FP R3 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FP R3 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #2 TUM TAP
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2TUM TAPE
- C2#3BIKINI MARTINIP
- C3#4DISGUISED DEVILP
- C4#6IRISH SPARKS
- C5#1LALYS
- C6#5VASARIAHS IMAGES
#2 TUM TAP controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #2 TUM TAP · hurts #6 IRISH SPARK, #1 LALY, #5 VASARIAHS IMAGE
Someone presses #2 TUM TAP. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #3 BIKINI MARTINI, #4 DISGUISED DEVIL, #6 IRISH SPARK, #1 LALY, #5 VASARIAHS IMAGE · hurts #2 TUM TAP
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 IRISH SPARK, #1 LALY, #5 VASARIAHS IMAGE).
Helps #6 IRISH SPARK, #1 LALY, #5 VASARIAHS IMAGE · hurts #2 TUM TAP
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TUM TAPMARTINEZ BRODY | 1.2 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-22 FP 3f 36.80 B MT ft 5/12; 2026-09-04 FP 5f 60.80 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n3l → OClm 20000n4l | RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO | Favorite |
| 4 | DISGUISED DEVILFELIX J E | 2.0 | P | Trouble lastLed lastSame trip2026-08-21 FP 3f 38.80 B MT ft 8/9; 2026-08-11 FP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 11/13 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n4l → OClm 20000n4l | RIVELLI LARRY | Favorite |
| 3 | BIKINI MARTINIARANGUREN JOHANIS | 4.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-30 FP 5f 65.40 B MT ft 10/10; 2026-04-28 FP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 7/12 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n4l → OClm 20000n4l | ESSENPREIS EDWARD | field |
| 1 | LALYTAVARES JAVIER | 7.0 | S | Trouble lastSame trip2026-08-18 FP 4f 51.60 B MT ft 30/37; 2026-07-07 HAW 5f 62.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n4l → OClm 20000n4l | BOYCE MICHELE | field |
| 6 | IRISH SPARKARRIETA REYNIER | 9.0 | S | —2026-06-16 FP 3f 36.40 B MT ft 2/12; 2026-04-27 FP 4f 51.60 B MT my 1/1 · barn: same as last | sOC20000n4l → OClm 20000n4l | ESSENPREIS EDWARD | field |
| 5 | VASARIAHS IMAGEFERNANDEZ MIGUEL | 15.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-30 FP 4f 51.60 B MT ft 6/11; 2026-09-01 FP 3f 37.20 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n4l → OClm 20000n4l | RETANA GABE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFP R3 · 2026-10-06 · D 1320y OClm 20000n4l
- SHAPELone speed #2 TUM TAP, three stalkers, moderate pressure from #3 and #4 — scenario A is the likely flow, duel possible but no second need-the-lead type to force a true meltdown
- CHALKFavorite#2 TUM TAP · solid · top fig in the field by a wide margin, cleared last time wire to wire, projects to uncontested lead; 1.2 ML is unplayable
- LEANWinner call#2 TUM TAP
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk overlay clears
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLA presser seizes the lane early and forces TUM TAP into a duel it has not survived at this trip; live tote shortens the field further
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint claiming field of six at Fair Play, shallow class with no proven non-chalk overlay and a model that sees the favorite as the only live mathematical edge. #2 TUM TAP is lone speed with the top last fig (81, up 18), a clean pace map, and chalk at 1.2 — solid but unplayable at that price. No horse in the field clears two ready signals plus a pace path outside of chalk.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TUM TAP | 1.2 | 35.6% | 42.4% | +6.8% | 1.11 | E | favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 4 | DISGUISED DEVIL | 2.0 | 26.1% | 24.1% | -2.0% | 0.09 | P | favoriteTrouble lastLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | BIKINI MARTINI | 4.0 | 15.7% | 14.4% | -1.3% | 0.07 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | LALY | 7.0 | 9.8% | 8.9% | -0.9% | 0.03 | S | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | IRISH SPARK | 9.0 | 7.8% | 6.9% | -0.9% | -0.08 | S | — | |
| 5 | VASARIAHS IMAGE | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.3% | -1.6% | -1.21 | S | Same trip | — |