DEL R6 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R6 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#8 #3 #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8TAKE ME TO CHURCHEP
- C2#2SKYS NOT FALLINGP
- C3#3CATCH THE SMOKEEP
- C4#5AMEDEUS MUSICEP
- C5#4TAP EMC
- C6#11HOODLUMS
- C7#1ROXTONC
- C8#9BE HEREC
- C9#12MO REWARDSC
- C10#6RUSEC
- C11#7CHUCK ADAMSS
- C12#10TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGEC
- C13#13THICK AS THIEVESC
Honest pace among #8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH and #3 CATCH THE SMOKE and #5 AMEDEUS MUSIC. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 SKYS NOT FALLING, #11 HOODLUM, #7 CHUCK ADAMS · hurts #8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH, #3 CATCH THE SMOKE, #5 AMEDEUS MUSIC
Pressure: #8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH and #3 CATCH THE SMOKE and #5 AMEDEUS MUSIC hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 SKYS NOT FALLING, #11 HOODLUM, #7 CHUCK ADAMS · hurts #8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH, #3 CATCH THE SMOKE, #5 AMEDEUS MUSIC
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 TAP EM, #11 HOODLUM, #1 ROXTON, #9 BE HERE, #12 MO REWARDS, #6 RUSE, #7 CHUCK ADAMS, #10 TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE, #13 THICK AS THIEVES).
Helps #4 TAP EM, #11 HOODLUM, #1 ROXTON, #9 BE HERE, #12 MO REWARDS, #6 RUSE, #7 CHUCK ADAMS, #10 TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE, #13 THICK AS THIEVES · hurts #8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH, #3 CATCH THE SMOKE, #5 AMEDEUS MUSIC
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | TAKE ME TO CHURCHLOPEZ PASCACIO | 2.0 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-08-29 DEL 4f 49.80 B MT ft 10/40; 2026-08-10 DEL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 9/14 · barn: change vs SACCO GREGORY D | Clm10000c → Clm 12500 | BRION KERI | Favorite |
| 12 | MO REWARDSRODRIGUEZ JAMIE | 3.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-02 DEL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/12; 2026-07-08 DEL 8f 104.00 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as last | Clm10000 → Clm 12500 | NESS JAMIE | field |
| 2 | SKYS NOT FALLINGVILLALOBOS ISMERIO | 4.0 | P | 3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip2026-09-01 CNL 4f 47.80 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-02 CNL 4f 48.20 B MT ft 8/62 · barn: change vs GERALIS EMANUEL J | OC20000 → Clm 12500 | MCGOEY MONICA | overlay |
| 6 | RUSEBATISTA JOSE A | 8.0 | C | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-26 DEL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 42/49; 2026-06-13 GP 4f 50.40 B MT ft 38/45 · barn: same as last | Clm10000 → Clm 12500 | SIMONE MICHAEL V | primed |
| 3 | CATCH THE SMOKELOPEZ PASCACIO | 8.0 | EP | Barn changeTop last paceSame trip2026-09-01 MTH 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-08-16 MTH 4f 48.80 B MT ft 19/109 · barn: change vs FALCONE ROBERT N JR | Clm5000bc → Clm 12500 | POTTS WAYNE | field |
| 1 | ROXTONCEDENO CAROL | 8.0 | C | Tag dropSame trip2026-05-19 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 6/15; 2026-01-03 PRX 5f 62.40 B MT ft 9/14 · barn: same as last | Clm25000n4l → Clm 12500 | VEGA RICHARD | field |
| 5 | AMEDEUS MUSICRODRIGUEZ JAMIE | 8.0 | EP | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-24 BEL 5f 62.40 B TT ft 1/1; 2026-09-16 BEL 4f 49.60 B TT ft 20/38 · barn: same as last | Clm12500 → Clm 12500 | POTTS WAYNE | field |
| 11 | HOODLUMCHEMINAUD VINCENT | 20.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-24 DEL 4f 50.00 B MT gd 10/13; 2026-08-16 CNL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 34/51 · barn: same as last | OC20000 → Clm 12500 | BOWERSOCK MARIA | field |
| 4 | TAP EMLUNA PAUL A | 20.0 | C | Barn changeSame trip2026-05-06 MNR 4f 51.00 B D MT sy 1/1; 2026-04-29 MNR 4f 50.60 B D MT ft 12/17 · barn: change vs SILVA JUAN PABLO | Clm5000 → Clm 12500 | VARGAS JOSE ANTONIO | field |
| 9 | BE HERERIOS JESUS M | 20.0 | C | 3rd start cycleTrouble last2026-08-02 LRL 5f 62.00 B MT ft 6/8; 2026-07-12 LRL 4f 48.60 B MT ft 8/109 · barn: same as last | Clm10000b → Clm 12500 | MALDONADO JONATHAN | primed |
| 13 | THICK AS THIEVESASHTON GAVIN | 12.0 | C | Trouble lastSame trip2026-09-26 PEN 4f 49.80 B MT ft 20/34; 2026-09-17 PEN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 4/14 · barn: same as last | Clm10000 → Clm 12500 | SALVAGGIO MARK V | field |
