PRX R8 · 2026-10-06
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #6 PREACHA MEYERS
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6PREACHA MEYERSEP
- C2#1PROFOUNDP
- C3#5WORCESTERC
- C4#4NATIONAL LAWS
- C5#3MY IMAGINATIONS
- C6#2MIDWAY MUNNYS
#6 PREACHA MEYERS controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #6 PREACHA MEYERS · hurts #5 WORCESTER, #4 NATIONAL LAW, #3 MY IMAGINATION, #2 MIDWAY MUNNY
Someone presses #6 PREACHA MEYERS. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #1 PROFOUND, #4 NATIONAL LAW, #3 MY IMAGINATION, #2 MIDWAY MUNNY · hurts #6 PREACHA MEYERS
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 WORCESTER, #4 NATIONAL LAW, #3 MY IMAGINATION, #2 MIDWAY MUNNY).
Helps #5 WORCESTER, #4 NATIONAL LAW, #3 MY IMAGINATION, #2 MIDWAY MUNNY · hurts #6 PREACHA MEYERS
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NATIONAL LAWLOPEZ PASCACIO | 1.6 | S | Sharp workTop last figSame trip2026-09-30 CNS 4f 50.80 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-09-25 CNS 4f 50.80 B MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | OC55000b → OClm 50000b | DUARTE JORGE JR | Favorite |
| 5 | WORCESTERSANCHEZ MYCHEL J | 2.0 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-30 PRX 4f 48.40 Bg MT ft 25/85; 2026-08-30 DEL 4f 48.20 B MT ft bullet 1/13 · barn: same as last | OC55000b → OClm 50000b | NESS JAMIE | Favorite |
| 1 | PROFOUNDPENNINGTON F | 3.0 | P | Same trip2026-09-30 PRX 5f 60.80 B MT ft 7/30; 2026-08-12 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 20/47 · barn: same as last | rGvrnorDayH100k → OClm 50000b | WYNER HAROLD | field |
| 6 | PREACHA MEYERSSILVERA RUBEN | 5.0 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip2026-08-26 PRX 3f 37.20 B MT ft bullet 1/5; 2026-07-21 PRX 8f 101.40 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | OC50000n2x → OClm 50000b | NESS JAMIE | primed |
| 2 | MIDWAY MUNNYMARTINEZ FRANCISCO | 8.0 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-30 PRX 4f 47.60 B MT ft 7/85; 2026-09-20 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT gd 47/57 · barn: same as last | OC16000n1x → OClm 50000b | DUNN BENJAMIN J | primed |
| 3 | MY IMAGINATIONBOWMAN ADAM | 15.0 | S | Same trip2026-03-11 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 29/39; 2025-10-18 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 20/57 · barn: same as last | GrnwdCpL150k → OClm 50000b | BEDARD ALAN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R8 · 2026-10-06 · D / 1830y / OClm 50000b
- SHAPELone speed #6 controls; speed + inside bias favors the front; stalker-heavy field needs a pace that may never materialize
- CHALKFavorite#4 NATIONAL LAW 1.6 · short / usable but short · top fig, sharp works, class fits — but stalker style in a lone-speed map means Scenario A is hostile; not opposable on shape alone, just too short to play
- LEANWinner call#6 PREACHA MEYERS · lone EP, clear path in Scenario A, 3rd-start cycle, rising figs, won last — rightful winner call
- PRIMED#6 PREACHA MEYERS (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, top late pace, same trip); #2 MIDWAY MUNNY (rising figs +16, 2nd off layoff — but massive class jump from OC16k, no overlay)
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlay clears the threshold)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — LEAN is not chalk but carries no overlay; sheet rec is PASS; no price horse qualifies
- KILL#4 NATIONAL LAW presses from post 4 and hooks #6 into a duel; Scenario B collapses the lone-speed thesis and opens the race for the stalker field
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather / track condition change, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt route OC-claimers at PRX, six horses, moderate volatility given the class jump on #2 and the lone-speed setup. #6 PREACHA MEYERS is lone EP in a field of stalkers and closers on a speed-biased inside rail, making the chalk (#4 NATIONAL LAW at 1.6) a stalker who needs the pace to soften — it may be the best horse but it is priced like a cinch. #6 is the primed play-side name: rising figs (83→86), third start of cycle, top late pace, won last out at CNL, and the pace map in Scenario A hands it the lead wire to wire — but at 5-1 ML it still has no overlay flag, so the sheet rec is PASS.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NATIONAL LAW | 1.6 | 29.4% | 32.5% | +3.1% | 0.70 | S | favoriteSharp workTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | WORCESTER | 2.0 | 25.5% | 27.7% | +2.2% | 0.62 | C | favorite2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 1 | PROFOUND | 3.0 | 19.1% | 15.8% | -3.3% | -0.45 | P | Same trip | — |
| 6 | PREACHA MEYERS | 5.0 | 12.7% | 13.5% | +0.7% | 0.52 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | MIDWAY MUNNY | 8.0 | 8.5% | 6.9% | -1.6% | -0.52 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 3 | MY IMAGINATION | 15.0 | 4.8% | 3.6% | -1.2% | -0.86 | S | Same trip | — |