PID R8 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R8 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#4 #8 #3 #5)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4STREET SUEE
- C2#8NAME DROPPERE
- C3#3BOTTLED TIMEEP
- C4#5BURN IT ALLEP
- C5#1SWEET CAROL JAMESS
- C6#10DANCING SHADOWSP
- C7#6PRINCESS CHARMINGS
- C8#9DON DIVAS
- C9#7HAWKEYEJETS
- C10#2LIGHTENC
Honest pace among #4 STREET SUE and #8 NAME DROPPER and #3 BOTTLED TIME and #5 BURN IT ALL. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #10 DANCING SHADOWS, #1 SWEET CAROL JAMES, #6 PRINCESS CHARMING, #9 DON DIVA, #7 HAWKEYEJET · hurts #4 STREET SUE, #8 NAME DROPPER, #3 BOTTLED TIME, #5 BURN IT ALL
Pressure: #4 STREET SUE and #8 NAME DROPPER and #3 BOTTLED TIME and #5 BURN IT ALL hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #10 DANCING SHADOWS, #1 SWEET CAROL JAMES, #6 PRINCESS CHARMING, #9 DON DIVA, #7 HAWKEYEJET · hurts #4 STREET SUE, #8 NAME DROPPER, #3 BOTTLED TIME, #5 BURN IT ALL
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 SWEET CAROL JAMES, #6 PRINCESS CHARMING, #9 DON DIVA, #7 HAWKEYEJET, #2 LIGHTEN).
Helps #1 SWEET CAROL JAMES, #6 PRINCESS CHARMING, #9 DON DIVA, #7 HAWKEYEJET, #2 LIGHTEN · hurts #4 STREET SUE, #8 NAME DROPPER, #3 BOTTLED TIME, #5 BURN IT ALL
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | PRINCESS CHARMINGMONTANEZ ROSARIO | 3.0 | S | Top last figSame trip2026-07-30 PID 3f 35.00 B MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-06-17 PID 5f 62.20 Bg MT ft 4/6 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | DAVIS SCOOTER | Favorite |
| 8 | NAME DROPPERKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 3.5 | E | Same trip2026-07-20 PID 4f 48.20 B MT ft 7/13; 2026-05-05 TDN 3f 37.00 B MT gd 2/9 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | HAMM TIMOTHY | overlay |
| 4 | STREET SUEGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 4.0 | E | Tag dropSharp workTop last paceSame trip2026-09-30 PID 3f 35.40 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-07-11 PMM 3f 37.60 B MT wf 27/35 · barn: same as last | fClm12500n2l → Clm 6250n2l | RODRIGUEZ DARIEN | field |
| 1 | SWEET CAROL JAMESSEVERINO VICTOR | 4.5 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-18 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft 4/19; 2026-05-11 FL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 12/26 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | BARRON RORY | field |
| 3 | BOTTLED TIMEDIAZ HECTOR RAFAEL JR | 6.0 | EP | Tag dropSame trip2026-08-12 PID 4f 48.80 B MT ft 4/7; 2026-08-04 PID 4f 47.80 B MT ft bullet 1/16 · barn: same as last | fClm12500n2l → Clm 6250n2l | HAMM TIMOTHY | field |
| 7 | HAWKEYEJETALLEN M | 8.0 | S | Same trip2026-08-28 PID 3f 37.20 B MT ft 3/4; 2026-07-10 PID 5f 61.20 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fMd7500 → Clm 6250n2l | ANTUS LAWRENCE | field |
| 2 | LIGHTENRODRIGUEZ ISRAEL O | 10.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-08-19 PRX 4f 51.40 Bg MT ft 60/64; 2026-08-12 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 27/47 · barn: change vs NESS JAMIE | fClm12500n2lc → Clm 6250n2l | ARRIAGADA JUAN | primed |
| 5 | BURN IT ALLSPIETH S | 12.0 | EP | Same trip2026-06-11 PID 4f 47.80 Bg MT ft 3/18; 2026-06-02 PID 4f 48.80 B MT ft 19/26 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | GONZALEZ ALDANA | field |
| 9 | DON DIVATUNON JORDANO | 15.0 | S | Rising figs2026-09-26 PEN 4f 55.60 B MT ft 34/34; 2026-07-11 PEN 4f 51.40 B MT ft 20/22 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → Clm 6250n2l | SHANNON JENNIFER | field |
