LRL R1 · 2026-10-10
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LRL R1 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7MELODIESP
- C2#1RIVER STREET LASSUU
- C3#4OPEN RANGEUU
- C4#3TURNS TO GOLDUU
- C5#8HUMMINGUU
- C6#6BATTLE QUEENUU
- C7#2JOSIE GUU
- C8#5AIR KISSC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #7 MELODIES · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #7 MELODIES · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 AIR KISS).
Helps #5 AIR KISS · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AIR KISSBOYCE FOREST | 2.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-10-04 LRL 3f 37.40 B MT my 7/10; 2026-09-14 LRL 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | TROMBETTA MICHAEL J | Favorite |
| 7 | MELODIESRODRIGUEZ JAMIE | 3.5 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-10-03 MTH 4f 49.00 B MT ft 8/28; 2026-09-12 MTH 5f 62.20 B MT ft 7/11 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | SCHULTZ LINDSAY | primed |
| 1 | RIVER STREET LASSKARAMANOS H A | 4.5 | U | —2026-09-30 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 44/85; 2026-09-09 PRX 4f 48.00 Bg MT ft 9/39 · barn: CROOK-DEMASI KATHLEE (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | CROOK-DEMASI KATHLEE | field |
| 4 | OPEN RANGESANCHEZ MYCHEL J | 5.0 | U | —2026-10-03 FAI 4f 50.00 B TT ft 35/56; 2026-09-25 FAI 5f 62.00 Bg MT ft 6/8 · barn: TROMBETTA MICHAEL J (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | TROMBETTA MICHAEL J | field |
| 2 | JOSIE GBARBOSA JEIRON | 6.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-15 LRL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 6/10; 2026-09-08 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 6/7 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | VOSS KATHARINE M | field |
| 3 | TURNS TO GOLDVARGAS JOSE E | 8.0 | U | —2026-10-02 DEL 3f 38.00 B MT ft 10/14; 2026-09-25 DEL 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 25/48 · barn: MOTION H GRAHAM (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | MOTION H GRAHAM | field |
| 8 | HUMMINGMARQUEZ CHARLIE | 12.0 | U | Sharp work2026-10-06 LRL 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/18; 2026-09-30 LRL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 2/5 · barn: ALLEN A FERRIS III (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | ALLEN A FERRIS III | field |
| 6 | BATTLE QUEENCORUJO LEONARDO | 30.0 | U | —2026-10-01 DEL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 6/21; 2026-09-24 DEL 4f 48.80 B MT gd 3/13 · barn: ROSE ORLANDO (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | ROSE ORLANDO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELRL R1 · 2026-10-10 · Turf 1210y Md Sp Wt
- SHAPECrawl likely — no dedicated early speed; closer bias favors late but no pace target hurts one-run types
- CHALKFavorite#5 AIR KISS · opposable · closer at 2-1 with negative model edge, crawl map removes her pace target, zPace -1.12
- LEANWinner call#7 MELODIES · presser profile navigates crawl better than any closer; top fig and E1 in field
- PRIMED#7 MELODIES — rising figs, 2nd off layoff, top last fig, top last pace, same trip
- PRICEnone (overlay=false on all non-chalk horses; model edge on #7 is 0.045 but overlay flag not triggered)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLTurf comes off (off-turf removes the one pace edge #7 holds); #7's 2nd-off barn is 10% w / ROI -1.08 — thin sample but notable
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, going condition (firm vs soft changes everything), rider changes day-of
Why
Turf sprint maiden on yielding-or-firm LRL grass with a closer-heavy bias and five first-time starters, making this a high-volatility debut field where pace shape is almost impossible to lock. The map projects a crawl with no dedicated early speed and the bias favoring closers, but chalk #5 AIR KISS is herself a closer (style C, post 5) with a modest fig edge and a negative model edge, making her short at 2-1 and opposable on shape grounds. #7 MELODIES stacks five ready flags — rising figs (71 over 67), 2nd off layoff, top fig in field, top E1 in field, same trip — and as the lone horse with a presser profile she actually benefits from the crawl scenario by sitting close and controlling her own race. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AIR KISS | 2.0 | 26.3% | 25.5% | -0.8% | -0.04 | C | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | MELODIES | 3.5 | 17.5% | 22.0% | +4.5% | 1.01 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | RIVER STREET LASS | 4.5 | 14.3% | 14.0% | -0.3% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 4 | OPEN RANGE | 5.0 | 13.2% | 12.9% | -0.3% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 2 | JOSIE G | 6.0 | 11.3% | 8.6% | -2.6% | -0.97 | U | Same trip | — |
| 3 | TURNS TO GOLD | 8.0 | 8.8% | 8.6% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 8 | HUMMING | 12.0 | 6.1% | 5.9% | -0.1% | 0.00 | U | Sharp work | — |
| 6 | BATTLE QUEEN | 30.0 | 2.5% | 2.5% | -0.1% | 0.00 | U | — |