TAM R1 · 2026-01-21

PASSD1800y1 readyRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

No dedicated early — closers need collapse

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#3KNOWLEDGE IS GOODP
C2#7R SKYLINEC
C3#4MODERN MISSS
C4#6GRENACHEC
C5#5D ORBIES GIRLC
C6#1CRESCENT RISINGC
C7#2MY LIL FLIRTC

A · Likely — expected flow

No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.

Helps #3 KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD, #4 MODERN MISS · hurts —

B · Pressure — duel / honest

A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.

Helps #3 KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD, #4 MODERN MISS · hurts —

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 R SKYLINE, #4 MODERN MISS, #6 GRENACHE, #5 D ORBIES GIRL, #1 CRESCENT RISING, #2 MY LIL FLIRT).

Helps #7 R SKYLINE, #4 MODERN MISS, #6 GRENACHE, #5 D ORBIES GIRL, #1 CRESCENT RISING, #2 MY LIL FLIRT · hurts —

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
3	KNOWLEDGE IS GOODBATISTA JOSE A	2.0	P	Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2025-10-15 LRL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 10/16; 2025-09-20 BEL 4f 50.40 B TT ft 71/132 · barn: same as last	fMd16000 → Md 16000	SIMONE MICHAEL V	Favorite
4	MODERN MISSSANTOS ADEMAR	4.0	S	—2025-12-06 TAM 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 14/82; 2025-11-09 TAM 4f 51.40 B MT ft 72/78 · barn: same as last	fMd16000 → Md 16000	RYAN DEREK S	field
7	R SKYLINECAMACHO SAMY	3.0	C	Trouble lastSame trip2026-01-14 TAM 4f 50.00 Bg MT ft 21/44; 2025-11-29 TAM 4f 50.80 B MT ft 44/54 · barn: same as last	fMd16000 → Md 16000	BENNETT GERALD S	field
6	GRENACHERODRIGUEZ RONALDO	6.0	C	—2026-01-17 TAM 4f 50.60 B MT ft 48/72; 2025-12-28 TAM 4f 50.80 B MT ft 62/84 · barn: same as last	fMd16000 → Md 16000	ARNETT JON G	field
2	MY LIL FLIRTLEON SONNY	5.0	C	Rising figsSame trip2026-01-10 TAM 4f 50.40 B MT ft 41/59; 2025-12-23 TAM 4f 50.80 B MT ft 21/29 · barn: same as last	fMd17500 → Md 16000	O'CONNELL KATHLEEN	field
5	D ORBIES GIRLMITCHELL RICHARD	8.0	C	Rising figsSame trip2025-11-23 TAM 4f 50.80 Bg MT ft 39/57; 2025-11-01 SPC 4f 51.00 B MT ft 5/11 · barn: same as last	fMd16000 → Md 16000	JONES DOUGLAS	field
1	CRESCENT RISINGMORALES PABLO	15.0	C	Rising figs2nd off layoff2025-12-17 TAM 4f 51.00 B MT ft 25/32; 2025-11-30 TAM 4f 50.40 B MT ft 49/82 · barn: same as last	fMd16000 → Md 16000	DOWNING WILLIAM	primed

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#1 CRESCENT RISINGML 15.0Rising figs2nd off layoff

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
3	KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD	2.0	26.3%	29.1%	+2.8%	0.48	P	favoriteRising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip	3
4	MODERN MISS	4.0	15.8%	17.2%	+1.4%	0.41	S		4
7	R SKYLINE	3.0	19.7%	16.1%	-3.6%	-0.74	C	Trouble lastSame trip	—
6	GRENACHE	6.0	11.3%	12.7%	+1.4%	0.55	C		6
2	MY LIL FLIRT	5.0	13.2%	11.5%	-1.7%	-0.47	C	Rising figsSame trip	WIN
5	D ORBIES GIRL	8.0	8.8%	9.0%	+0.2%	0.18	C	Rising figsSame trip	2
1	CRESCENT RISING	15.0	4.9%	4.4%	-0.6%	-0.42	C	Rising figs2nd off layoff	5