SA R4 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find SA R4 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#7 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7MIMIS MEMORYE
- C2#5HIMARIE
- C3#6CLARINAP
- C4#1CLUBHOUSE CUTIEP
- C5#4CONVOS
- C6#3MISLEADINGC
- C7#2TIME TO SHINES
Honest pace among #7 MIMIS MEMORY and #5 HIMARI. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #6 CLARINA, #1 CLUBHOUSE CUTIE, #4 CONVO, #2 TIME TO SHINE · hurts #7 MIMIS MEMORY, #5 HIMARI
Pressure: #7 MIMIS MEMORY and #5 HIMARI hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #6 CLARINA, #1 CLUBHOUSE CUTIE, #4 CONVO, #2 TIME TO SHINE · hurts #7 MIMIS MEMORY, #5 HIMARI
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 CONVO, #3 MISLEADING, #2 TIME TO SHINE).
Helps #4 CONVO, #3 MISLEADING, #2 TIME TO SHINE · hurts #7 MIMIS MEMORY, #5 HIMARI
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HIMARIHERNANDEZ JUAN J | 1.2 | E | Led last2026-10-02 SA 4f 48.80 H MT ft 30/48; 2026-09-25 SA 5f 60.60 H MT ft 8/49 · barn: same as last | fOC50000n1x → OClm 50000n1x | BAFFERT BOB | Favorite |
| 6 | CLARINAAYUSO ARMANDO | 5.0 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-21 SA 4f 51.80 H MT ft 72/73; 2026-08-24 DMR 3f 37.40 H MT ft 15/17 · barn: same as last | fOC50000n1x → OClm 50000n1x | HALEY GLORIA | primed |
| 1 | CLUBHOUSE CUTIEBAZE T C | 4.5 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-26 SA 4f 49.20 H MT ft 48/74; 2026-09-19 SA 4f 48.80 H MT ft 47/98 · barn: same as last | fOC50000n1x → OClm 50000n1x | KRULJAC IAN | primed |
| 4 | CONVOROSARIO JOEL | 4.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-10-03 SA 5f 59.60 H MT ft 2/71; 2026-09-26 SA 5f 59.60 H MT ft 4/73 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → OClm 50000n1x | SADLER JOHN W | field |
| 3 | MISLEADINGSMITH M E | 8.0 | C | —2026-10-05 SA 2f 25.40 H MT ft 12/13; 2026-09-28 SA 5f 59.80 H MT ft 5/53 · barn: same as last | fOC50000n1x → OClm 50000n1x | EURTON PETER | field |
| 2 | TIME TO SHINEGONZALEZ RICARDO | 10.0 | S | —2026-10-02 SA 5f 60.20 H MT ft 6/26; 2026-09-25 SA 5f 59.40 H MT ft 2/49 · barn: same as last | fOC50000n1x → OClm 50000n1x | GLATT MARK | field |
| 7 | MIMIS MEMORYVAN DYKE DRAYDEN | 15.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-10-03 SA 5f 63.00 H MT ft 64/71; 2026-09-27 SA 4f 46.80 H MT ft 5/100 · barn: same as last | frMoc62500 → OClm 50000n1x | PAPAPRODROMOU GEORGE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACESA R4 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1430y · OClm 50000n1x
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#7 vs #5); honest-to-fast pace frees the presser slot; high pressure
- CHALKFavorite#5 HIMARI · opposable · tired at route last, duel risk today, last fig 79
- LEANWinner call#6 CLARINA · best fig in the field (99), rising cycle, fits the presser path in A and B
- PRIMED#6 CLARINA (rising_figs, third_start_cycle, top_last_fig, top_last_pace, same_trip); #1 CLUBHOUSE CUTIE (rising_figs, third_start_cycle, same_trip)
- PRICE#6 CLARINA · edge 0.047 · ML 5-1
- PLAYPrice ticket#6 CLARINA · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if board is 3-1 or shorter)
- KILLBaffert horses read the ML and get bet down hard—if HIMARI clears clean without a duel, the speed rail holds; CLARINA's trainer is 0-for-1 meet with no TJ data; works are pedestrian (72/73 last out at SA)
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint OClm-50k, seven fillies/mares, field is manageable but the two-speed duel makes chalk fragile. Two horses (#7, #5) project as need-the-lead types from the outside and post 5, generating genuine pace pressure that should set the table for stalkers and pressers behind them; chalk #5 HIMARI is a Baffert 1.2 ML, last fig only 79 after tiring against a similar group, and is **opposable** on shape—she led and tired at the route, and a duel today with MIMIS MEMORY threatens the same result. #6 CLARINA is the primed price: five flags (rising figs, 3rd-start cycle, top last fig 99, top last pace e1 94, same trip), posted a 99 last out stalking inside at the 6f and fits the A/B scenario perfectly as a presser landing second or third at the first call behind the dueling speed. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HIMARI | 1.2 | 35.9% | 34.8% | -1.0% | -0.01 | E | favoriteLed last | — |
| 6 | CLARINA | 5.0 | 13.1% | 17.9% | +4.7% | 1.34 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | CLUBHOUSE CUTIE | 4.5 | 14.3% | 15.1% | +0.7% | 0.30 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 4 | CONVO | 4.0 | 15.8% | 14.3% | -1.5% | -0.29 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 3 | MISLEADING | 8.0 | 8.8% | 7.0% | -1.8% | -0.79 | C | — | |
| 2 | TIME TO SHINE | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.1% | -1.1% | -0.56 | S | — | |
| 7 | MIMIS MEMORY | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.8% | -0.1% | 0.01 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |