AJX R4 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find AJX R4 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5OPEN A NEW CORONAUU
- C2#6POLITICS N LIGHTSUU
- C3#3RR ILLBEURHUCKLEBERYUU
- C4#4ALL OUTTA SUGARUU
- C5#2EYE SPY MYUU
- C6#1TRAGICALLY RIPPEDUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | OPEN A NEW CORONABELL BRIAN | 2.5 | U | Top last figSame trip2026-06-24 AJX 1f 13.20 B MT ft 3/4; 2026-04-22 AJX 1.1f 14.40 Bg MT ft 29/34 · barn: same as last | SPI → Alw 13000n1ml | TAVARES JOE | Favorite |
| 6 | POLITICS N LIGHTSSANCHEZ ALEXIS | 3.5 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-22 AJX 1f 12.00 B MT ft bullet 1/7; 2025-04-23 AJX 1.1f 14.20 Bg MT ft 12/15 · barn: same as last | SPI → Alw 13000n1ml | BROADSTOCK BOB | field |
| 3 | RR ILLBEURHUCKLEBERYBELAND CORRY | 3.0 | U | Same trip2026-06-08 AJX 3f 36.80 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-04-19 AJX 1f 13.60 B MT ft 9/9 · barn: same as last | Alw12226n2ml → Alw 13000n1ml | TAVARES JOE | field |
| 4 | ALL OUTTA SUGARCASTILLO RAMIRO SANCHEZ | 5.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-09 AJX 1f 13.00 B MT ft 3/4; 2026-04-26 AJX 1f 13.00 B MT ft 13/13 · barn: same as last | SPI → Alw 13000n1ml | BROADSTOCK BOB | field |
| 2 | EYE SPY MYMOSQUEIRA ISMAEL ELUID | 10.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-22 AJX 1.1f 13.80 Bg MT ft 22/34; 2025-06-08 AJX 1.1f 14.20 Bg MT ft 3/7 · barn: same as last | SPI → Alw 13000n1ml | KENNEDY RICHARD W | field |
| 1 | TRAGICALLY RIPPEDCRUZ JOSE NABOR | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-13 AJX 1.1f 15.00 Bg MT ft 7/8; 2026-04-19 AJX 1.1f 14.20 Bg MT ft 17/20 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Alw 13000n1ml | SISSON BROOKE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEAJX R4 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 110y · Alw13000n1ml
- SHAPEAll styles unknown; inside-rail bias present; pace map unreadable at extreme sprint distance; chaos field
- CHALKFavorite#5 OPEN A NEW CORONA · 2.5 ML · solid on figures but post 5 is outside the bias zone and chalk is unplayable
- LEANWinner call#5 OPEN A NEW CORONA · top back-to-back figs, model overlay, best signal in field
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk horse clears the overlay threshold
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLany speed type with a clean gate break from posts 1–3 makes this a gate-luck lottery; inside-bias + unknown styles = no path to price any runner
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes, pace styles (all U — 110y lines do not yield reliable call1 data)
Why
110-yard dirt sprint at AJX, Allowance n1ml, six runners, all pace styles unknown — extreme volatility at this distance where a single gate jump decides it. Pace map is a blank; bias data shows a clear inside-rail lean (posts 1–3 took 55.6% of wins) but every style reads U, so shape is unknown and the chalk at post 5 draws no help from the rail; #5 OPEN A NEW CORONA sits on back-to-back 91 figs, top figure in the field, and is the model overlay, but as chalk (2.5 ML) is not playable. No horse reaches the two-flag primed threshold — the brief confirms none — and the only non-chalk horses with rising figs (#6, #4, #2) all carry negative or near-zero model edges with no pace path to anchor a price play. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | OPEN A NEW CORONA | 2.5 | 26.5% | 30.0% | +3.5% | 0.61 | U | favoriteTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | POLITICS N LIGHTS | 3.5 | 20.6% | 20.8% | +0.2% | 0.15 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 3 | RR ILLBEURHUCKLEBERY | 3.0 | 23.2% | 19.6% | -3.5% | -0.55 | U | Same trip | — |
| 4 | ALL OUTTA SUGAR | 5.0 | 15.5% | 16.1% | +0.6% | 0.28 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | EYE SPY MY | 10.0 | 8.4% | 8.9% | +0.4% | 0.32 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | TRAGICALLY RIPPED | 15.0 | 5.8% | 4.6% | -1.2% | -0.81 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |