MNR R3 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R3 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #4 #14 #1)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3NEW WAYS TO DREAME
- C2#4DATTTSAFANCYFOXE
- C3#14GO GO STAREP
- C4#1GHOSTLY GIRLEP
- C5#8MARMARAS
- C6#12COUNCILWOMAN JILLYP
- C7#13MEAN TO MES
- C8#10HANDLE ON YOUS
- C9#5LEGACY TRAILC
- C10#7THE SHOE LADYC
- C11#11BLINGING BURRS
- C12#2OPPOSITE THE CROWDC
- C13#9UP HER SLEEVEC
- C14#6STRAND OF GOLDC
Honest pace among #3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM and #4 DATTTSAFANCYFOX and #14 GO GO STAR and #1 GHOSTLY GIRL. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #12 COUNCILWOMAN JILLY, #8 MARMARA, #13 MEAN TO ME, #10 HANDLE ON YOU, #11 BLINGING BURR · hurts #3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM, #4 DATTTSAFANCYFOX, #14 GO GO STAR, #1 GHOSTLY GIRL
Pressure: #3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM and #4 DATTTSAFANCYFOX and #14 GO GO STAR and #1 GHOSTLY GIRL hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #12 COUNCILWOMAN JILLY, #8 MARMARA, #13 MEAN TO ME, #10 HANDLE ON YOU, #11 BLINGING BURR · hurts #3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM, #4 DATTTSAFANCYFOX, #14 GO GO STAR, #1 GHOSTLY GIRL
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#8 MARMARA, #13 MEAN TO ME, #10 HANDLE ON YOU, #5 LEGACY TRAIL, #7 THE SHOE LADY, #11 BLINGING BURR, #2 OPPOSITE THE CROWD, #9 UP HER SLEEVE, #6 STRAND OF GOLD).
Helps #8 MARMARA, #13 MEAN TO ME, #10 HANDLE ON YOU, #5 LEGACY TRAIL, #7 THE SHOE LADY, #11 BLINGING BURR, #2 OPPOSITE THE CROWD, #9 UP HER SLEEVE, #6 STRAND OF GOLD · hurts #3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM, #4 DATTTSAFANCYFOX, #14 GO GO STAR, #1 GHOSTLY GIRL
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LEGACY TRAILRAMGEET A R | 2.0 | C | Rising figsTop last fig2026-04-17 MNR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 2/14; 2026-04-07 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/37 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2x → OClm 7500 | RAMGEET TINA | Favorite |
| 2 | OPPOSITE THE CROWDGOMEZ ALEJANDRO | 2.0 | C | Trouble lastSame trip2026-02-07 PMM 3f 38.00 B MT ft 29/37; 2026-01-09 PMM 4f 51.80 B MT ft 47/51 · barn: same as last | fClm7500 → OClm 7500 | SILVA JUAN PABLO | Favorite |
| 14 | GO GO STARWEATHERLY BAILEY | 4.0 | EP | Led lastSame trip2026-09-15 MNR 3f 36.40 B MT ft 2/6; 2026-01-04 TAM 4f 48.80 B MT gd 2/16 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n3x → OClm 7500 | MURPHY SCOTT | field |
| 4 | DATTTSAFANCYFOXTAPARA LUIS | 5.0 | E | Led last2026-07-13 TDN 4f 48.20 B MT ft bullet 1/12; 2025-07-30 MNR 3f 36.80 B MT ft 2/7 · barn: same as last | fOC15000n1x → OClm 7500 | MARTINEZ TOMAS | field |
| 12 | COUNCILWOMAN JILLYBAYS BROOKE | 5.0 | P | —2026-04-22 BTP 4f 54.00 B MT ft 10/10; 2025-11-22 TP 4f 50.40 B MT ft 105/130 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → OClm 7500 | ALVAREZ YIMI | field |
| 3 | NEW WAYS TO DREAMGARCIA F | 10.0 | E | Rising figsClass dropSame trip2026-04-19 MNR 4f 49.20 B D MT sl 2/7; 2026-04-11 MNR 3f 37.40 B MT ft 7/16 · barn: same as last | fAlw21560b → OClm 7500 | LANGLEY WILSON C | primed |
| 10 | HANDLE ON YOUPAGAN MICHAEL Y | 8.0 | S | Class drop2026-06-16 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 11/29; 2026-05-18 MNR 4f 50.80 B MT ft 10/17 · barn: same as last | fAlw4000s → OClm 7500 | VAZQUEZ JUAN CARLOS | field |
| 11 | BLINGING BURROLIVEROS CHARLE | 7.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-20 MNR 4f 49.40 B MT ft 4/9; 2026-09-09 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 4/11 · barn: same as last | fClm5000 → OClm 7500 | REED ERIC R | field |
| 6 | STRAND OF GOLDARROYO N JR | 7.0 | C | Rising figsBarn change2026-01-25 TAM 3f 38.20 Bg MT ft 31/38; 2025-12-12 TAM 4f 50.80 B MT ft 21/26 · barn: change vs CASTILLO JABDIEL | fClm4000n1xc → OClm 7500 | ROBILLARD ALYSHA | field |
| 13 | MEAN TO MEGILBERT KYLE | 10.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2025-12-29 GP 3f 37.60 B MT ft 1/3; 2025-12-03 GP 4f 49.40 B MT ft 8/12 · barn: same as last | fOC10000 → OClm 7500 | MURPHY SCOTT | field |
| 1 | GHOSTLY GIRLNEGRON LUIS | 12.0 | EP | Class drop2026-06-30 MNR 4f 48.40 B MT ft bullet 1/10; 2026-06-09 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/18 · barn: same as last | fAlw4000s → OClm 7500 | VAZQUEZ JUAN CARLOS | field |
