DEL R3 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R3 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#8 vs #1)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8MR FLOWERSE
- C2#5VILLAINP
- C3#1MISTER WOODFORDE
- C4#3FLY NOWS
- C5#2WICKED BOSSC
- C6#6ARMED N DANGEROUSS
- C7#10BABBLES
- C8#9RED SKY MORNINGC
- C9#4BOLT FROM ABOVEC
- C10#7THINGAMABOBP
- C11#11KITTENS PLOYS
- C12#12ALRASIKHC
Honest pace among #8 MR FLOWERS and #1 MISTER WOODFORD. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 VILLAIN, #7 THINGAMABOB, #3 FLY NOW, #6 ARMED N DANGEROUS, #10 BABBLE, #11 KITTENS PLOY · hurts #8 MR FLOWERS, #1 MISTER WOODFORD
Pressure: #8 MR FLOWERS and #1 MISTER WOODFORD hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 VILLAIN, #7 THINGAMABOB, #3 FLY NOW, #6 ARMED N DANGEROUS, #10 BABBLE, #11 KITTENS PLOY · hurts #8 MR FLOWERS, #1 MISTER WOODFORD
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 FLY NOW, #2 WICKED BOSS, #6 ARMED N DANGEROUS, #10 BABBLE, #9 RED SKY MORNING, #4 BOLT FROM ABOVE, #11 KITTENS PLOY, #12 ALRASIKH).
Helps #3 FLY NOW, #2 WICKED BOSS, #6 ARMED N DANGEROUS, #10 BABBLE, #9 RED SKY MORNING, #4 BOLT FROM ABOVE, #11 KITTENS PLOY, #12 ALRASIKH · hurts #8 MR FLOWERS, #1 MISTER WOODFORD
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FLY NOWCHEMINAUD VINCENT | 3.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-30 FAI 4f 49.20 B TT ft 8/13; 2026-08-14 FAI 4f 49.20 B D T fm 7/11 · barn: same as last | OC35000 → OClm 16000 | BRION KERI | Favorite |
| 5 | VILLAINROSARIO EMANUEL | 4.0 | P | Trouble lastTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-10-02 LRL 5f 64.00 B MT ft 12/13; 2026-09-15 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/10 · barn: change vs SCHULTZ LINDSAY | Clm30000bc → OClm 16000 | NESS JAMIE | field |
| 4 | BOLT FROM ABOVEHERNANDEZ JULIO A | 5.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-26 DEL 3f 36.60 B MT ft 3/14; 2026-07-24 DEL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 25/36 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | BRINKMAN BRETT | field |
| 9 | RED SKY MORNINGLOPEZ PASCACIO | 6.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-26 MTH 4f 52.40 B MT ft 69/74; 2026-05-17 MTH 4f 50.20 B MT ft 47/74 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | DINI MIKE | field |
| 8 | MR FLOWERSVILLASMIL EDGAR | 8.0 | E | 3rd start cycleLed lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-30 DEL 4f 47.60 Bg MT ft bullet 1/34; 2026-08-12 PRX 4f 48.80 Bg MT ft 12/47 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | NESS JAMIE | field |
| 6 | ARMED N DANGEROUSMENA RAUL E | 6.0 | S | Class dropSame trip2026-09-26 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 96/109; 2026-09-19 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 59/69 · barn: same as last | Alw37000n1x → OClm 16000 | ALLEN A FERRIS III | field |
| 2 | WICKED BOSSCEDENO CAROL | 12.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-10-02 DEL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 26/45; 2026-08-29 FAI 4f 49.00 B TT ft 7/17 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | MEYERS MADISON F | primed |
| 10 | BABBLELUNA PAUL A | 10.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-05 DEL 3f 38.20 B MT ft 11/17; 2026-08-15 DEL 3f 38.00 B MT ft 9/23 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | BAILON NESVIL HERNAN | field |
| 12 | ALRASIKHRIOS JESUS M | 12.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-07 DEL 4f 48.80 B MT ft 2/43; 2026-07-31 DEL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 12/27 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | CARRASCOJR VICTOR | primed |
| 11 | KITTENS PLOYMENA RAUL E | 20.0 | S | Same trip2026-08-29 DEL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 28/40; 2026-08-15 DEL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 52/67 · barn: same as last | OC20000 → OClm 16000 | RAMIREZ JOSE A | field |
