SA R1 · 2026-10-09

PASST1980yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

No dedicated early — closers need collapse

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#1RAGING INFERNOP
C2#3SOGNO DI VINOS
C3#4BAD TO THE BONESC
C4#6PRECISIONC
C5#5LOVE THE PRESSUREP
C6#2ITS THE BANDITS

A · Likely — expected flow

No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.

Helps #1 RAGING INFERNO, #5 LOVE THE PRESSURE, #3 SOGNO DI VINO, #2 ITS THE BANDIT · hurts —

B · Pressure — duel / honest

A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.

Helps #1 RAGING INFERNO, #5 LOVE THE PRESSURE, #3 SOGNO DI VINO, #2 ITS THE BANDIT · hurts —

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 SOGNO DI VINO, #4 BAD TO THE BONES, #6 PRECISION, #2 ITS THE BANDIT).

Helps #3 SOGNO DI VINO, #4 BAD TO THE BONES, #6 PRECISION, #2 ITS THE BANDIT · hurts —

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
3	SOGNO DI VINOROSARIO JOEL	0.8	S	Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-10-02 SLR 5f 61.00 H MT ft 10/13; 2026-09-25 SLR 5f 61.60 H MT ft 10/14 · barn: same as last	sOC20000n1x → Clm 25000n2l	MILLER PETER	Favorite
5	LOVE THE PRESSUREHERNANDEZ JUAN J	2.0	P	Sharp workSame trip2026-10-01 SLR 5f 61.60 H MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-24 SLR 5f 61.00 H MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: same as last	Clm25000n2l → Clm 25000n2l	MCCARTHY MICHAEL W	Favorite
1	RAGING INFERNOKIMURA KAZUSHI	6.0	P	3rd start cycleBarn changeSharp workSame trip2026-10-02 LA 4f 52.60 H MT ft 17/17; 2026-09-26 LA 4f 47.80 H MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: change vs BLACKER DANIEL	Md20000c → Clm 25000n2l	HERNANDEZ JOSE JR	field
4	BAD TO THE BONESORANTES WELFIN R	10.0	C	3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-25 SA 4f 49.20 H MT ft 9/13; 2026-08-14 DMR 4f 48.40 H MT ft 32/89 · barn: same as last	Clm25000n2l → Clm 25000n2l	HANSON RYAN	field
6	PRECISIONBAUTISTA ALFREDO L	12.0	C	Rising figsSame trip2026-09-30 SA 5f 63.20 H MT ft 13/14; 2026-09-21 SA 4f 49.00 H MT ft 34/73 · barn: same as last	Clm25000n2l → Clm 25000n2l	PALMA HECTOR O	field
2	ITS THE BANDITORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO	15.0	S	Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-07-25 LA 5f 59.40 H MT ft 1/3; 2026-06-17 LA 5f 59.80 H MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as last	sMd12500 → Clm 25000n2l	CUNNINGHAM BRIAN T	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed

RACESA R1 · 2026-10-09 · Turf 1980y Clm 25000n2l
SHAPENo dedicated early — crawl likely; stalkers favored; closers need a collapse that may not come
CHALKFavorite#3 SOGNO DI VINO · solid · top fig in field, rising figs (89 over 86), route-proven, Joel up; field is thin behind it
LEANWinner call#3 SOGNO DI VINO
PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse clears 2+ flags with a live path)
PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays)
PLAYPrice ticketPASS
KILLOff-turf switch, or a surprise speed type that hooks SOGNO DI VINO into a duel it has consistently lost when pressured
MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, going condition (firm vs soft changes late-energy weight), rider changes

Why

Turf route claimer at Santa Anita, six-horse field, moderate volatility given the crawl-likely shape and a heavy chalk at 4-5.

No dedicated early speed makes this a tactical stalker's race, and #3 SOGNO DI VINO is the dominant chalk — top fig (89), rising cycle, and a clear stalker path in both A and B scenarios, though the class move down from sOC20000n1x is worth noting as a possible "send."

No horse outside the chalk clears the two-flag primed threshold with a legitimate pace path and a non-chalk price.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
3	SOGNO DI VINO	0.8	44.0%	50.1%	+6.1%	0.90	S	favoriteRising figsTop last figSame trip	—
5	LOVE THE PRESSURE	2.0	26.4%	24.5%	-1.9%	0.07	P	favoriteSharp workSame trip	—
1	RAGING INFERNO	6.0	11.3%	9.3%	-2.0%	-0.40	P	3rd start cycleBarn changeSharp workSame trip	—
4	BAD TO THE BONES	10.0	7.2%	6.3%	-0.9%	-0.14	C	3rd start cycleSame trip	—
6	PRECISION	12.0	6.1%	5.9%	-0.2%	0.23	C	Rising figsSame trip	—
2	ITS THE BANDIT	15.0	5.0%	3.8%	-1.1%	-0.67	S	Rising figsTop last paceSame trip	—