PRX R1 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R1 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8GRUENE HALLP
- C2#5DAKOTA CAMS
- C3#4RUBY RUBYS
- C4#1MY LITTLE WILDCATEP
- C5#2ASTRIDC
- C6#3ROYALTIES RICHESS
- C7#7ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAYC
- C8#6QUEEN CATALINAC
#1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT · hurts #5 DAKOTA CAM, #4 RUBY RUBY, #2 ASTRID, #3 ROYALTIES RICHES, #7 ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY, #6 QUEEN CATALINA
Someone presses #1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #8 GRUENE HALL, #5 DAKOTA CAM, #4 RUBY RUBY, #3 ROYALTIES RICHES · hurts #1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 DAKOTA CAM, #4 RUBY RUBY, #2 ASTRID, #3 ROYALTIES RICHES, #7 ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY, #6 QUEEN CATALINA).
Helps #5 DAKOTA CAM, #4 RUBY RUBY, #2 ASTRID, #3 ROYALTIES RICHES, #7 ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY, #6 QUEEN CATALINA · hurts #1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | RUBY RUBYADORNO ABNER | 3.0 | S | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-20 PRX 5f 63.20 B MT gd 8/8; 2026-09-12 PRX 4f 48.80 B MT ft 35/89 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → Clm 7500b | KIRBY JOHN T | Favorite |
| 5 | DAKOTA CAMRUIZ ELISEO | 4.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-06-20 MTH 4f 49.80 B MT ft 30/54; 2026-05-13 MTH 4f 49.60 B MT ft 7/19 · barn: same as last | fClm25000b → Clm 7500b | RAMIREZ SILVINO | field |
| 2 | ASTRIDHERMAN NOEL | 5.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-09 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 21/58; 2025-12-31 FAI 4f 48.40 B TT ft 2/12 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500b | SOLIS JACINTO | field |
| 8 | GRUENE HALLGONZALEZ MELVIS | 4.5 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-26 PRX 5f 60.20 B MT ft 2/13; 2026-08-15 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 57/65 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → Clm 7500b | GUERRERO J CARLOS | primed |
| 3 | ROYALTIES RICHESHADDOCK DEXTER | 5.0 | S | Same trip2026-08-11 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 36/41; 2026-07-25 PRX 4f 48.40 B MT ft 20/98 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500b | PINO MICHAEL V | field |
| 7 | ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAYTORRES BRYAN L | 10.0 | C | 2nd off layoffTag drop2026-08-28 PRX 3f 39.60 B MT gd 1/1; 2026-06-10 PRX 5f 61.40 B MT ft 4/11 · barn: same as last | fClm12500b → Clm 7500b | BROWN HOWARD R JR | field |
| 1 | MY LITTLE WILDCATOCASIO LUIS M | 8.0 | EP | 2nd off layoffBarn change2026-09-02 DEL 4f 51.80 B MT my 3/6; 2026-05-16 DEL 4f 51.80 B MT ft 52/75 · barn: change vs MENDIETA ALEJANDRO OLAIS | fClm7500bc → Clm 7500b | SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTT | field |
| 6 | QUEEN CATALINARIVERA KENDRY | 12.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-20 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT ft 5/21; 2026-07-21 PRX 3f 36.60 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500b | MARTIN RAMON F | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R1 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1830y · Clm 7500b
- SHAPELone speed #1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT — but fig 31 / LP 36 last out signals this "E" is likely to stop; moderate pressure scenario (B) is the base case, setting up for stalkers
- CHALKFavorite#4 RUBY RUBY · solid · top fig, top LP, real class drop, rising cycle — rightful favorite, not opposable on shape; too short at ML 3 to play
- LEANWinner call#4 RUBY RUBY · best horse, clean route path in A or B
- PRIMED#8 GRUENE HALL [rising_figs 59→64, second_off_layoff, same_trip] — presser that benefits if #1 fades and pace opens up (scenario B); post 8 and negative model edge are the risks
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay clears the model; sheet rec is PASS
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT surprises and wires the field on a soft pace, collapsing the stalker/presser advantage; or #4 RUBY RUBY is bet below 2-1 and the board confirms the price is already squeezed
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition upgrade, rider changes
Why
Dirt two-turn route at the claiming cellar (7500b, PRX), eight runners, moderate volatility from a weak field with one clear lone-speed type and a heavy favorite dropping from optional-claiming company. #1 MY LITTLE WILDCAT projects to clear uncontested — stopped cold last out (fig 31, LP 36) after a layoff, barn change, and deeply negative model signal, making the lone-speed map a paper tiger that favors the stalkers if fractions stay honest; chalk is #4 RUBY RUBY at ML 3, class-dropping from fOC16000, top fig (76) and top LP in the field, rising cycle, solid — but too short to play. #8 GRUENE HALL is the ingest-flagged primed horse (rising figs 59→64, 2nd off layoff, same trip) with a presser style that puts it first to the real pace in scenario B, though a negative model edge and post 8 in a field that penalizes outside posts are material concerns. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | RUBY RUBY | 3.0 | 20.1% | 24.0% | +3.9% | 0.97 | S | favoriteRising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | DAKOTA CAM | 4.0 | 16.1% | 17.6% | +1.5% | 0.63 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | ASTRID | 5.0 | 13.4% | 14.8% | +1.4% | 0.66 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 8 | GRUENE HALL | 4.5 | 14.6% | 13.5% | -1.1% | -0.06 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 3 | ROYALTIES RICHES | 5.0 | 13.4% | 12.8% | -0.6% | 0.09 | S | Same trip | — |
| 7 | ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY | 10.0 | 7.3% | 7.2% | -0.2% | 0.19 | C | 2nd off layoffTag drop | — |
| 1 | MY LITTLE WILDCAT | 8.0 | 8.9% | 5.7% | -3.2% | -1.51 | EP | 2nd off layoffBarn change | — |
| 6 | QUEEN CATALINA | 12.0 | 6.2% | 4.5% | -1.6% | -0.97 | C | Same trip | — |