| 7 | CHUCK ADAMSHERNANDEZ JULIO A | 20.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-12 PEN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 6/17; 2026-06-26 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 13/27 · barn: same as last | OC20000 → Clm 12500 | KRAVETS BRUCE M | field |
| 10 | TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGEFERNANDEZ MARVIN | 20.0 | C | Trouble lastSame trip2026-07-15 PEN 4f 48.80 B MT ft 8/11; 2026-06-10 PEN 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/6 · barn: same as last | Clm10000 → Clm 12500 | KRAVETS BRUCE M | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDEL R6 · 2026-09-30 · Turf 1760y · Clm 12500 · 13 horses
- SHAPEThree-way EP duel (#8 #3 #5) into an outside-bias turf route — pace pressure high, stalkers and closers with post leverage inherit scenarios A and B
- CHALKFavorite#8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH · short · rising figs and barn change are real, but stepping up in tag, 2nd-off-layoff ROI negative (-1.39/203 starts), and running into a duel from post 8; usable but short
- LEANWinner call#8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH · best fig in the field (83), top zForm, and the bias favors outside posts; if the pace self-regulates, he can lob along at EP and hold
- PRIMED#6 RUSE (2nd off layoff + trouble last — squeezed start Sep 12, 82 fig held gamely); #9 BE HERE (3rd start cycle + trouble last — off slow Aug 29, cycle building)
- PRICE#2 SKYS NOT FALLING — model edge 0.024, highest zSpeed/zPace, 3rd start of cycle, class drop from OC20000, ML 4-1; stalker trip fits A/B with outside bias
- PLAYPrice ticket#2 SKYS NOT FALLING · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if board opens shorter)
- KILL#2 gets shuffled back in the 13-horse first turn and becomes a C-only closer; pace melts and #8 lobs on an uncontested lead; live tote installs #2 below 3-1
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, going report (firm vs soft changes the late-energy picture), rider changes post-ingest
Why
Turf route claimer at Delaware, 13-horse field with a wall of early speed and an outside post bias, moderate-to-high volatility given the crowded pace picture and class mix. Three EP types (#8, #3, #5) are projected to duel into the first call, setting up a contested pace that historically has favored stalkers and closers at this track, with chalk #8 TAKE ME TO CHURCH sitting on a career-best fig but stepping up in tag and drawing post 8 into that speed flow. The sheet's primed closer #6 RUSE (2nd off layoff + trouble last — squeezed at the start Sep 12 while still posting an 82 fig; route-to-route; 8-1 ML) gets a clean outside launch from post 6 and benefits directly from scenarios A and B, but the model shows no overlay there; #2 SKYS NOT FALLING is the lone model overlay, 3rd-start-of-cycle, dropping from OC20000, with the highest zSpeed and zPace in the field, and a stalker trip in A/B that fits the outside bias.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | TAKE ME TO CHURCH | 2.0 | 21.6% | 23.7% | +2.1% | 0.71 | EP | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |
| 12 | MO REWARDS | 3.0 | 16.2% | 16.7% | +0.5% | 0.45 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | SKYS NOT FALLING | 4.0 | 13.0% | 15.4% | +2.4% | 1.02 | P | 3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 6 | RUSE | 8.0 | 7.2% | 7.5% | +0.3% | 0.52 | C | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | CATCH THE SMOKE | 8.0 | 7.2% | 7.3% | +0.1% | 0.41 | EP | Barn changeTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | ROXTON | 8.0 | 7.2% | 6.7% | -0.5% | 0.03 | C | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | AMEDEUS MUSIC | 8.0 | 7.2% | 6.2% | -1.0% | -0.27 | EP | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 11 | HOODLUM | 20.0 | 3.1% | 3.2% | +0.1% | 0.48 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | TAP EM | 20.0 | 3.1% | 3.0% | -0.1% | 0.16 | C | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 9 | BE HERE | 20.0 | 3.1% | 2.8% | -0.3% | -0.05 | C | 3rd start cycleTrouble last | — |
| 13 | THICK AS THIEVES | 12.0 | 5.0% | 2.6% | -2.4% | -2.30 | C | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | CHUCK ADAMS | 20.0 | 3.1% | 2.5% | -0.6% | -0.54 | S | Same trip | — |
| 10 | TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE | 20.0 | 3.1% | 2.4% | -0.7% | -0.63 | C | Trouble lastSame trip | — |