AQU R2 · 2026-01-22

PASSD1320y1 readyRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#5 #4 #1 #3)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#5CASILDAE
C2#4TIZ PURPLEEP
C3#1HEY COOKIEEP
C4#3SHEER WILLEP
C5#2ALWAYS PRACTICALS
C6#6VANILLAC

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #5 CASILDA and #4 TIZ PURPLE and #1 HEY COOKIE and #3 SHEER WILL. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #2 ALWAYS PRACTICAL · hurts #5 CASILDA, #4 TIZ PURPLE, #1 HEY COOKIE, #3 SHEER WILL

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #5 CASILDA and #4 TIZ PURPLE and #1 HEY COOKIE and #3 SHEER WILL hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #2 ALWAYS PRACTICAL · hurts #5 CASILDA, #4 TIZ PURPLE, #1 HEY COOKIE, #3 SHEER WILL

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 ALWAYS PRACTICAL, #6 VANILLA).

Helps #2 ALWAYS PRACTICAL, #6 VANILLA · hurts #5 CASILDA, #4 TIZ PURPLE, #1 HEY COOKIE, #3 SHEER WILL

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
3	SHEER WILLLEZCANO JOSE	1.4	EP	3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip2026-01-13 BEL 4f 49.20 B TT ft 21/37; 2025-12-21 BEL 4f 49.60 B TT ft 47/110 · barn: same as last	fAlw50000s → Alw 50000s	RICE LINDA	Favorite
6	VANILLAFRANCO MANUEL	2.0	C	Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-01-16 FAI 4f 50.20 B TT ft 2/4; 2025-12-19 FAI 4f 49.40 B TT ft 7/11 · barn: same as last	fClm50000n2l → Alw 50000s	RUSSELL BRITTANY T	Favorite
2	ALWAYS PRACTICALCIVACI SAHIN	4.0	S	Rising figsSame trip2026-01-13 BEL 4f 48.20 B TT ft 7/37; 2026-01-02 BEL 4f 49.80 B TT ft 19/38 · barn: same as last	fClm50000b → Alw 50000s	RICE LINDA	field
4	TIZ PURPLESILVERA RUBEN	6.0	EP	Rising figsSame trip2026-01-12 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 4/7; 2025-12-23 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 8/56 · barn: same as last	fAlw50000s → Alw 50000s	NESS JAMIE	field
1	HEY COOKIEGOMEZ JOSE ANTONIO	8.0	EP	Same trip2026-01-16 BEL 4f 48.80 B TT ft 12/59; 2025-12-24 BEL 4f 52.00 B TT ft 124/139 · barn: same as last	fAlw50000s → Alw 50000s	RODRIGUEZ GUSTAVO	field
5	CASILDARODRIGUEZ JAMIE	12.0	E	Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastBarn changeTop last paceSame trip2026-01-09 BEL 4f 48.40 B TT ft 33/101; 2026-01-02 BEL 4f 48.40 B TT ft bullet 1/38 · barn: change vs DUTROW RICHARD E	fClm17500n2lc → Alw 50000s	GREEN AMELIA J	primed

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#5 CASILDAML 12.0Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastBarn changeTop last paceSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
3	SHEER WILL	1.4	32.5%	38.8%	+6.2%	0.88	EP	favorite3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip	2
6	VANILLA	2.0	26.0%	22.3%	-3.7%	-0.43	C	favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip	3
2	ALWAYS PRACTICAL	4.0	15.6%	15.9%	+0.3%	0.26	S	Rising figsSame trip	WIN
4	TIZ PURPLE	6.0	11.2%	9.9%	-1.3%	-0.31	EP	Rising figsSame trip	—
1	HEY COOKIE	8.0	8.7%	7.2%	-1.5%	-0.55	EP	Same trip	5
5	CASILDA	12.0	6.0%	6.0%	-0.0%	0.15	E	Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastBarn changeTop last paceSame trip	4