| 10 | DANCING SHADOWSGREENIDGE ELIJAH | 15.0 | P | Tag dropLed last2026-09-29 MNR 4f 52.80 B MT ft 8/8; 2026-05-12 MNR 4f 50.60 B MT ft 12/18 · barn: same as last | fClm10000n2x → Clm 6250n2l | INMAN ROBERT L | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R8 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 6250n2l
- SHAPEWall of speed (#4 #8 #3 #5) into a duel/meltdown; rail/speed bias cuts both ways — speed burns itself, inside stalkers collect
- CHALKFavorite#6 PRINCESS CHARMING · solid but short · top fig, same trip, clean stalking path, but ML 3 offers no price in a race she could easily lose to pace collapse beneficiaries
- LEANWinner call#6 PRINCESS CHARMING · best figure, clean pace path in A/B, same class/trip — rightful winner call
- PRIMED#2 LIGHTEN · rising figs (+8), 2nd off layoff (47d gap into return, now start 2), tag drop (Clm12500n2lc → Clm 6250n2l), barn change — four flags; closer who needs the duel to materialize
- PRICE#8 NAME DROPPER edge 0.023 (model overlay per brief) — early speed from post 8, top zSpeed/zPace, but runs directly into the wall; path exists only if he clears and the others collapse behind him, which is scenario A at best
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #2 LIGHTEN is PRIMED but model edge is negative (overlay=false) and last fig of 51 is the lowest in the contender tier; #8 NAME DROPPER has the only positive model edge but is speed-into-speed from post 8 with a pace meltdown shape against him; no non-chalk horse clears both the price and the path bar cleanly enough for a win ticket
- KILLRail bias holds for early speed — if #4 STREET SUE or #8 NAME DROPPER clears uncontested and the duel never materializes, chalk wins and no price horse fires; #2 LIGHTEN broke inward last out and needs a clean getaway
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes not on PP lines
Why
Dirt sprint at the claiming level (Clm 6250n2l, 1320y, PID) with a speed-biased rail and a wall of four early/presser types (#4, #8, #3, #5) projected to hook up, making this a duel-meltdown shape that strongly benefits the stalking/closing tier — chalk #6 PRINCESS CHARMING (ML 3, stalker) has the top figure but runs from post 6 into that hot pace and carries a short price against a compressed field, making her solid but unplayable. #2 LIGHTEN is the only horse flagged PRIMED (rising figs +8, 2nd off layoff, tag drop two levels, barn change), exits a 1320y sprint at CNL, and projects as a closer who inherits ground if the duel empties the speed — the path exists in scenarios A, B, and C, though at ML 10 with a weak last figure (51) and a "bit tight start" trip note, she needs the race to fall apart and a clean break today.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | PRINCESS CHARMING | 3.0 | 17.8% | 18.2% | +0.4% | 0.32 | S | favoriteTop last figSame trip | — |
| 8 | NAME DROPPER | 3.5 | 15.9% | 18.2% | +2.3% | 0.79 | E | Same trip | — |
| 4 | STREET SUE | 4.0 | 14.3% | 16.1% | +1.8% | 0.72 | E | Tag dropSharp workTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | SWEET CAROL JAMES | 4.5 | 13.0% | 12.6% | -0.3% | 0.14 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 3 | BOTTLED TIME | 6.0 | 10.2% | 10.4% | +0.2% | 0.32 | EP | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | HAWKEYEJET | 8.0 | 7.9% | 6.7% | -1.2% | -0.41 | S | Same trip | — |
| 2 | LIGHTEN | 10.0 | 6.5% | 5.7% | -0.8% | -0.29 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffTag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | BURN IT ALL | 12.0 | 5.5% | 5.1% | -0.4% | -0.06 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 9 | DON DIVA | 15.0 | 4.5% | 3.6% | -0.8% | -0.58 | S | Rising figs | — |
| 10 | DANCING SHADOWS | 15.0 | 4.5% | 3.3% | -1.2% | -0.96 | P | Tag dropLed last | — |