DED R2 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#9 #6 #2 #1 #10 #3 #5)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#9BABY KRISTENE
- C2#6PONDICHERRYE
- C3#2QUICK SANDE
- C4#1HEAVENLY DREAMEP
- C5#10GOLDEN BEAUTYE
- C6#3HURRICANE LASSIEE
- C7#5LITTLE MILLIEEP
- C8#4BET TOWINITS
- C9#8GIVE EM HAIL GAYLES
- C10#7MYSPITTINIMAGEP
Honest pace among #9 BABY KRISTEN and #6 PONDICHERRY and #2 QUICK SAND and #1 HEAVENLY DREAM and #10 GOLDEN BEAUTY and #3 HURRICANE LASSIE and #5 LITTLE MILLIE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #7 MYSPITTINIMAGE, #4 BET TOWINIT, #8 GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE · hurts #9 BABY KRISTEN, #6 PONDICHERRY, #2 QUICK SAND, #1 HEAVENLY DREAM, #10 GOLDEN BEAUTY, #3 HURRICANE LASSIE, #5 LITTLE MILLIE
Pressure: #9 BABY KRISTEN and #6 PONDICHERRY and #2 QUICK SAND and #1 HEAVENLY DREAM and #10 GOLDEN BEAUTY and #3 HURRICANE LASSIE and #5 LITTLE MILLIE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #7 MYSPITTINIMAGE, #4 BET TOWINIT, #8 GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE · hurts #9 BABY KRISTEN, #6 PONDICHERRY, #2 QUICK SAND, #1 HEAVENLY DREAM, #10 GOLDEN BEAUTY, #3 HURRICANE LASSIE, #5 LITTLE MILLIE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 BET TOWINIT, #8 GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE).
Helps #4 BET TOWINIT, #8 GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE · hurts #9 BABY KRISTEN, #6 PONDICHERRY, #2 QUICK SAND, #1 HEAVENLY DREAM, #10 GOLDEN BEAUTY, #3 HURRICANE LASSIE, #5 LITTLE MILLIE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HURRICANE LASSIEROMAN KEVIN | 2.5 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-24 DED 3f 38.20 B MT ft 12/19; 2025-11-29 DED 5f 65.00 B MT ft 7/10 · barn: same as last | fOC10000 → OClm 20000 | GONZALEZ ISAI V | Favorite |
| 1 | HEAVENLY DREAMCASTILLO ALEXANDER | 4.0 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-07-27 LAD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 5/23; 2026-02-28 HOU 3f 36.20 B MT ft 2/22 · barn: same as last | fOC15000n1x → OClm 20000 | ROUBION STEVE | primed |
| 4 | BET TOWINITTHORNTON T G | 3.5 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-10-03 DED 4f 52.80 B MT ft 56/76; 2026-09-26 DED 4f 51.80 B MT ft 44/68 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n2x → OClm 20000 | LANDRY ALLEN RAY | field |
| 9 | BABY KRISTENHERNANDEZ JAVIER ANTONIO | 5.0 | E | Same trip2026-05-26 HCN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-04-28 LAD 4f 50.00 B MT ft 17/34 · barn: same as last | fClm7500 → OClm 20000 | RAMAEKERS ERIC | field |
| 6 | PONDICHERRYCARDOSO DAVID | 6.0 | E | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-09-15 ARP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-06-21 ARP 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/6 · barn: same as last | fSueWallis40k → OClm 20000 | HIBDON MARK N | primed |
| 2 | QUICK SANDBARRERA ELIO J | 4.5 | E | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-05-30 TP 4f 49.20 B MT ft 28/93; 2026-05-23 TP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 23/86 · barn: same as last | fClm7500 → OClm 20000 | LEONARD GEORGE III | field |
| 10 | GOLDEN BEAUTYRAMOS A B | 8.0 | E | Rising figsClass dropLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-17 ARP 4f 47.60 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-06-18 ARP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as last | Alw13000b → OClm 20000 | HIBDON MARK N | primed |
| 7 | MYSPITTINIMAGEVARGAS JUAN P | 10.0 | P | Same trip2026-03-08 OP 4f 49.00 B MT my 3/28; 2026-02-22 OP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 8/65 · barn: same as last | fClm10000n2l → OClm 20000 | SOTO FERMIN | field |
