GP R4 · 2026-10-09
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#5 vs #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5TRAVEL HAPPYE
- C2#2MY PERFECT LADYE
- C3#6MISPRINTP
- C4#1GARUDAP
- C5#3DRUM ROLLC
- C6#4EVANORAS
Honest pace among #5 TRAVEL HAPPY and #2 MY PERFECT LADY. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #6 MISPRINT, #1 GARUDA, #4 EVANORA · hurts #5 TRAVEL HAPPY, #2 MY PERFECT LADY
Pressure: #5 TRAVEL HAPPY and #2 MY PERFECT LADY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #6 MISPRINT, #1 GARUDA, #4 EVANORA · hurts #5 TRAVEL HAPPY, #2 MY PERFECT LADY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 DRUM ROLL, #4 EVANORA).
Helps #3 DRUM ROLL, #4 EVANORA · hurts #5 TRAVEL HAPPY, #2 MY PERFECT LADY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MISPRINTVASQUEZ WILFRED | 2.0 | P | Barn changeTop last figSame trip2026-09-24 PMM 3f 36.00 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-09-10 PMM 3f 37.80 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: change vs FAWKES DAVID | fClm10000c → Clm 10000 | TOMLINSON NICHOLAS J | Favorite |
| 5 | TRAVEL HAPPYREYES LEONEL | 1.8 | E | Top last paceSame trip2026-09-26 PMM 3f 36.20 B MT ft 15/53; 2026-09-05 PMM 3f 37.20 B MT ft 19/37 · barn: same as last | fOC35000 → Clm 10000 | JACKSON GARY G | Favorite |
| 2 | MY PERFECT LADYMENESES MARCOS | 4.0 | E | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-28 GP 4f 48.20 B MT ft 11/34; 2026-08-17 GP 3f 37.20 B MT ft 15/36 · barn: same as last | fClm10000b → Clm 10000 | SANCHEZ AMADOR MEREI | primed |
| 1 | GARUDAGONZALEZ EDWIN | 4.5 | P | Tag dropLed lastSame trip2026-09-27 GP 3f 36.00 B MT ft 5/30; 2026-07-03 GP 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/16 · barn: same as last | fClm20000 → Clm 10000 | RAMIREZ LUIS M | field |
| 3 | DRUM ROLLVASQUEZ MIGUEL ANGEL | 6.0 | C | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-26 GP 3f 36.80 B MT ft 8/21; 2026-09-19 GP 3f 39.00 B MT my 12/13 · barn: change vs YANEZ REYNALDO | fClm6250 → Clm 10000 | BARBOZA VICTOR JR | field |
| 4 | EVANORAMARTINEZ CARLOS | 12.0 | S | Same trip2026-06-14 PMM 3f 38.00 B MT ft 5/13; 2026-04-05 GP 3f 36.40 Bg MT ft 8/17 · barn: same as last | fOC12500 → Clm 10000 | ARSCOTT GARRETT W | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEGP R4 · 2026-10-09 · D 1100y · Clm 10000
- SHAPETwo-E duel (#5 vs #2) · speed bias / inside rail · presser-stalker tier lives
- CHALKFavorite#6 MISPRINT (ML 2) · solid — top fig, barn change sending, pace path in A/B, but shortest ML by far
- LEANWinner call#6 MISPRINT · best horse in the shape; presser from post 6 benefits from the duel
- PRIMED#2 MY PERFECT LADY (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) — path only if she controls early alone, which the map says no
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay on the board
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#5 clears by 3 lengths uncontested and wires the field; live tote collapses MISPRINT below any usable number
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at GP, 1100y, $10K claimer, six-horse field — moderate-to-high volatility given two need-the-lead types and a speed/pace bias track. Two early horses (#5 TRAVEL HAPPY, #2 MY PERFECT LADY) project a duel from the gate, which sets up the presser/stalker tier; chalk #6 MISPRINT is the class of the pace map from post 6 and holds the top fig in the field (84–86 range), but the model shows no non-chalk overlay and the sheet rec is PASS. #2 MY PERFECT LADY is the tagged primed horse (rising figs 68→75, 2nd off layoff), but her own E style puts her into the duel she creates — she wins if she controls it alone, which the pace map says she won't — and her model/market edge is only 0.006 with no overlay flag. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MISPRINT | 2.0 | 25.8% | 30.8% | +5.0% | 1.06 | P | favoriteBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | TRAVEL HAPPY | 1.8 | 27.6% | 28.0% | +0.3% | 0.40 | E | favoriteTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | MY PERFECT LADY | 4.0 | 15.5% | 16.1% | +0.6% | 0.50 | E | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 1 | GARUDA | 4.5 | 14.1% | 13.1% | -0.9% | 0.07 | P | Tag dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | DRUM ROLL | 6.0 | 11.1% | 7.7% | -3.3% | -1.09 | C | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | EVANORA | 12.0 | 6.0% | 4.3% | -1.6% | -0.94 | S | Same trip | — |