MNR R2 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R2 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3MISTERCHILLIWILLIEP
- C2#6TODO FINOP
- C3#4ROYAL SALUTEP
- C4#5FAYATHAANC
- C5#9GOOD MOMENTSS
- C6#12BOLD ADVANCES
- C7#10UNPREDICTABLE BAYC
- C8#1MAXWELL ESQUIREC
- C9#7WICKED GENIUSC
- C10#11SILVER FRONTC
- C11#2LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGOC
- C12#8ARAKC
#3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI · hurts #5 FAYATHAAN, #9 GOOD MOMENTS, #12 BOLD ADVANCE, #10 UNPREDICTABLE BAY, #1 MAXWELL ESQUIRE, #7 WICKED GENIUS, #11 SILVER FRONT, #2 LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO, #8 ARAK
Someone presses #3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #6 TODO FINO, #4 ROYAL SALUTE, #9 GOOD MOMENTS, #12 BOLD ADVANCE · hurts #3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 FAYATHAAN, #9 GOOD MOMENTS, #12 BOLD ADVANCE, #10 UNPREDICTABLE BAY, #1 MAXWELL ESQUIRE, #7 WICKED GENIUS, #11 SILVER FRONT, #2 LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO, #8 ARAK).
Helps #5 FAYATHAAN, #9 GOOD MOMENTS, #12 BOLD ADVANCE, #10 UNPREDICTABLE BAY, #1 MAXWELL ESQUIRE, #7 WICKED GENIUS, #11 SILVER FRONT, #2 LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO, #8 ARAK · hurts #3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ROYAL SALUTEPARKER D L | 2.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2025-11-23 PMM 4f 46.80 B D T fm bullet 1/21; 2025-09-07 PMM 4f 49.20 B MT ft 3/12 · barn: same as last | OC12500 → OClm 7500 | BERNARDINI JAY P | Favorite |
| 6 | TODO FINOARROYO N JR | 4.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-04 MNR 4f 51.40 B MT ft 12/12; 2026-07-15 MNR 4f 48.00 Bg MT ft 2/14 · barn: same as last | OC12500 → OClm 7500 | ROBILLARD ALYSHA | overlay |
| 11 | SILVER FRONTCHAVEZ ALEXANDER | 4.0 | C | —2026-06-12 CT 4f 48.20 B MT ft 12/26; 2026-05-19 CT 6f 74.60 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | OC17500 → OClm 7500 | MEYERS SHANE | field |
| 5 | FAYATHAANOLIVEROS CHARLE | 5.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffTag dropTop last paceSame trip2026-07-19 MNR 3f 37.60 B MT ft 1/3; 2025-10-11 DEL 3f 35.80 B MT ft bullet 1/15 · barn: same as last | Clm25000b → OClm 7500 | SILVA JUAN PABLO | primed |
| 12 | BOLD ADVANCEHO WESLEY | 5.0 | S | 3rd start cycle2026-04-25 GP 4f 52.20 B MT ft 30/35; 2026-03-28 GP 4f 52.40 B MT ft 36/41 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → OClm 7500 | JONES MICHAEL E JR | field |
| 3 | MISTERCHILLIWILLITAPARA BRANDON | 7.0 | EP | Same trip2026-05-03 MNR 4f 49.40 B MT ft 6/22; 2026-04-27 MNR 3f 37.60 B MT ft 3/12 · barn: same as last | OC12500 → OClm 7500 | FLETCHER JEFF | field |
| 1 | MAXWELL ESQUIRENEGRON LUIS | 8.0 | C | —2026-05-01 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/10; 2026-04-14 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 11/25 · barn: same as last | Clm7500 → OClm 7500 | BERNARDINI JAY P | field |
| 2 | LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGOGOMEZ ALEJANDRO | 10.0 | C | Rising figs2026-09-02 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/17; 2026-08-18 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 15/17 · barn: same as last | OC10000 → OClm 7500 | GOMEZ ALEJANDRO | field |
| 9 | GOOD MOMENTSPAGAN MICHAEL Y | 15.0 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-07-21 MNR 4f 51.00 B MT ft 5/8; 2026-06-23 MNR 4f 51.60 B MT ft 14/17 · barn: same as last | Clm4000b → OClm 7500 | VAZQUEZ JUAN CARLOS | field |
| 7 | WICKED GENIUSWEATHERLY BAILEY | 12.0 | C | Tag drop2026-07-24 PID 4f 46.60 B MT ft 2/10; 2026-07-06 PID 3f 36.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | Clm8500 → OClm 7500 | FENNESSY JOHN | field |