| 7 | THINGAMABOBGOMEZ JOSE ANTONIO | 15.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-10-01 MTH 4f 49.20 B MT ft 11/27; 2026-09-05 MTH 4f 49.20 B MT ft 16/37 · barn: same as last | Clm16000b → OClm 16000 | POMPAY TERRI | field |
| 1 | MISTER WOODFORDCORUJO WILFREDO | 20.0 | E | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-17 PEN 4f 48.80 B MT gd 3/14; 2026-08-07 PEN 4f 52.20 B MT ft 10/12 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | CARPIO ERIN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDEL R3 · 2026-10-09 · Turf 1760y OClm 16000
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#8/#1) sets up stalkers; inside rail bias kills posts 8+
- CHALKFavorite#3 FLY NOW · solid-but-short · class drop to a level it has won at, post 3 inside bias, but 3-1 is not a price
- LEANWinner call#3 FLY NOW · drops to a comfortable level, post 3 hugs the rail bias, pace style (S) benefits from the duel
- PRIMED#2 WICKED BOSS (rising figs +9, 2nd off layoff, field-best fig 83, field-best LP 81, post 2 inside bias, path in A and B); #12 ALRASIKH (rising figs, 3rd start cycle — weaker case, post 12 fights the bias)
- PRICENo non-chalk overlays printed (model edge on #2 is positive but sheet flags overlay=false; #12 edge is negative)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #2 WICKED BOSS is the best primed non-chalk case but the sheet returns no price overlay, and at 12-1 ML the model edge does not clear the overlay threshold; #12 post 12 is dead in the bias
- KILLOff-turf switch voids the entire shape; rail bias shifts or a scratch of either speed horse changes the pace map; live tote on #2 shorter than 8-1 is a pass number
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/going report, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Turf route at Delaware, OC/Clm 16000, 12-horse field with a speed duel built in — moderate-to-high volatility given the crowded pace picture and outside posts running dead in the bias. The shape is a two-speed duel (#8 MR FLOWERS vs #1 MISTER WOODFORD) that sets up the stalkers, with chalk #3 FLY NOW dropping sharply from OC35000 and holding a pace edge from post 3, making it solid but short at 3-1. #2 WICKED BOSS is the primed price horse: 2nd off a 55-day layoff, last fig 83 (top of the field, up 9 points), top late pace, post 2 inside the rail bias, and a clear path stalking through the rail gap in scenarios A and B exactly as it did when it last won here at DEL.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FLY NOW | 3.0 | 17.7% | 19.7% | +2.1% | 0.63 | S | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 5 | VILLAIN | 4.0 | 14.1% | 13.5% | -0.6% | 0.02 | P | Trouble lastTag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | BOLT FROM ABOVE | 5.0 | 11.8% | 11.9% | +0.2% | 0.24 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 9 | RED SKY MORNING | 6.0 | 10.1% | 11.9% | +1.8% | 0.83 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 8 | MR FLOWERS | 8.0 | 7.8% | 8.2% | +0.4% | 0.38 | E | 3rd start cycleLed lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 6 | ARMED N DANGEROUS | 6.0 | 10.1% | 7.6% | -2.4% | -0.93 | S | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | WICKED BOSS | 12.0 | 5.4% | 6.8% | +1.3% | 1.07 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 10 | BABBLE | 10.0 | 6.4% | 6.6% | +0.2% | 0.31 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 12 | ALRASIKH | 12.0 | 5.4% | 4.9% | -0.5% | -0.20 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 11 | KITTENS PLOY | 20.0 | 3.4% | 3.0% | -0.4% | -0.34 | S | Same trip | — |
| 7 | THINGAMABOB | 15.0 | 4.4% | 2.9% | -1.5% | -1.48 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | MISTER WOODFORD | 20.0 | 3.4% | 2.8% | -0.5% | -0.53 | E | Rising figsSame trip | — |