| 8 | GIVE EM HAIL GAYLEPEREZ CARLOS | 15.0 | S | Same trip2026-10-02 DED 3f 39.20 B MT ft 12/19; 2026-09-05 EVD 4f 49.00 B MT ft 7/59 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → OClm 20000 | WARD RONNIE | field |
| 5 | LITTLE MILLIERAMIREZ JULIO JR | 15.0 | EP | Trouble lastBarn changeSharp workSame trip2026-09-29 DED 3f 37.20 B MT ft bullet 1/17; 2026-05-02 FOL 5f 63.40 B MT ft 5/5 · barn: change vs MARECHAL MERLIN | fsClm5000n2lc → OClm 20000 | WARD RONNIE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDED R2 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 880y · OClm 20000
- SHAPEWall of seven early types (E/EP) projects a duel / meltdown; closers and stalkers (#7, #4, #8) pick up pieces — chalk #3 faces the worst of it
- CHALKFavorite#3 HURRICANE LASSIE · opposable · style E projected 6th of 7 early types; gets buried in the chaos she helped create at 2.5
- LEANWinner call#10 GOLDEN BEAUTY · fig 94 leads the field by 11 points, class drop from Alw, led last, bullet work; pace map gives her A and B paths
- PRIMED#10 GOLDEN BEAUTY (rising_figs +33, class_drop, led_last, top_last_fig, bullet work 1/8); #6 PONDICHERRY (rising_figs, 2nd_off_layoff, led_last — but signal may bounce in another duel); #1 HEAVENLY DREAM (rising_figs, 2nd_off_layoff — last win was turf, dirt form thinner)
- PRICE#10 GOLDEN BEAUTY · ML 8 · model edge 0.022 · only overlay flagged
- PLAYPrice ticket#10 GOLDEN BEAUTY · min 6-1 · WIN — at shorter, PASS
- KILLGOLDEN BEAUTY is also early style (E) and will draw into the same wall; if she cannot clear by the quarter she gets buried with the rest; a figure that large off a short 870y sprint may not fully translate to 880y with traffic; tote closes her under 5-1
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, post-time weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt 880y open-claiming sprint at DED with a wall of seven early/presser types, extreme pace pressure, and a volatile price field where the closers figure to inherit — #3 HURRICANE LASSIE is chalk at 2.5 but the shape is directly against front-runners. #10 GOLDEN BEAUTY is the standout primed price: fig 94 last out (top fig in the field by a wide margin), class drop from Alw into OClm, led at the call, bullet work 1/8 on 9/17 — the 33-point fig spike is real, she was winning an 870y sprint at ARP and stretches a tick to 880y here; at 8-1 ML she is the lone model overlay with the pace map in her favor in A and B. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HURRICANE LASSIE | 2.5 | 18.7% | 19.0% | +0.2% | 0.25 | E | favoriteRising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | HEAVENLY DREAM | 4.0 | 13.1% | 14.2% | +1.1% | 0.52 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip | — |
| 4 | BET TOWINIT | 3.5 | 14.6% | 13.9% | -0.6% | 0.03 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 9 | BABY KRISTEN | 5.0 | 10.9% | 11.3% | +0.4% | 0.33 | E | Same trip | — |
| 6 | PONDICHERRY | 6.0 | 9.4% | 11.1% | +1.8% | 0.90 | E | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | QUICK SAND | 4.5 | 11.9% | 10.7% | -1.2% | -0.22 | E | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 10 | GOLDEN BEAUTY | 8.0 | 7.3% | 9.5% | +2.2% | 1.26 | E | Rising figsClass dropLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 7 | MYSPITTINIMAGE | 10.0 | 6.0% | 3.9% | -2.1% | -1.50 | P | Same trip | — |
| 8 | GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE | 15.0 | 4.1% | 3.2% | -0.9% | -0.78 | S | Same trip | — |
| 5 | LITTLE MILLIE | 15.0 | 4.1% | 3.2% | -0.9% | -0.80 | EP | Trouble lastBarn changeSharp workSame trip | — |