FP R2 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FP R2 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#6 #4 #5 #2)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6BEYOND THE LAWE
- C2#4COLOR ME FASTEP
- C3#5PASSING PASSIONEP
- C4#7D ARGONAUTP
- C5#2CAME UP ROSESEP
- C6#3SASSY PRANCELOTP
- C7#1FLATHEAD FINALEC
Honest pace among #6 BEYOND THE LAW and #4 COLOR ME FAST and #5 PASSING PASSION and #2 CAME UP ROSES. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #7 D ARGONAUT, #3 SASSY PRANCELOT · hurts #6 BEYOND THE LAW, #4 COLOR ME FAST, #5 PASSING PASSION, #2 CAME UP ROSES
Pressure: #6 BEYOND THE LAW and #4 COLOR ME FAST and #5 PASSING PASSION and #2 CAME UP ROSES hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #7 D ARGONAUT, #3 SASSY PRANCELOT · hurts #6 BEYOND THE LAW, #4 COLOR ME FAST, #5 PASSING PASSION, #2 CAME UP ROSES
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 FLATHEAD FINALE).
Helps #1 FLATHEAD FINALE · hurts #6 BEYOND THE LAW, #4 COLOR ME FAST, #5 PASSING PASSION, #2 CAME UP ROSES
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | PASSING PASSIONARRIETA REYNIER | 1.2 | EP | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-07-02 FP 4f 47.20 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-01 FP 3f 36.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 5000n2l | WATKINS JAMES M | Favorite |
| 3 | SASSY PRANCELOTSTANLEY A O | 2.5 | P | 2nd off layoffClass dropBarn changeSame trip2026-09-29 FP 3f 39.40 B MT ft 9/10; 2026-08-14 RP 4f 49.20 H MT ft 7/60 · barn: change vs CASTER BOYD | fAlw39000n1x → Clm 5000n2l | CLAY PAT | Favorite |
| 4 | COLOR ME FASTARANGUREN JOHANIS | 3.5 | EP | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-02 FP 4f 51.40 B MT ft 3/7; 2026-06-02 IND 5f 61.40 B MT ft 6/10 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 5000n2l | MARTIN DAWN | field |
| 1 | FLATHEAD FINALEBENDEZU ALEXANDER | 10.0 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-10-01 FP 4f 51.80 B MT ft 13/14; 2026-06-23 FP 4f 51.00 B MT ft 17/21 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | MARTINEZ RALPH A | primed |
| 6 | BEYOND THE LAWDIEGO JAVIER | 12.0 | E | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-30 FP 4f 52.60 B MT ft 10/11; 2026-06-24 ARP 3f 37.00 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: change vs GONZALEZ ISAI V | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | THURMAN RHONDA | field |
| 2 | CAME UP ROSESORM CORY | 12.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-22 FP 3f 36.60 B MT ft 3/12; 2026-08-05 FP 3f 35.20 B MT ft bullet 1/11 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | BLEA TONY JR | field |
| 7 | D ARGONAUTTAVARES JAVIER | 15.0 | P | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-22 FP 3f 38.00 B MT ft 9/12; 2026-08-20 FP 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: change vs RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | RODRIGUEZ HUGO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFP R2 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 5000n2l
- SHAPEWall of speed (#6 #4 #5 #2) · extreme pressure · pace shapes for closers in A and B
- CHALKFavorite#5 PASSING PASSION (1.2 ML) · opposable · EP style walks into a multi-way duel she cannot escape; pace map directly opposes her
- LEANWinner call#5 PASSING PASSION · best figure, best model number, but vulnerable in this shape
- PRIMED#1 FLATHEAD FINALE · rising figs (54→63), trouble last (broke slowly; wide) — two flags, A/B path as lone closer
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlays per ingest)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only primed horse with a path is FLATHEAD FINALE, but model edge is negative and overlay=false; no price exists at ML 10-1 that the sheet can support without a tote stamp
- KILLPASSING PASSION breaks cleanly and clears; any pace that collapses leaves FLATHEAD FINALE too far back on a 1320y track
- MISSINGlive tote (critical here — FLATHEAD FINALE could be a live price at close), official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at the bottom of the claiming ladder in a field of seven with wall-to-wall early speed, making this a high-volatility meltdown candidate where fractions will be honest to extreme. Four horses (BEYOND THE LAW, COLOR ME FAST, PASSING PASSION, CAME UP ROSES) are all projecting to the front end, setting up a pace scenario that strongly favors the deepest closers; the chalk PASSING PASSION is the model's top horse but faces a brutal pace map heading right into her EP style's weakness. FLATHEAD FINALE (10-1 ML, closer) carries two genuine ready flags — last fig 63 is 9 above prior 54, and the trip note "broke slowly; wide trip" explains the beaten margin — and lands in A/B as the lone pure closer with a pace shape pointing directly at her style. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | PASSING PASSION | 1.2 | 35.8% | 43.1% | +7.3% | 1.13 | EP | favoriteRising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 3 | SASSY PRANCELOT | 2.5 | 22.5% | 21.4% | -1.1% | 0.18 | P | favorite2nd off layoffClass dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | COLOR ME FAST | 3.5 | 17.5% | 15.0% | -2.5% | -0.23 | EP | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | FLATHEAD FINALE | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.2% | -0.9% | -0.18 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | BEYOND THE LAW | 12.0 | 6.1% | 5.1% | -0.9% | -0.29 | E | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 2 | CAME UP ROSES | 12.0 | 6.1% | 4.7% | -1.4% | -0.63 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | D ARGONAUT | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.5% | -0.4% | 0.03 | P | Barn changeSame trip | — |