| 10 | UNPREDICTABLE BAYGREENIDGE ELIJAH | 15.0 | C | Trouble lastSame trip2026-05-20 MNR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 4/13; 2026-05-11 MNR 4f 48.40 B MT ft 5/20 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → OClm 7500 | NORRIS STEPHANI | field |
| 8 | ARAKBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 20.0 | C | Rising figsBarn change2026-04-25 MNR 3f 38.20 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-02-11 PRX 5f 63.40 B MT ft 12/19 · barn: change vs PRECIADO RAMON | Clm5000c → OClm 7500 | JUAREZ LORENZO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R2 · 2026-09-29 · Turf 1540y OClm 7500
- SHAPELone speed #3, moderate pressure from #6 and #4; inside-rail/speed bias favors the front; closers need a meltdown that may not come
- CHALKFavorite#4 ROYAL SALUTE · solid-to-short · rising figs (75→80), class drop from OC12500, inside post, clean pace path second in the flow — rightful favorite, not opposable
- LEANWinner call#4 ROYAL SALUTE · fits the bias, the pace map (A-scenario), and the class drop; best-positioned winner call
- PRIMED#5 FAYATHAAN (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, class drop, top e1 — but C-only path for a win bet, no B-scenario route)
- PRICE#6 TODO FINO · ML 4 · edge 0.037 · only ingested overlay
- PLAYPrice ticket#6 TODO FINO · min 4-1 · win · has a B-scenario path pressing #3, highest zSpeed/zPace after chalk, class drop from OC12500, 70→83 fig spike; if board collapses below 4-1, PASS
- KILL#3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI clears unchallenged and wire-to-wires on the rail bias; #6's dirt form (83 fig) does not translate to turf (0-for-8 career turf, 0% win); off-turf scratch flips the race entirely
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, going condition/rail position, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Turf sprint OClm 7500 at MNR, 12-horse field, speed/inside-bias track makes this a moderate-volatility race with the lone-speed thesis clearly in play. #3 MISTERCHILLIWILLI holds clean control from post 3 on a rail-favoring strip, but chalk #4 ROYAL SALUTE (2-1 ML) is a P sitting right behind with rising figs and class drop, making it solid-to-usable rather than fadeable. #6 TODO FINO is the only ingested price overlay (edge 0.037, ML 4), a presser with a big rising-fig line (70→83) and the strongest zSpeed/zPace combo in the field, with a clear B-scenario path if it presses #3 and the soft lead dissolves.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ROYAL SALUTE | 2.0 | 20.3% | 21.9% | +1.6% | 0.39 | P | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | TODO FINO | 4.0 | 12.2% | 15.9% | +3.7% | 1.14 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 11 | SILVER FRONT | 4.0 | 12.2% | 10.7% | -1.5% | -0.44 | C | — | |
| 5 | FAYATHAAN | 5.0 | 10.1% | 9.9% | -0.2% | 0.00 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffTag dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 12 | BOLD ADVANCE | 5.0 | 10.1% | 7.3% | -2.8% | -1.20 | S | 3rd start cycle | — |
| 3 | MISTERCHILLIWILLI | 7.0 | 7.6% | 6.9% | -0.7% | -0.31 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 1 | MAXWELL ESQUIRE | 8.0 | 6.8% | 6.0% | -0.8% | -0.42 | C | — | |
| 2 | LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO | 10.0 | 5.5% | 5.8% | +0.3% | 0.27 | C | Rising figs | — |
| 9 | GOOD MOMENTS | 15.0 | 3.8% | 5.3% | +1.5% | 1.43 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 7 | WICKED GENIUS | 12.0 | 4.7% | 4.0% | -0.7% | -0.58 | C | Tag drop | — |
| 10 | UNPREDICTABLE BAY | 15.0 | 3.8% | 3.6% | -0.2% | -0.10 | C | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 8 | ARAK | 20.0 | 2.9% | 2.7% | -0.2% | -0.18 | C | Rising figsBarn change | — |