FP R4 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FP R4 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#7 vs #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7KAZOOME
- C2#2FRANKIE PEP
- C3#6GOOD TO BE PRINCEP
- C4#1ROCKDUSTP
- C5#3KING ANTHONYS
- C6#5I NEED MORE MONEYS
- C7#4AVERYZ DAYS
Honest pace among #7 KAZOOM and #2 FRANKIE P. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #6 GOOD TO BE PRINCE, #1 ROCKDUST, #3 KING ANTHONY, #5 I NEED MORE MONEY, #4 AVERYZ DAY · hurts #7 KAZOOM, #2 FRANKIE P
Pressure: #7 KAZOOM and #2 FRANKIE P hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #6 GOOD TO BE PRINCE, #1 ROCKDUST, #3 KING ANTHONY, #5 I NEED MORE MONEY, #4 AVERYZ DAY · hurts #7 KAZOOM, #2 FRANKIE P
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 KING ANTHONY, #5 I NEED MORE MONEY, #4 AVERYZ DAY).
Helps #3 KING ANTHONY, #5 I NEED MORE MONEY, #4 AVERYZ DAY · hurts #7 KAZOOM, #2 FRANKIE P
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | KAZOOMBENDEZU ALEXANDER | 1.4 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-10-01 FP 4f 50.80 B MT ft 8/14; 2026-09-16 FP 3f 35.80 B MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: same as last | OC20000n3l → OClm 20000n3l | RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO | Favorite |
| 2 | FRANKIE PARANGUREN JOHANIS | 2.5 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-19 FP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/8; 2026-08-18 FP 4f 53.40 B MT ft 37/37 · barn: same as last | OC20000n2l → OClm 20000n3l | ESSENPREIS EDWARD | Favorite |
| 6 | GOOD TO BE PRINCEMARTINEZ BRODY | 2.0 | P | Same trip2026-09-12 FP 5f 60.00 B MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-08-03 FP 3f 39.20 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | Clm16000b → OClm 20000n3l | RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO | Favorite |
| 1 | ROCKDUSTARRIETA REYNIER | 12.0 | P | Same trip2026-09-18 FP 4f 51.80 B MT ft 6/9; 2026-08-18 FP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 12/37 · barn: same as last | OC20000n2l → OClm 20000n3l | ESSENPREIS EDWARD | field |
| 3 | KING ANTHONYSTANLEY A O | 12.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-30 FP 4f 50.60 B MT ft 3/11; 2026-08-21 FP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 15/24 · barn: same as last | OC20000n3l → OClm 20000n3l | RODRIGUEZ JOSE G | field |
| 5 | I NEED MORE MONEYREYES FRANK | 30.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-24 FP 3f 39.60 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-05-04 FP 4f 51.80 B MT ft 4/6 · barn: same as last | OC20000n3l → OClm 20000n3l | LYNCH HARRY E | field |
| 4 | AVERYZ DAYFERNANDEZ MIGUEL | 30.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-05 FP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 4/12; 2026-08-03 FP 4f 49.20 B MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3l → OClm 20000n3l | LYNCH HARRY E | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFP R4 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt sprint 1320y · OClm 20000n3l
- SHAPE#7/#2 duel likely; stalkers get the shape but none carry enough fig to punish it
- CHALKFavorite#7 KAZOOM 1.4-ML · solid on figs and pace style, but near even-money in a duel — price is gone
- LEANWinner call#2 FRANKIE P · top fig (81), top E1, led last and held; survives the duel better than #7 if pace is honest
- PRIMEDnone (KING ANTHONY has 3rd-start-cycle flag but only one signal, no fig support, no overlay)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk horse clears the overlay screen
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#7 KAZOOM clears uncontested and steals it at even money; live tote moves #2 inside 2-1
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint at FP, OClm 20000n3l, seven horses, moderate-to-high volatility with two chalk co-favorites and a third chalk crowding the top of the morning line. The pace map projects a #7–#2 duel that shapes to help the mid-pack stalkers, but all three closers lack the figures to exploit it, and the three shortest-priced horses account for most of the ML probability with no non-chalk price overlay surviving the screen. King Anthony (#3) has a 3rd-start-of-cycle flag and a stalker's path in scenario A/B, but his best recent fig (80) came off a long layoff return and his last effort (63) was dull, and the model finds no overlay at 12-1 ML — one flag, no stacked angles, no price to hang a bet on. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | KAZOOM | 1.4 | 33.2% | 36.5% | +3.2% | 1.04 | E | favoriteRising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | FRANKIE P | 2.5 | 22.8% | 26.1% | +3.4% | 1.22 | EP | favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | GOOD TO BE PRINCE | 2.0 | 26.6% | 24.3% | -2.3% | 0.31 | P | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 1 | ROCKDUST | 12.0 | 6.1% | 5.0% | -1.1% | -0.12 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | KING ANTHONY | 12.0 | 6.1% | 4.8% | -1.4% | -0.34 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 5 | I NEED MORE MONEY | 30.0 | 2.6% | 1.7% | -0.9% | -0.99 | S | Same trip | — |
| 4 | AVERYZ DAY | 30.0 | 2.6% | 1.6% | -0.9% | -1.12 | S | Same trip | — |