DED R4 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#4 #2 #3 #6)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4MIRACLE MULAE
- C2#2ZAMPINOE
- C3#3UNBRIDLEDS HEIREP
- C4#6MOONLIGHT MAXEP
- C5#1BUNTUS FOCLORAS
- C6#5ARMY WILDCATTERC
- C7#7FALCON COVEC
Honest pace among #4 MIRACLE MULA and #2 ZAMPINO and #3 UNBRIDLEDS HEIR and #6 MOONLIGHT MAX. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 BUNTUS FOCLORA · hurts #4 MIRACLE MULA, #2 ZAMPINO, #3 UNBRIDLEDS HEIR, #6 MOONLIGHT MAX
Pressure: #4 MIRACLE MULA and #2 ZAMPINO and #3 UNBRIDLEDS HEIR and #6 MOONLIGHT MAX hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 BUNTUS FOCLORA · hurts #4 MIRACLE MULA, #2 ZAMPINO, #3 UNBRIDLEDS HEIR, #6 MOONLIGHT MAX
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 BUNTUS FOCLORA, #5 ARMY WILDCATTER, #7 FALCON COVE).
Helps #1 BUNTUS FOCLORA, #5 ARMY WILDCATTER, #7 FALCON COVE · hurts #4 MIRACLE MULA, #2 ZAMPINO, #3 UNBRIDLEDS HEIR, #6 MOONLIGHT MAX
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ZAMPINOFUSILIER C | 1.6 | E | Led last2026-10-03 DED 3f 40.40 B MT ft 22/23; 2026-09-24 DED 4f 53.60 B MT ft 20/22 · barn: same as last | SuperDrbyB250k → Alw 36000n2x | DUHON PAUL | Favorite |
| 5 | ARMY WILDCATTERVARGAS JUAN P | 3.0 | C | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-10-06 CCT 4f 51.40 B MT ft 20/27; 2026-09-29 CCT 3f 39.40 B MT ft 6/9 · barn: change vs ENNIS JOHN | Clm16000n2l → Alw 36000n2x | RAMSAY-BANKS ALLISON | field |
| 7 | FALCON COVEPOMPELL T L | 4.0 | C | —2026-10-02 DED 4f 50.80 B MT ft 14/68; 2026-09-24 DED 4f 49.20 B MT ft 3/22 · barn: same as last | Alw44900n1x → Alw 36000n2x | BRINKMAN BRETT | field |
| 1 | BUNTUS FOCLORAPEREZ CARLOS | 6.0 | S | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-10-01 DED 3f 39.00 B MT ft 19/28; 2026-07-09 EVD 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 8/27 · barn: same as last | Alw33000n1x → Alw 36000n2x | NOEL DANE | field |
| 6 | MOONLIGHT MAXCASTILLO ISAAC | 8.0 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-15 CCT 4f 51.80 B MT ft 35/50; 2026-07-28 CCT 4f 51.60 B MT ft 16/31 · barn: same as last | sOC50000n2l → Alw 36000n2x | KLANFER ALAN | overlay |
| 4 | MIRACLE MULATHORNTON T G | 10.0 | E | 3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-07-25 HAW 4f 51.60 Bg MT ft 12/14; 2026-07-15 HAW 5f 61.60 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Alw 36000n2x | BERNDT JOEL | field |
| 3 | UNBRIDLEDS HEIRARANA KELVIN | 15.0 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-26 DED 3f 39.00 B MT ft 18/34; 2026-05-16 EVD 4f 49.60 B MT ft 3/41 · barn: same as last | Clm15000n2l → Alw 36000n2x | DISON PHILLIP MARK | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDED R4 · 2026-10-10 · D 1430y Alw36000n2x
- SHAPEWall of speed (#4 #2 #3 #6) · pressure extreme · stalker/closer benefit in A and B
- CHALKFavorite#2 ZAMPINO · opposable · caved on the turn last out vs weaker; returns from a stakes where the pace killed him; same E style into another duel
- LEANWinner call#6 MOONLIGHT MAX · rising figs, top fig in field, EP can sit the pace and fire
- PRIMED#3 UNBRIDLEDS HEIR (rising figs + trouble last — but class jump from Clm15000 is severe; underneath only)
- PRICE#6 MOONLIGHT MAX · edge 0.027 · ML 8
- PLAYPrice ticket#6 MOONLIGHT MAX · win · min 6-1 (pass if board compresses below)
- KILL#2 ZAMPINO clears uncontested early — if pace melts instead of dualizes, the chalk's E1 advantage reasserts and #6 never gets to him; also, no live tote to confirm ML holds
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface moisture, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint allowance (n2x) at 1430y with four early/pressing types loading the gate — pressure extreme, high volatility. Wall of speed (#4, #2, #3, #6) sets up a punishing duel, making this an A/B scenario that should funnel energy toward the stalkers and closers; chalk #2 ZAMPINO is the lone E in a speed duel off a class drop from a $250k stakes where he caved, leaving him opposable despite the short price. #6 MOONLIGHT MAX is the ingested overlay — rising figs (73→85→87), top figure in the field, top zSpeed and zForm, and an EP style that can sit second and attack off a genuine pace; the 8-1 ML gives a legitimate path in Scenario A/B as the presser who doesn't need to lead. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ZAMPINO | 1.6 | 31.0% | 32.7% | +1.8% | 0.22 | E | favoriteLed last | — |
| 5 | ARMY WILDCATTER | 3.0 | 20.1% | 18.6% | -1.5% | -0.31 | C | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 7 | FALCON COVE | 4.0 | 16.1% | 12.7% | -3.4% | -0.97 | C | — | |
| 1 | BUNTUS FOCLORA | 6.0 | 11.5% | 11.8% | +0.3% | 0.08 | S | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | MOONLIGHT MAX | 8.0 | 8.9% | 11.7% | +2.7% | 1.06 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 4 | MIRACLE MULA | 10.0 | 7.3% | 8.0% | +0.7% | 0.36 | E | 3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | UNBRIDLEDS HEIR | 15.0 | 5.0% | 4.5% | -0.5% | -0.44 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |