DEL R7 · 2026-10-01
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R7 · 2026-10-01 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5MAGICAL BEGINNINGUU
- C2#9FEROZAUU
- C3#6MONEY QUEENUU
- C4#4NEVER ODD OR EVENUU
- C5#7TIZ THE LOVEUU
- C6#2RAZINUU
- C7#8SHOWS LAST GIFTUU
- C8#1JESSE MARIEC
- C9#3SCARLET ROGUEUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #1 JESSE MARIE · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 JESSE MARIE).
Helps #1 JESSE MARIE · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MAGICAL BEGINNINGBATISTA JOSE A | 2.0 | U | —2026-09-25 BEL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 62/138; 2026-09-18 BEL 5f 62.20 B MT ft 10/12 · barn: CLEMENT MIGUEL (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | CLEMENT MIGUEL | Favorite |
| 9 | FEROZARODRIGUEZ JAMIE | 3.0 | U | —2026-09-25 DEL 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 25/47; 2026-09-19 DEL 4f 50.60 B MT ft 45/59 · barn: MOTION H GRAHAM (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | MOTION H GRAHAM | field |
| 6 | MONEY QUEENADORNO ABNER | 6.0 | U | —2026-09-12 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 69/89; 2026-09-09 PRX 3f 36.60 Bg MT ft 2/6 · barn: SERVIS J TYLER (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | SERVIS J TYLER | field |
| 1 | JESSE MARIEGOMEZ KEVIN | 10.0 | C | Barn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-25 DEL 4f 50.60 B MT ft 40/47; 2026-07-11 DEL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 14/45 · barn: change vs KELLY BLAKE | fMoc50000 → Md Sp Wt | ARMSTRONG HORACE W | field |
| 4 | NEVER ODD OR EVENVARGAS JORGE A JR | 8.0 | U | —2026-09-20 MTH 5f 62.20 B MT ft 3/10; 2026-09-12 MTH 4f 47.60 Hg MT ft 4/94 · barn: SCHULTZ LINDSAY (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | SCHULTZ LINDSAY | field |
| 7 | TIZ THE LOVELOPEZ PASCACIO | 8.0 | U | Sharp work2026-09-26 DEL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 7/31; 2026-09-17 DEL 4f 48.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/21 · barn: CAPUANO PHILLIP (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | CAPUANO PHILLIP | field |
| 2 | RAZINBETANCOURT JOSE R | 12.0 | U | —2026-09-10 DEL 4f 48.60 Bg MT ft 2/17; 2026-08-27 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/27 · barn: COLLINS JOHN (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | COLLINS JOHN | field |
| 8 | SHOWS LAST GIFTHAZELWOOD TESHAWN | 12.0 | U | —2026-09-19 DEL 5f 63.20 Bg MT ft 6/7; 2026-09-12 DEL 4f 50.60 Bg MT ft 42/54 · barn: VELAZQUEZ DANIEL (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | VELAZQUEZ DANIEL | field |
| 3 | SCARLET ROGUECORUJO LEONARDO | 10.0 | U | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-24 DEL 4f 48.40 B MT gd bullet 1/13; 2026-09-17 DEL 5f 61.80 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | ROSE ORLANDO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDEL R7 · 2026-10-01 · Dirt 1210y Maiden Special Weight
- SHAPEPace entirely unknown — nine debut starters, no call-data; rail/speed bias present but no identified E type; crawl or surprise speed both possible
- CHALKFavorite#5 MAGICAL BEGINNING · ML 2 · short — no PPs, zero model edge, post 5 misses the rail advantage; structural pass at this price
- LEANWinner call#1 JESSE MARIE · top fig and top E1 in field, inside post, troubled trip last out, barn change; best evidence in a data-thin field
- PRIMEDnone (JESSE MARIE has ready signals but is not chalk-flagged as primed by the sheet; signals noted above)
- PRICEno price — model edge 0.020 does not clear overlay threshold; no non-chalk overlay exists in this field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLUnknown pace; if no early speed materializes JESSE MARIE's closer style finds no target; new barn Armstrong has zero meet/TJ starts on the brief
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden special weight at Delaware, nine first-time starters with an unknowable pace map — extreme volatility, pure guesswork on trip shape. Pace is entirely unknown (all styles U except #1 JESSE MARIE as a closer), no early speed identified, bias favors rail and early; chalk #5 MAGICAL BEGINNING at 2-1 draws post 5, has no PPs, and the model shows zero edge — solid on morning-line probability but a structural pass at that price. #1 JESSE MARIE is the only horse with actual PPs: top fig in the field (74), top E1 (96), inside post benefiting from the rail bias, barn change from Kelly Blake to Armstrong, and a troubled last line (veered in, 5-wide bid on turf) that masked a legitimate effort — two substantive ready signals plus a pace path in scenarios B and C, though the closer style is a mild concern given the unknown pace. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MAGICAL BEGINNING | 2.0 | 26.0% | 25.8% | -0.1% | 0.00 | U | favorite | — |
| 9 | FEROZA | 3.0 | 19.5% | 19.4% | -0.1% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 6 | MONEY QUEEN | 6.0 | 11.1% | 11.1% | -0.0% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 1 | JESSE MARIE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 9.1% | +2.0% | 1.00 | C | Barn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | NEVER ODD OR EVEN | 8.0 | 8.7% | 8.6% | -0.0% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 7 | TIZ THE LOVE | 8.0 | 8.7% | 8.6% | -0.0% | 0.00 | U | Sharp work | — |
| 2 | RAZIN | 12.0 | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.0% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 8 | SHOWS LAST GIFT | 12.0 | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.0% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 3 | SCARLET ROGUE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 5.5% | -1.6% | -1.00 | U | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip | — |