PRX R8 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R8 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7TIMSS
- C2#8PSALMISTC
- C3#6CURLYS AGENDAC
- C4#1GOLDEN SANDC
- C5#4LITTLE SNECKDRAWC
- C6#3ITS AUTHENTICC
- C7#5DUKE OF SUGGINSP
- C8#2QUETZAL ISLANDC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #5 DUKE OF SUGGINS, #7 TIMS · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #5 DUKE OF SUGGINS, #7 TIMS · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 TIMS, #8 PSALMIST, #6 CURLYS AGENDA, #1 GOLDEN SAND, #4 LITTLE SNECKDRAW, #3 ITS AUTHENTIC, #2 QUETZAL ISLAND).
Helps #7 TIMS, #8 PSALMIST, #6 CURLYS AGENDA, #1 GOLDEN SAND, #4 LITTLE SNECKDRAW, #3 ITS AUTHENTIC, #2 QUETZAL ISLAND · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | TIMSVARGAS JORGE A JR | 2.5 | S | Rising figsTrouble lastTop last figSame trip2026-08-08 PRX 4f 50.80 B MT gd 93/106; 2026-05-24 CDT 4f 49.20 B MT ft 9/22 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | PADILLA HUGO O | Favorite |
| 6 | CURLYS AGENDAOCASIO LUIS M | 3.0 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-08-07 LA 5f 61.40 H MT ft 2/4; 2026-07-02 SA 5f 62.60 H MT ft 27/32 · barn: change vs RODRIGUEZ FRANCISCO | Clm25000b → OClm 16000 | PADILLA ESTEBAN | overlay |
| 8 | PSALMISTMARTINEZ FRANCISCO | 3.5 | C | Top last pace2026-09-20 PRX 4f 48.60 B MT gd 14/57; 2026-09-02 PRX 4f 50.80 B MT ft 31/34 · barn: same as last | OC25000 → OClm 16000 | SOLIS JACINTO | field |
| 1 | GOLDEN SANDMEJIAS KLEINER A | 4.5 | C | Class dropBarn change2026-09-11 PRX 4f 48.80 B MT ft 13/26; 2026-09-04 PRX 4f 50.40 B MT gd 14/19 · barn: change vs MAGEE KIERON | Alw34100n2l → OClm 16000 | PENALOZA MIGUEL | field |
| 2 | QUETZAL ISLANDTORRES BRYAN L | 10.0 | C | Rising figsTag drop2026-08-10 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 39/52; 2026-06-22 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 12/14 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → OClm 16000 | TAPSAS ILIAS | field |
| 3 | ITS AUTHENTICWOLFSONT ANDREW | 10.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-08 PRX 5f 60.60 B MT gd 2/13; 2026-07-25 PRX 5f 62.00 B MT ft 16/29 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | CROWELL SUSAN L | field |
| 4 | LITTLE SNECKDRAWCHUAN MARTIN | 12.0 | C | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-20 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT gd 6/57; 2026-08-20 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 16/21 · barn: change vs MARTIN RAMON F | Md10000c → OClm 16000 | KIRBY JOHN T | field |
| 5 | DUKE OF SUGGINSSILVERA RUBEN | 12.0 | P | Led lastBarn changeSame trip2026-09-18 PRX 5f 62.00 B MT ft 3/8; 2026-09-09 PRX 5f 61.00 B MT ft 5/15 · barn: change vs KURTZ SHELBI A | Clm16000n2l → OClm 16000 | PADILLA-PRECIADO ERNESTO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R8 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1830y OClm 16000
- SHAPENo early speed — crawl likely; closers need a target; lone presser #5 and stalker #7 hold the cleanest A/B paths
- CHALKFavorite#7 TIMS · solid · top fig (77), stalker style fits a crawl, same class/trip, rising from 66; 2-1/2 ML is a fair price that the market already respects
- LEANWinner call#7 TIMS · stalker with top fig, pace path in A and B, class match
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ computed ready flags)
- PRICE#6 CURLYS AGENDA · edge 0.048 · class drop (Clm25k → OClm 16k), barn change, 93 fig buried in form — needs chaos or a genuine pace target; path is C-only
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay (#6) is a C-path closer in a no-pace race; no non-chalk horse clears A or B with confidence at a price
- KILLA surprise gate-to-wire type materializes and gifts #6 a target; or the chalk misses the break and the race devolves to chaos — at that point it's an exotic, not a win ticket
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes not on a PP line
Why
Dirt route at Parx, OClm 16000, field of eight closers with almost no early speed — moderate-to-high volatility because a crawl sets up for whoever can sit second and pounce. The shape is a no-pace map that helps the lone presser (#5) and the chalk (#7 TIMS, stalker, top fig, 2-1/2 ML), but the pace map actually favors a tactical horse more than a deep closer. No horse carries two or more computed ready flags outside the chalk, so PRIMED is none among non-chalk; #6 CURLYS AGENDA holds the only model overlay at edge 0.048, dropping from Clm25k to OClm 16k with a new barn and a monster 93 fig buried under two dull California starts, though the path is C-scenario (closer needs a collapse or a target).
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | TIMS | 2.5 | 22.4% | 24.4% | +2.0% | 0.64 | S | favoriteRising figsTrouble lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | CURLYS AGENDA | 3.0 | 19.6% | 24.4% | +4.8% | 1.17 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 8 | PSALMIST | 3.5 | 17.4% | 17.1% | -0.3% | 0.22 | C | Top last pace | — |
| 1 | GOLDEN SAND | 4.5 | 14.3% | 11.7% | -2.6% | -0.50 | C | Class dropBarn change | — |
| 2 | QUETZAL ISLAND | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.9% | -0.2% | 0.16 | C | Rising figsTag drop | — |
| 3 | ITS AUTHENTIC | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.2% | -0.9% | -0.24 | C | Same trip | — |
| 4 | LITTLE SNECKDRAW | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.1% | -1.0% | -0.40 | C | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | DUKE OF SUGGINS | 12.0 | 6.0% | 4.3% | -1.7% | -1.04 | P | Led lastBarn changeSame trip | — |