PRX R4 · 2026-10-06
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#6 #4 #3)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6HALFTIME SHOWE
- C2#4STONECOLDHANDSOMEEP
- C3#3DEPORTIVOEP
- C4#5SUNNY MAGICP
- C5#2WEEKS STRONGC
- C6#1SCUDETTOC
Honest pace among #6 HALFTIME SHOW and #4 STONECOLDHANDSOME and #3 DEPORTIVO. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 SUNNY MAGIC · hurts #6 HALFTIME SHOW, #4 STONECOLDHANDSOME, #3 DEPORTIVO
Pressure: #6 HALFTIME SHOW and #4 STONECOLDHANDSOME and #3 DEPORTIVO hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 SUNNY MAGIC · hurts #6 HALFTIME SHOW, #4 STONECOLDHANDSOME, #3 DEPORTIVO
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 WEEKS STRONG, #1 SCUDETTO).
Helps #2 WEEKS STRONG, #1 SCUDETTO · hurts #6 HALFTIME SHOW, #4 STONECOLDHANDSOME, #3 DEPORTIVO
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HALFTIME SHOWOCASIO LUIS M | 0.8 | E | Barn changeTop last paceSame trip2026-09-30 PRX 4f 52.40 B MT ft 84/85; 2026-09-17 PRX 5f 61.80 B MT ft 4/4 · barn: change vs RAMIREZ SILVINO | OC25000c → Clm 7500b | PINO MICHAEL V | Favorite |
| 2 | WEEKS STRONGPENNINGTON F | 3.0 | C | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-30 PRX 4f 51.80 B MT ft 81/85; 2026-09-17 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → Clm 7500b | SERVIS J TYLER | field |
| 4 | STONECOLDHANDSOMECASTILLO A | 4.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastBarn changeSame trip2026-09-29 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT gd 10/13; 2026-06-19 PEN 4f 47.60 Bg MT ft 3/7 · barn: change vs BOBADILLA J F | Clm5000n2l → Clm 7500b | GALLIMORE TREVOR | field |
| 3 | DEPORTIVOORELLANA SEBASTIAN | 6.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-08-29 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 29/44; 2026-05-21 MTH 4f 49.20 B MT ft 3/13 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → Clm 7500b | HAGEMEIER TERESA | field |
| 5 | SUNNY MAGICHERMAN NOEL | 15.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-10-01 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 16/17; 2026-09-16 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 21/28 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → Clm 7500b | SOLIS JACINTO | field |
| 1 | SCUDETTORODRIGUEZ YAN | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-07-13 PRX 4f 48.60 Bg MT ft 5/14; 2025-11-05 PRX 4f 52.00 B MT ft 36/39 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → Clm 7500b | DIAZ JORGE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R4 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1430y · Clm 7500b
- SHAPEWall of early/pressers (#6 #4 #3) projecting a contested pace; stalkers and closers inherit if the front empties
- CHALKFavorite#6 HALFTIME SHOW · opposable · top E1/zPace but has stopped repeatedly in pace duels (figs 51, 57 last two vs similar); class drop from OC25000 is steep and the barn change is noted, yet the last two lines say "dueled/stopped" and "rushed wide/stopped" — pace shape works against it
- LEANWinner call#2 WEEKS STRONG · rising fig (73 off 66), won last at this exact level/trip bidding on the turn and drawing away; C style picks up the pace duel for free from post 2
- PRIMEDnone (no horse clears 2+ signal flags)
- PRICEno non-chalk overlay clears (WEEKS STRONG model edge is negative; sheet rec is PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLIf #6 HALFTIME SHOW clears cleanly and faces no early pressure, the duel scenario dissolves and the closer scenario never materializes
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint at Parx, $7,500 claiming, six-horse field — moderate-to-high volatility given a wall of early pace and a heavy chalk at sub-1 morning line. Three pressers (#6, #4, #3) project to hook up on the front end, which sets up the stalker/closer group but leaves the chalk (#6 HALFTIME SHOW) exposed to a pace duel it has repeatedly stopped against. No horse clears the 2+ ready-flag threshold to qualify as primed.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HALFTIME SHOW | 0.8 | 43.6% | 47.8% | +4.2% | 0.67 | E | favoriteBarn changeTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | WEEKS STRONG | 3.0 | 19.6% | 18.5% | -1.2% | 0.05 | C | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 4 | STONECOLDHANDSOME | 4.0 | 15.7% | 14.1% | -1.6% | -0.13 | EP | Rising figsLed lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | DEPORTIVO | 6.0 | 11.2% | 11.5% | +0.3% | 0.41 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | SUNNY MAGIC | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.4% | -0.5% | -0.15 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | SCUDETTO | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.7% | -1.2% | -0.85 | C | Same trip | — |