Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find CT R1 · 2026-10-10 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#7 vs #2)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#7CRYSTAL VEILE
  2. C2#2A NOTABLE NATUREEP
  3. C3#5GHOST BUSTAUU
  4. C4#4FAR OUT WESTUU
  5. C5#3JUBANNUITYUU
  6. C6#6ON A PEDESTALS
  7. C7#1WHALE OF A DREAMUU
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #7 CRYSTAL VEIL and #2 A NOTABLE NATURE. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #6 ON A PEDESTAL · hurts #7 CRYSTAL VEIL, #2 A NOTABLE NATURE

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #7 CRYSTAL VEIL and #2 A NOTABLE NATURE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #6 ON A PEDESTAL · hurts #7 CRYSTAL VEIL, #2 A NOTABLE NATURE

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 ON A PEDESTAL).

Helps #6 ON A PEDESTAL · hurts #7 CRYSTAL VEIL, #2 A NOTABLE NATURE

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
7CRYSTAL VEILBARBOSA JEIRON0.6ELed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-07 LRL 4f 47.20 H MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-08-09 LRL 4f 48.40 H MT ft 10/85 · barn: same as lastfsJMcKeeMemB75k → TCNtBrdClB75kFARRIOR ANTHONYFavorite
6ON A PEDESTALMONTANO JOSE3.5SSame trip2026-09-02 CT 3f 34.80 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-08-28 CT 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as lastfsJMcKeeMemB75k → TCNtBrdClB75kVIANDS STACEY Rfield
5GHOST BUSTABOCACHICA ARNALDO6.0ULed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-05 CT 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 15/27; 2026-08-29 CT 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 9/19 · barn: same as lastfsMdSpWt → TCNtBrdClB75kCONTRERAS JAVIERfield
2A NOTABLE NATURELOPEZ ANTONIO8.0EPRising figsSame trip2026-06-26 CT 4f 50.60 B MT ft 27/30; 2026-06-05 CT 4f 50.60 Bg MT ft 24/29 · barn: same as lastfsJMcKeeMemB75k → TCNtBrdClB75kSIGLER RONALD Gfield
4FAR OUT WESTSANTAELLA MOISES12.0USame trip2026-10-03 CT 4f 50.00 B MT ft 8/29; 2026-10-01 CT 3f 35.40 B MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as lastfsMdSpWt → TCNtBrdClB75kBROWN RONNEY Wfield
3JUBANNUITYHIRALDO CHRISTIAN20.0USharp work2026-09-30 CT 4f 50.60 Bg MT ft 1/3; 2026-09-26 CT 4f 48.20 B MT ft bullet 1/34 · barn: BOGGS JOANNA (no last-line barn)— → TCNtBrdClB75kBOGGS JOANNAfield
1WHALE OF A DREAMLOPEZ CARLOS EDUARDO15.0USame trip2026-10-03 CT 4f 52.00 B MT ft 23/29; 2026-09-12 CT 4f 51.60 B MT ft 25/28 · barn: same as lastfsJMcKeeMemB75k → TCNtBrdClB75kCONTRERAS JAVIERfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACECT R1 · 2026-10-10 · D / 1430y / TCNtBrdClB75k
  2. SHAPETwo-speed duel (#7 vs #2) on a speed-and-inside-biased track; stalker #6 is the pace beneficiary but is not an overlay
  3. CHALKFavorite#7 CRYSTAL VEIL · solid · top fig (71–73 range), top e1, won wire-to-wire at this exact trip twice, same class level, bullet work Sep 7 — pace duel is the only real threat
  4. LEANWinner call#7 CRYSTAL VEIL · best horse, best fig, best pace, best path at a speed-biased inside track
  5. PRIMEDnone
  6. PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlays; sheet rec PASS)
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILL#2 A NOTABLE NATURE pressures hard from post 2 and both speed horses empty; #6 ON A PEDESTAL or a chaos closer inherits — but that is a C-scenario only, not a win ticket
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt sprint at CT, 1430y, non-graded state-bred stakes for 2YOs — moderate-to-high volatility given the class step-up and several unknowns in the field. The pace map is a clear two-speed duel between chalk #7 CRYSTAL VEIL (E, top fig, top e1 last) and #2 A NOTABLE NATURE (EP, inner post), which the speed-and-inside bias at CT amplifies — chalk is solid on form but the pace scenario genuinely threatens it. No horse reaches the two-flag primed threshold; #6 ON A PEDESTAL is the logical stalker beneficiary in scenarios B and C but carries a cratered zForm (-1.85) from a one-paced show last out after only an 8-day turnaround, and the model has it as a non-overlay.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
7CRYSTAL VEIL0.648.5%56.4%+7.9%1.17EfavoriteLed lastTop last figSame trip—
6ON A PEDESTAL3.517.3%13.6%-3.6%-0.38SSame trip—
5GHOST BUSTA6.011.1%10.8%-0.3%0.47ULed lastTop last paceSame trip—
2A NOTABLE NATURE8.08.6%7.7%-0.9%0.13EPRising figsSame trip—
4FAR OUT WEST12.06.0%5.3%-0.7%0.07USame trip—
3JUBANNUITY20.03.7%3.2%-0.5%0.00USharp work—
1WHALE OF A DREAM15.04.9%2.9%-1.9%-1.45USame trip—