| 7 | THE SHOE LADYGREENIDGE ELIJAH | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-03-30 MNR 4f 53.60 B MT ft 9/10; 2025-12-17 PEN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fOC10000 → OClm 7500 | POOLE JAMI C | field |
| 8 | MARMARABARRIOS RICARDO | 15.0 | S | Same trip2025-06-22 LRL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 45/57; 2025-06-03 LRL 8f 107.00 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n1l → OClm 7500 | SHAFER GABE | field |
| 9 | UP HER SLEEVEYARANGA Y | 20.0 | C | Led last2026-09-16 MNR 3f 39.20 B MT ft 10/15; 2026-06-16 MNR 3f 38.00 B MT ft 5/5 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n1x → OClm 7500 | MCDONALD WILLIAM R | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R3 · 2026-09-30 · T 1540y OClm 7500
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#3 #4 #14 #1) → honest-to-pressure duel likely; closers and stalkers (#12 #8 #13 #10 #11) inherit if fractions empty; inside rail bias helps posts 1–3, hurts posts 8+
- CHALKFavorite#5 LEGACY TRAIL and #2 OPPOSITE THE CROWD co-chalk at ML 2 · both short · both coming off dirt into a turf sprint with negative turf ROI · usable but short — no opposable shape reason beyond price
- LEANWinner call#3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM · turf-sprint winner at this exact track/distance (fig 82, 1540y), class drop from Alw into OClm 7500, rising fig last out (64 vs 51), pace path as early type into a duel that will cook the rest of the speed
- PRIMED#3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM — rising figs + class drop + same turf trip (2+ flags, path in A/B)
- PRICEno non-chalk overlay per sheet (model edges thin, overlay=false for all non-chalk); #3 closest at edge 0.013 but overlay flag not triggered
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk horse clears an overlay at a price the brief confirms; #3 is the LEAN but carries no confirmed overlay and a thin model edge that does not constitute a ticket
- KILLOff-turf (weather switch voids the shape entirely); #3 fires as lone speed and the duel never materializes (LP 48 is a liability); co-chalks shorten further and dominate a slow-pace scenario
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, going condition (firm vs soft changes LP reliance), rider changes not on PP lines
Why
Turf sprint OClm 7500 at MNR, 14-runner field with wall-of-speed pace and a bias favoring early speed inside — volatile by surface switch and field size. Four need-the-lead types (#3, #4, #14, #1) set up a duel that should cook the front end and hand the race to stalkers/closers, with both chalks (#5 LEGACY TRAIL, #2 OPPOSITE THE CROWD) coming off dirt and carrying no turf overlap at a price too short to play. The only ingested PRIMED horse is #3 NEW WAYS TO DREAM (rising figs, class drop from Alw into OClm 7500, same turf trip) who has a turf-sprint win on this track at 1540y and a pace path straight into the expected duel — but its LP is 48, the board sheet registers no price overlay, and the model output is 0.058 vs 0.046 implied, a thin edge that vanishes if ML shortens to 6-1 or less.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LEGACY TRAIL | 2.0 | 16.7% | 18.7% | +2.0% | 0.65 | C | favoriteRising figsTop last fig | — |
| 2 | OPPOSITE THE CROWD | 2.0 | 16.7% | 17.2% | +0.5% | 0.31 | C | favoriteTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 14 | GO GO STAR | 4.0 | 10.0% | 10.2% | +0.1% | 0.25 | EP | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 4 | DATTTSAFANCYFOX | 5.0 | 8.4% | 10.0% | +1.7% | 0.93 | E | Led last | — |
| 12 | COUNCILWOMAN JILLY | 5.0 | 8.4% | 6.7% | -1.7% | -0.72 | P | — | |
| 3 | NEW WAYS TO DREAM | 10.0 | 4.6% | 5.8% | +1.3% | 1.18 | E | Rising figsClass dropSame trip | — |
| 10 | HANDLE ON YOU | 8.0 | 5.6% | 5.6% | -0.0% | 0.20 | S | Class drop | — |
| 11 | BLINGING BURR | 7.0 | 6.3% | 5.2% | -1.0% | -0.53 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | STRAND OF GOLD | 7.0 | 6.3% | 4.7% | -1.6% | -0.97 | C | Rising figsBarn change | — |
| 13 | MEAN TO ME | 10.0 | 4.6% | 4.7% | +0.1% | 0.29 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | GHOSTLY GIRL | 12.0 | 3.9% | 3.9% | +0.0% | 0.22 | EP | Class drop | — |
| 7 | THE SHOE LADY | 15.0 | 3.1% | 2.9% | -0.2% | -0.06 | C | Same trip | — |
| 8 | MARMARA | 15.0 | 3.1% | 2.9% | -0.2% | -0.06 | S | Same trip | — |
| 9 | UP HER SLEEVE | 20.0 | 2.4% | 1.5% | -0.9% | -1.69 | C | Led last | — |