KEE R3 · 2026-10-03
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R3 · 2026-10-03 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #11 TULIP
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#11TULIPEP
- C2#9CHARM OF VENICEUU
- C3#10SIOUXSES
- C4#4PASEOC
- C5#7WINNING STREEPC
- C6#3MARKET CHILLS
- C7#6MISS PHARAOHS
- C8#2TEMPLE GODDESSC
- C9#8CLASSIC GLIDEC
- C10#1MARCINKOWSKIP
- C11#5EPISISTC
#11 TULIP controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #11 TULIP · hurts #10 SIOUXSE, #4 PASEO, #7 WINNING STREEP, #3 MARKET CHILL, #6 MISS PHARAOH, #2 TEMPLE GODDESS, #8 CLASSIC GLIDE, #5 EPISIST
Someone presses #11 TULIP. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #1 MARCINKOWSKI, #10 SIOUXSE, #3 MARKET CHILL, #6 MISS PHARAOH · hurts #11 TULIP
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#10 SIOUXSE, #4 PASEO, #7 WINNING STREEP, #3 MARKET CHILL, #6 MISS PHARAOH, #2 TEMPLE GODDESS, #8 CLASSIC GLIDE, #5 EPISIST).
Helps #10 SIOUXSE, #4 PASEO, #7 WINNING STREEP, #3 MARKET CHILL, #6 MISS PHARAOH, #2 TEMPLE GODDESS, #8 CLASSIC GLIDE, #5 EPISIST · hurts #11 TULIP
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TULIPALVARADO JUNIOR | 3.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-26 TP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 68/97; 2026-09-20 TP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 14/88 · barn: same as last | fOC55000n1x → Alw 120000n1x | WALDEN WILLIAM | Favorite |
| 10 | SIOUXSEVELAZQUEZ J R | 4.5 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip2026-09-26 FAI 4f 50.00 B TT ft 21/48; 2026-08-29 FAI 5f 63.20 B TT ft 8/10 · barn: same as last | fOldDmnOakL250k → Alw 120000n1x | MOTION H GRAHAM | primed |
| 5 | EPISISTORTIZ JOSE L | 6.0 | C | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-26 ELP 5f 61.80 B MT ft 7/14; 2026-07-28 CD 5f 61.20 B MT ft bullet 1/14 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Alw 120000n1x | ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | overlay |
| 9 | CHARM OF VENICEGAFFALIONE TYLER | 5.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-24 TP 4f 49.80 B MT ft 7/18; 2026-09-03 TP 3f 37.40 B MT ft 2/8 · barn: same as last | fDGOaks-G3 → Alw 120000n1x | WALSH BRENDAN P | field |
| 3 | MARKET CHILLORTIZ IRAD JR | 8.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-26 CD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 153/155; 2026-09-20 CD 4f 47.60 B MT ft 6/100 · barn: same as last | fOC75000n1x → Alw 120000n1x | BROWN CHAD C | field |
| 4 | PASEOHERNANDEZ B J JR | 10.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-27 SKY 4f 48.20 B MT ft 3/19; 2026-08-30 SKY 4f 48.20 B MT ft 4/17 · barn: same as last | fAlw188400n1x → Alw 120000n1x | WILKES IAN R | field |
| 1 | MARCINKOWSKISAEZ LUIS | 8.0 | P | Led lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-24 KEE 4f 49.00 B TT ft 1/2; 2026-08-22 KEE 4f 49.00 B TT ft 4/5 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Alw 120000n1x | OLIVER VICTORIA | field |
| 8 | CLASSIC GLIDETORRES CRISTIAN A | 15.0 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-22 TTC 4f 51.20 B MT ft 8/15; 2026-08-27 TTC 4f 49.40 B MT ft 2/7 · barn: same as last | fAlw170400n1x → Alw 120000n1x | MEDINA ROBERT | field |
| 6 | MISS PHARAOHGUTIERREZ MARIO | 12.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip2026-09-26 KEE 5f 60.80 B MT ft bullet 1/15; 2026-09-19 KEE 4f 50.60 B MT ft 54/59 · barn: same as last | fAlw188400n1x → Alw 120000n1x | SIMS MATTHEW P | field |
| 7 | WINNING STREEPCASTELLANO J J | 20.0 | C | Rising figsHidden pace2026-04-17 TP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 25/33; 2026-04-04 TP 4f 50.80 B MT ft 64/78 · barn: same as last | fAlw190800n1x → Alw 120000n1x | SERVIS JOHN C | primed |
| 2 | TEMPLE GODDESSSHEEHY DANNY | 30.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-27 TTC 4f 49.80 B MT ft 12/26; 2026-09-01 TTC 4f 51.60 B MT ft 11/11 · barn: same as last | fAlw188400n1x → Alw 120000n1x | CORRIGAN JIM | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEKEE R3 · 2026-10-03 · Turf 2090y · Alw 120000n1x
- SHAPELone speed #11 TULIP; deep field of closers; moderate pressure risk
- CHALKFavorite#11 TULIP 3-1 · solid-to-short · clean lead, rising figs, top-fig last, but price is thin
- LEANWinner call#11 TULIP · lone speed controls clean; best fig last; chalk is rightful winner call
- PRIMED#10 SIOUXSE (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, top late pace, same trip); #7 WINNING STREEP (rising figs, hidden pace LP 94 in a 5th-place finish)
- PRICE#5 EPISIST edge 0.029 · ML 6-1 · field-best 97 fig, top LP 92, Ortiz up, course route experience
- PLAYPrice ticket#5 EPISIST · win · min 5-1 · PASS below that number
- KILLTULIP uncontested wire-to-wire; EPISIST's 97 was a maiden win that may not translate against n1x company; Asmussen turf ROI deeply negative; class jump from maiden to allowance is real
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, going report (firm vs yielding changes the late-kick calculus), weather
Why
Turf route at Keeneland, n1x allowance, eleven starters, moderate volatility with a lone-speed shape and a strong closer contingent chasing. #11 TULIP controls from post 11 on a clean lead, is the chalk at 3-1 with a legitimate 92 last fig and a rising cycle, but the model's only non-chalk overlay lives elsewhere in the field. #5 EPISIST is a lightly-raced Asmussen closer who posted a field-best 97 fig (17-point spike) on a course route 26 days ago, draws Jose Ortiz, and owns the top late-pace number in this field, giving her a closing path in A and a much better one in B or C if anyone tests TULIP.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TULIP | 3.0 | 19.6% | 22.5% | +2.9% | 0.77 | EP | favoriteRising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 10 | SIOUXSE | 4.5 | 14.3% | 15.2% | +1.0% | 0.48 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | EPISIST | 6.0 | 11.2% | 14.1% | +2.9% | 1.13 | C | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 9 | CHARM OF VENICE | 5.0 | 13.1% | 11.6% | -1.5% | -0.25 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 3 | MARKET CHILL | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.3% | -1.4% | -0.50 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | PASEO | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.1% | -0.1% | 0.19 | C | Same trip | — |
| 1 | MARCINKOWSKI | 8.0 | 8.7% | 6.3% | -2.4% | -1.06 | P | Led lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 8 | CLASSIC GLIDE | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.8% | -0.1% | 0.14 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | MISS PHARAOH | 12.0 | 6.0% | 4.7% | -1.3% | -0.74 | S | 2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip | — |
| 7 | WINNING STREEP | 20.0 | 3.7% | 4.5% | +0.7% | 0.93 | C | Rising figsHidden pace | — |
| 2 | TEMPLE GODDESS | 30.0 | 2.5% | 1.8% | -0.7% | -1.09 | C | Same trip | — |