OP R7 · 2026-01-30

PASSD1320y3 readyRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Lone speed #2 BROSNAN

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#2BROSNANEP
C2#6MCFASTYP
C3#9MISKELLP
C4#12FIELD STUDYUU
C5#10GRAY TAPSUU
C6#1WILBURTONS
C7#7LITTLE KRUSHS
C8#13PAIREDUU
C9#4PALMER BEACHC
C10#8SCUFFLEC
C11#5RUDIE WONT FAILC
C12#11CAMINOC
C13#3CHIEF VALORC

A · Likely — expected flow

#2 BROSNAN controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.

Helps #2 BROSNAN · hurts #1 WILBURTON, #7 LITTLE KRUSH, #4 PALMER BEACH, #8 SCUFFLE, #5 RUDIE WONT FAIL, #11 CAMINO, #3 CHIEF VALOR

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Someone presses #2 BROSNAN. Soft-lead thesis dies.

Helps #6 MCFASTY, #9 MISKELL, #1 WILBURTON, #7 LITTLE KRUSH · hurts #2 BROSNAN

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 WILBURTON, #7 LITTLE KRUSH, #4 PALMER BEACH, #8 SCUFFLE, #5 RUDIE WONT FAIL, #11 CAMINO, #3 CHIEF VALOR).

Helps #1 WILBURTON, #7 LITTLE KRUSH, #4 PALMER BEACH, #8 SCUFFLE, #5 RUDIE WONT FAIL, #11 CAMINO, #3 CHIEF VALOR · hurts #2 BROSNAN

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
6	MCFASTYBEJARANO R	1.8	P	Rising figsBarn changeTop last figSame trip2025-12-20 OP 4f 48.60 B MT ft 18/141; 2025-12-13 OP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 35/153 · barn: change vs MCPEEK KENNETH G	Md50000c → Md 50000	ASHFORD H RAY JR	Favorite
1	WILBURTONBACON TYLER W	4.5	S	Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2025-12-06 OP 4f 48.60 Hg MT gd 15/159; 2025-11-26 OP 5f 61.40 B MT ft 14/48 · barn: same as last	Md50000 → Md 50000	JACQUOT GENE	primed
7	LITTLE KRUSHARRIETA FRANCISCO	5.0	S	Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-01-23 OP 4f 51.00 B MT ft 208/294; 2026-01-15 OP 4f 53.60 B MT ft 72/74 · barn: same as last	Md50000 → Md 50000	ROSIN COTY W	primed
8	SCUFFLEESQUIVEL EMMANUEL	8.0	C	MSW → MCLLed last2026-01-23 SKY 4f 49.40 B MT ft 6/16; 2026-01-17 SKY 4f 49.00 B MT ft 5/14 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md 50000	HILES JEFF A	field
2	BROSNANASMUSSEN ERIK	10.0	EP	Led lastSame trip2025-12-20 OP 4f 51.20 B MT ft 114/141; 2025-12-10 RP 4f 49.20 H MT ft 7/21 · barn: same as last	Md50000 → Md 50000	ASMUSSEN STEVEN M	field
5	RUDIE WONT FAILCARMONA SERAFIN	10.0	C	3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip2026-01-23 OP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 156/294; 2025-12-29 OP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 10/20 · barn: change vs ROBERTSON HUGH	Moc50000 → Md 50000	ROBERTSON MCLEAN	field
12	FIELD STUDYTORRES CRISTIAN A	12.0	U	—2026-01-22 OP 4f 50.80 B MT gd 131/193; 2026-01-19 OP 3f 37.20 B MT ft 3/13 · barn: JACOBSON DAVID (no last-line barn)	— → Md 50000	JACOBSON DAVID	field
4	PALMER BEACHVAZQUEZ R A	12.0	C	Trouble last2026-01-23 OP 5f 64.20 B MT ft 50/58; 2026-01-15 OP 5f 61.40 Hg MT ft 5/28 · barn: same as last	Moc75000 → Md 50000	MCBRIDE BURL D	field
10	GRAY TAPSHERNANDEZ ISRAEL	15.0	U	—2026-01-17 OP 4f 50.00 Hg MT ft 52/149; 2026-01-07 OP 4f 49.40 B MT ft 14/50 · barn: MORSE RANDY L (no last-line barn)	— → Md 50000	MORSE RANDY L	field
9	MISKELLTRIANA ALFREDO JR	15.0	P	Barn changeSame trip2026-01-17 OP 4f 51.40 B MT ft 119/149; 2026-01-10 OP 3f 37.80 B MT my 7/10 · barn: change vs CASSE MARK	Md50000c → Md 50000	PISH DANNY	field
11	CAMINOCABRERA DAVID	15.0	C	Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip2026-01-23 OP 4f 50.60 B MT ft 182/294; 2026-01-15 OP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 46/74 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md 50000	MOQUETT RONALD E	field
3	CHIEF VALORASMUSSEN KEITH J	20.0	C	Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-01-23 OP 4f 52.40 B MT ft 272/294; 2026-01-17 OP 4f 51.20 B MT ft 112/149 · barn: same as last	Md50000 → Md 50000	MILLIGAN CAMERON	primed
13	PAIREDBEJARANO R	20.0	U	Trouble lastSame trip2026-01-22 OP 4f 51.00 B MT gd 139/193; 2026-01-17 OP 3f 38.40 B MT ft 16/26 · barn: same as last	Md50000 → Md 50000	JACOBSON DAVID	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#1 WILBURTONML 4.5Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip

#7 LITTLE KRUSHML 5.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip

#3 CHIEF VALORML 20.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
6	MCFASTY	1.8	24.9%	29.1%	+4.2%	1.03	P	favoriteRising figsBarn changeTop last figSame trip	—
1	WILBURTON	4.5	12.7%	14.1%	+1.4%	0.82	S	Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip	—
7	LITTLE KRUSH	5.0	11.6%	12.8%	+1.2%	0.79	S	Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip	—
8	SCUFFLE	8.0	7.7%	6.7%	-1.1%	-0.19	C	MSW → MCLLed last	—
2	BROSNAN	10.0	6.3%	6.5%	+0.2%	0.50	EP	Led lastSame trip	—
5	RUDIE WONT FAIL	10.0	6.3%	5.5%	-0.9%	-0.18	C	3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip	—
12	FIELD STUDY	12.0	5.4%	4.8%	-0.5%	0.00	U		—
4	PALMER BEACH	12.0	5.4%	4.5%	-0.9%	-0.34	C	Trouble last	—
10	GRAY TAPS	15.0	4.4%	3.9%	-0.4%	0.00	U		—
9	MISKELL	15.0	4.4%	3.9%	-0.4%	-0.03	P	Barn changeSame trip	—
11	CAMINO	15.0	4.4%	3.2%	-1.2%	-0.85	C	Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip	—
3	CHIEF VALOR	20.0	3.3%	2.9%	-0.4%	-0.09	C	Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip	—
13	PAIRED	20.0	3.3%	2.1%	-1.2%	-1.47	U	Trouble lastSame trip	—