CT R3 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#10 #8 #5 #3)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#10STETTIE HAYESENE
- C2#8CALL ME MICKY JEP
- C3#5PEDROS FANCY MANEP
- C4#3CALVINS RUNEP
- C5#4DRY MARTINI AGAINUU
- C6#7HUNDLEYUU
- C7#1JACK CARSONS
- C8#6COLOR ME JUBAS
- C9#2SIGHTS ON JUBAC
- C10#9REPORTITTOURLAWYERC
Honest pace among #10 STETTIE HAYESEN and #8 CALL ME MICKY J and #5 PEDROS FANCY MAN and #3 CALVINS RUN. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 JACK CARSON, #6 COLOR ME JUBA · hurts #10 STETTIE HAYESEN, #8 CALL ME MICKY J, #5 PEDROS FANCY MAN, #3 CALVINS RUN
Pressure: #10 STETTIE HAYESEN and #8 CALL ME MICKY J and #5 PEDROS FANCY MAN and #3 CALVINS RUN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 JACK CARSON, #6 COLOR ME JUBA · hurts #10 STETTIE HAYESEN, #8 CALL ME MICKY J, #5 PEDROS FANCY MAN, #3 CALVINS RUN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 JACK CARSON, #6 COLOR ME JUBA, #2 SIGHTS ON JUBA, #9 REPORTITTOURLAWYER).
Helps #1 JACK CARSON, #6 COLOR ME JUBA, #2 SIGHTS ON JUBA, #9 REPORTITTOURLAWYER · hurts #10 STETTIE HAYESEN, #8 CALL ME MICKY J, #5 PEDROS FANCY MAN, #3 CALVINS RUN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CALL ME MICKY JLOPEZ CARLOS EDUARDO | 1.4 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-23 LRL 5f 67.00 B D T fm 2/2; 2026-07-26 LRL 3f 36.40 B MT ft 4/34 · barn: same as last | sHMercerMmB75k → VMosBrClsB75k | SALZMAN JOHN E JR | Favorite |
| 3 | CALVINS RUNCRUZ ANGEL | 4.5 | EP | Same trip2026-09-12 CT 3f 37.40 B MT ft 20/36; 2026-07-18 CT 3f 36.20 B MT ft 10/27 · barn: same as last | sHMercerMmB75k → VMosBrClsB75k | RUNCO JEFF C | field |
| 1 | JACK CARSONBOCACHICA ARNALDO | 4.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-12 CT 3f 37.40 B MT ft 20/36; 2026-07-18 CT 3f 36.20 B MT ft 10/27 · barn: same as last | sHMercerMmB75k → VMosBrClsB75k | RUNCO JEFF C | field |
| 4 | DRY MARTINI AGAINCOTTO P L JR | 6.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-12 MTH 4f 49.60 B MT ft 57/94; 2026-08-22 MTH 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 28/75 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → VMosBrClsB75k | O'CONNELL KATHLEEN | field |
| 10 | STETTIE HAYESENLARROSA G | 15.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-15 CT 3f 37.00 B MT ft 6/6; 2026-06-26 CT 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 16/30 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → VMosBrClsB75k | SIGLER RONALD G | field |
| 7 | HUNDLEYBARBOSA JEIRON | 12.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-12 CT 4f 47.80 B MT ft bullet 1/28; 2026-09-05 CT 3f 36.60 B MT ft 7/30 · barn: same as last | sHMercerMmB75k → VMosBrClsB75k | FARRIOR ANTHONY | field |
| 6 | COLOR ME JUBAACOSTA J D | 15.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-07 CT 4f 49.00 Bg MT wf 4/14; 2026-07-21 CT 3f 37.80 B MT ft 11/15 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → VMosBrClsB75k | PETTY KRISTY | field |
| 2 | SIGHTS ON JUBASANTIAGO WILFREDO | 15.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-07 CT 4f 49.00 Bg MT wf 4/14; 2026-07-21 CT 3f 37.80 B MT ft 11/15 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → VMosBrClsB75k | SIGLER RONALD G | field |
| 5 | PEDROS FANCY MANDIAZ SUNDAY JR | 20.0 | EP | Same trip2026-10-03 CT 4f 50.60 Bg MT ft 14/29; 2026-08-08 CT 4f 49.80 B MT ft 7/15 · barn: same as last | sHMercerMmB75k → VMosBrClsB75k | CLATTERBUCK FREDERICK | field |
| 9 | REPORTITTOURLAWYERLOPEZ ANTONIO | 30.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-15 CT 3f 36.80 B MT ft 4/6; 2026-06-26 CT 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 16/30 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → VMosBrClsB75k | PETTY KRISTY | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACECT R3 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1430y · VMosBrClsB75k
- SHAPEWall of four E/EP (#10 #8 #5 #3) into speed/inside bias — duel near-certain; stalkers #1 #6 get the pace scenario but carry weak figs
- CHALKFavorite#8 CALL ME MICKY J · short (1.4 ML) · dominant fig and form, but outer post into inside-bias speed track with a four-way duel ahead
- LEANWinner call#8 CALL ME MICKY J · best figure, best pace rating, rising cycle — chalk fires if it clears the duel
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ ready flags with a model overlay)
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#8 gets hooked immediately from post 8 on a rail-biased track and empties; #1 or #3 inherit at a fair price that the sheet never had
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint among 2YO non-graded stakes types at CT, pace map a wall of four early/pressers into a speed/inside-bias track — extreme volatility for the pressers, straightforward for any horse that can sit and pounce. The chalk #8 CALL ME MICKY J is the dominant figure here (fig 76, top e1, led last, rising from 44→76) but draws post 8 into a speed-bias/inside-rail track and faces a four-way pace duel that could compromise even the best fig; no non-chalk horse clears two ready flags *and* carries a model overlay, so no price exists. No primed non-chalk horse has a pace path that produces an overlay — #1 JACK CARSON is 2nd-off-layoff but his signal is near zero, fig 63 last, and he is at fair ML. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CALL ME MICKY J | 1.4 | 32.4% | 40.7% | +8.3% | 1.51 | EP | favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | CALVINS RUN | 4.5 | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.1% | 0.59 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 1 | JACK CARSON | 4.0 | 15.6% | 13.4% | -2.1% | 0.01 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 4 | DRY MARTINI AGAIN | 6.0 | 11.1% | 10.4% | -0.7% | 0.35 | U | Same trip | — |
| 10 | STETTIE HAYESEN | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.7% | -0.1% | 0.50 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | HUNDLEY | 12.0 | 6.0% | 4.3% | -1.7% | -0.69 | U | Same trip | — |
| 6 | COLOR ME JUBA | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.0% | -0.9% | -0.17 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | SIGHTS ON JUBA | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.8% | -1.0% | -0.34 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | PEDROS FANCY MAN | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.0% | -0.7% | -0.23 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 9 | REPORTITTOURLAWYER | 30.0 | 2.5% | 1.5% | -1.0% | -1.53 | C | Same trip | — |