #6 VINGATIVA, #1 MORNING HOLIDAY · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #5 MISS M M, #7 VINO ROSATO, #6 VINGATIVA, #1 MORNING HOLIDAY · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 MISS M M, #4 IN TO THE NIGHT, #7 VINO ROSATO, #2 MYRA FLEENER, #3 HYPER AWAKENING, #6 VINGATIVA, #8 SHES A SAINT, #1 MORNING HOLIDAY).
Helps #5 MISS M M, #4 IN TO THE NIGHT, #7 VINO ROSATO, #2 MYRA FLEENER, #3 HYPER AWAKENING, #6 VINGATIVA, #8 SHES A SAINT, #1 MORNING HOLIDAY · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MISS M MGOMEZ ALEJANDRO | 2.0 | S | Rising figsTag dropTop last figTop last pace2026-03-10 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 58/65; 2024-12-31 PRX 4f 53.80 B MT my 34/36 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 4000n2x | VALDEZ MOISES | Favorite |
| 6 | VINGATIVAGONZALEZ KEVIN | 3.0 | S | —2026-09-02 MNR 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/17; 2026-07-10 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | fClm3200n2x → Clm 4000n2x | ROBERSON DON | field |
| 4 | IN TO THE NIGHTGARCIA F | 6.0 | C | 2nd off layoff2026-08-25 MNR 3f 36.80 B MT ft 2/10; 2026-07-14 MNR 4f 49.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | fClm3200n2x → Clm 4000n2x | BLANKENSHIP DONALD T | field |
| 3 | HYPER AWAKENINGTAPARA LUIS | 8.0 | C | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-04-11 MNR 3f 39.40 B MT ft 14/16; 2026-03-28 MNR 4f 52.00 B MT ft 21/24 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | ROBILLARD JULIE | field |
| 8 | SHES A SAINTWEATHERLY BAILEY | 10.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-15 MER 4f 52.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-06-13 MER 4f 52.00 B MT ft 2/7 · barn: same as last | fOC10000 → Clm 4000n2x | REED ERIC R | field |
| 7 | VINO ROSATODIAZ R | 15.0 | S | Tag dropBarn change2026-07-27 PID 4f 51.40 B MT ft 10/12; 2026-07-20 PID 3f 37.40 B MT ft 4/8 · barn: change vs RICE KEVIN | fClm6250b → Clm 4000n2x | VALDEZ MOISES | field |
| 2 | MYRA FLEENERBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 20.0 | C | —2026-05-13 MNR 4f 48.20 B MT ft bullet 1/21; 2026-04-07 MNR 4f 50.40 B MT ft 29/37 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n1l → Clm 4000n2x | LOPEZ JOSE E | field |
| 1 | MORNING HOLIDAYATHERTON JONATHON R | 15.0 | S | Rising figsClass dropSame trip2026-05-16 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 11/13; 2026-01-15 WRD 4f 50.00 H MT ft 7/10 · barn: same as last | fAlw31400n4l → Clm 4000n2x | BROWN JOHN T | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R5 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt route 1760y · Clm 4000n2x
- SHAPENo pace — all S/C, crawl likely; closer/inside bias favors stalkers sitting off a soft pace
- CHALKFavorite#5 MISS M M · solid — top fig 73, rising cycle, class drop, top LP; short at ML 2, not a price
- LEANWinner call#5 MISS M M · chalk, best horse, clearest path in a crawl
- PRIMED#1 MORNING HOLIDAY (rising figs +4, class drop Alw→$4k, same trip) — path exists on the rail in a slow crawl, but raw figs (48) are too far below the field to trust as a win bet
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay clears; model edge and overlay=true belong to chalk only
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLAny live pace emerges and #5 gets caught in a duel; #1's figs are simply too far off the field
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt route, cheap claimer (n2x tag, $4k), field of eight all sitting or closing — moderate-to-high volatility with no dedicated early type and a bias that favors closers on the inside rail. The field is all S/C styles projecting a slow crawl where tactical stalkers from inside posts benefit, and chalk #5 MISS M M (ML 2) holds the top fig (73), a real class drop, and a rising fig cycle, making it solid but short and a pass as a play. Primed #1 MORNING HOLIDAY carries a rising fig (+4), a genuine class drop from Alw31400 into $4k claimers, and the same route trip, but its figs (48 last) sit at the bottom of the field and its negative signal/pace factors (-1.52/-2.11) argue against a live win path even with the crawl shape. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MISS M M | 2.0 | 30.3% | 37.0% | +6.8% | 1.21 | S | favoriteRising figsTag dropTop last figTop last pace | — |
| 6 | VINGATIVA | 3.0 | 22.7% | 20.3% | -2.4% | -0.04 | S | — | |
| 4 | IN TO THE NIGHT | 6.0 | 13.0% | 12.4% | -0.6% | 0.21 | C | 2nd off layoff | — |
| 3 | HYPER AWAKENING | 8.0 | 10.1% | 11.1% | +1.0% | 0.79 | C | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 8 | SHES A SAINT | 10.0 | 8.3% | 6.7% | -1.6% | -0.46 | C | Same trip | — |
| 7 | VINO ROSATO | 15.0 | 5.7% | 5.3% | -0.4% | 0.14 | S | Tag dropBarn change | — |
| 2 | MYRA FLEENER | 20.0 | 4.3% | 3.6% | -0.7% | -0.33 | C | — | |
| 1 | MORNING HOLIDAY | 15.0 | 5.7% | 3.5% | -2.2% | -1.52 | S | Rising figsClass dropSame trip | — |