FE R1 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FE R1 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#5 #2 #3 #1)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5GETTING AHEADE
- C2#2NICOLES SONGE
- C3#3NICE BABYE
- C4#1EASTER SUNDAY GIRLEP
- C5#4SHAMRAC
Honest pace among #5 GETTING AHEAD and #2 NICOLES SONG and #3 NICE BABY and #1 EASTER SUNDAY GIRL. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 GETTING AHEAD, #2 NICOLES SONG, #3 NICE BABY, #1 EASTER SUNDAY GIRL · hurts #5 GETTING AHEAD, #2 NICOLES SONG, #3 NICE BABY, #1 EASTER SUNDAY GIRL
Pressure: #5 GETTING AHEAD and #2 NICOLES SONG and #3 NICE BABY and #1 EASTER SUNDAY GIRL hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 SHAMRA · hurts #5 GETTING AHEAD, #2 NICOLES SONG, #3 NICE BABY, #1 EASTER SUNDAY GIRL
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 SHAMRA).
Helps #4 SHAMRA · hurts #5 GETTING AHEAD, #2 NICOLES SONG, #3 NICE BABY, #1 EASTER SUNDAY GIRL
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GETTING AHEADDAVID MICHAEL | 2.0 | E | Tag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-05-18 FE 5f 60.80 B MT ft 3/14; 2026-05-11 FE 5f 61.80 B MT ft 2/6 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 4000b | RICKMAN ERIN H | Favorite |
| 3 | NICE BABYVIVES SOFIA | 1.4 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-15 FE 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/10; 2026-06-28 WO 3f 36.80 B MT ft 17/30 · barn: same as last | fClm6250b → Clm 4000b | ADAMO ANTHONY | Favorite |
| 4 | SHAMRAMAILHOT P | 3.0 | C | Tag dropLed lastSame trip2026-09-08 FE 6f 74.20 Hg MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-27 FE 3f 36.80 B MT gd 1/1 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 4000b | CATHCART STEVEN | field |
| 1 | EASTER SUNDAY GIRLCRAWFORD J | 6.0 | EP | Tag dropSame trip2026-06-21 FE 3f 35.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-06-12 FE 5f 61.40 H MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 4000b | CECCATO SHARON | field |
| 2 | NICOLES SONGGASKIN DA-SEAN ZAVIER | 12.0 | E | Tag dropSame trip2026-06-21 FE 5f 63.60 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-06-12 FE 4f 49.40 B MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 4000b | HUMBER JOSEPH | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFE R1 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1210y · Clm 4000b
- SHAPEWall of speed (#5 #2 #3 #1 all E/EP) → extreme duel likely; closer/inside bias; favors #4 SHAMRA in B/C but no price path exists
- CHALKFavorite#3 NICE BABY (ML 1.4) and #5 GETTING AHEAD (ML 2.0) — both chalk; #5 has model edge (0.088) but is still chalk; opposable on pace (duel risk), not a clear fade
- LEANWinner call#5 GETTING AHEAD — top fig, led last, class drop, model overlay; survives only if the pace settles honestly
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#3 NICE BABY controls from post 3 with the inside rail and fires on the bullet work; duel melts the field and the 1.4 closes
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition at post
Why
Dirt sprint at the bottom of the claiming ladder (Clm 4000b, FE, 1210y) with four early types and one closer in a five-horse field — moderate-to-high volatility given the wall of speed. Four horses want to lead into an extreme-pressure pace map; the bias favors closers and the inside rail, which sets up #4 SHAMRA perfectly in Scenario B/C, but the sheet shows no non-chalk overlays and the only model edge belongs to chalk #5 GETTING AHEAD. No horse clears the PRIMED threshold (2+ flags + pace path) outside of chalk; #4 SHAMRA has only one ready flag (tag drop) and its style fits the bias, but it is not a price overlay. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GETTING AHEAD | 2.0 | 27.3% | 36.1% | +8.8% | 1.22 | E | favoriteTag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | NICE BABY | 1.4 | 34.2% | 27.4% | -6.7% | -0.78 | E | favoriteRising figsTag dropLed lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 4 | SHAMRA | 3.0 | 20.5% | 19.5% | -1.0% | -0.09 | C | Tag dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | EASTER SUNDAY GIRL | 6.0 | 11.7% | 11.2% | -0.5% | -0.07 | EP | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | NICOLES SONG | 12.0 | 6.3% | 5.7% | -0.6% | -0.29 | E | Tag dropSame trip | — |