GRP R4 · 2026-10-11
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find GRP R4 · 2026-10-11 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#6 #9 #7 #2)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6KINGSTOWN MAYORE
- C2#9SPICY CORONARITAE
- C3#7NATHAN KNOWS BESTE
- C4#2MALIBU TIGEREP
- C5#3MADE TO IMPACTUU
- C6#1GRANDPAS LAST RIDEUU
- C7#10SHES A LETHAL ONEUU
- C8#8DOCS HOME CALLUU
- C9#5POLAR PATROLS
- C10#4DRAGONELLAC
Honest pace among #6 KINGSTOWN MAYOR and #9 SPICY CORONARITA and #7 NATHAN KNOWS BEST and #2 MALIBU TIGER. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 POLAR PATROL · hurts #6 KINGSTOWN MAYOR, #9 SPICY CORONARITA, #7 NATHAN KNOWS BEST, #2 MALIBU TIGER
Pressure: #6 KINGSTOWN MAYOR and #9 SPICY CORONARITA and #7 NATHAN KNOWS BEST and #2 MALIBU TIGER hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 POLAR PATROL · hurts #6 KINGSTOWN MAYOR, #9 SPICY CORONARITA, #7 NATHAN KNOWS BEST, #2 MALIBU TIGER
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 POLAR PATROL, #4 DRAGONELLA).
Helps #5 POLAR PATROL, #4 DRAGONELLA · hurts #6 KINGSTOWN MAYOR, #9 SPICY CORONARITA, #7 NATHAN KNOWS BEST, #2 MALIBU TIGER
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SPICY CORONARITACRUZ ALEX M | 2.5 | E | 2nd off layoffLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-21 GRP 4f 52.00 Bg MT ft 11/11; 2026-07-26 EMD 4f 46.20 Hg MT ft bullet 1/21 · barn: same as last | NstikaScrt10k → JsphnCJuv14k | SILVA-MARTINEZ ALEXIS | Favorite |
| 3 | MADE TO IMPACTAMADOR SILVIO RUIZ | 4.0 | U | Led lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-30 GRP 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-24 GRP 3f 39.60 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → JsphnCJuv14k | ROSALES JORGE | field |
| 6 | KINGSTOWN MAYOROROZCO KEVIN E | 5.0 | E | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-22 GRP 3f 35.60 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-08-15 EMD 4f 47.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | NstikaScrt10k → JsphnCJuv14k | GIBSON HOWARD F | field |
| 7 | NATHAN KNOWS BESTNUNNALLY BLAKE | 6.0 | E | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-18 GRP 5f 63.80 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-09-07 EMD 4f 47.80 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | NstikaScrt10k → JsphnCJuv14k | VELASQUEZ RIGOBERTO | field |
| 2 | MALIBU TIGERANAYA ALEX V | 8.0 | EP | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-10 GRP 3f 39.40 B MT ft 6/8; 2026-04-25 TUP 4f 47.40 Hg MT ft 6/14 · barn: same as last | NstikaScrt10k → JsphnCJuv14k | HARSHMAN LOEGAN D | field |
| 5 | POLAR PATROLMORALES ALLYSSA | 8.0 | S | Barn changeSharp work2026-09-30 GRP 5f 61.20 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-22 GRP 3f 37.00 B MT ft 3/8 · barn: change vs LUCARELLI FRANK | GotstnFutB50k → JsphnCJuv14k | HARSHMAN LOEGAN D | field |
| 8 | DOCS HOME CALLAMERICANO MANUEL | 10.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-21 GRP 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 4/11; 2026-09-15 GRP 3f 38.60 B MT ft 5/7 · barn: same as last | NstikaScrt10k → JsphnCJuv14k | PEERY DEBBIE | field |
| 4 | DRAGONELLACASTILLO PABLO E | 12.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-16 GRP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 6/11; 2026-08-10 EMD 4f 51.80 B MT ft 19/20 · barn: same as last | NstikaScrt10k → JsphnCJuv14k | MCCORMICK DARREN | field |
| 1 | GRANDPAS LAST RIDECASTELLANOS ADRIAN | 20.0 | U | Sharp work2026-09-28 GRP 5f 62.60 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-15 GRP 3f 38.60 B MT ft 5/7 · barn: CHRISTIAN SHAWNA (no last-line barn) | — → JsphnCJuv14k | CHRISTIAN SHAWNA | field |
| 10 | SHES A LETHAL ONETIMENTWA TALLIYAH | 20.0 | U | —2026-10-06 GRP 4f 52.00 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-09-21 GRP 3f 37.00 Bg MT ft 1/1 · barn: SILVA-MARTINEZ ALEXIS (no last-line barn) | — → JsphnCJuv14k | SILVA-MARTINEZ ALEXIS | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEGRP R4 · 2026-10-11 · Dirt 1320y · JsphnCJuv14k (Juvenile Stakes, $14k)
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#6 #9 #7 #2) projects a pace duel/meltdown; speed bias and rail bias favor the chalk but her post-9 draw works against her; stalker/closer path only lives in B/C
- CHALKFavorite#9 SPICY CORONARITA 2.5 · short but stacked: top fig, 2nd off layoff, led and won last — opposable only because she draws the worst post in a rail-bias race against a three-way speed duel she has to outrun from the 9-hole
- LEANWinner call#9 SPICY CORONARITA · best fig, most ready, most likely to control terms if the others back off — but the pace map and post make this a coin-flip around a chalk you cannot play
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ flags with a clean pace path)
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlay; model edge positive only on the chalk)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLIf any of the three speed rivals (#6 #7 #2) press from the gate, the duel empties the chalk; #5 POLAR PATROL (barn change, first start with Harshman who hits 59% first-start / ROI +3.60 when shipping in) is a display note only — not a ticketable overlay at this ML
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint on a speed-biased rail-favoring track with a wall of four early types and extreme pace pressure, making this a volatile juvenile sprint where the chalk is also the most credible speed horse. The shape is a probable duel/meltdown with #6, #9, #7, and #2 all projecting up front; #9 SPICY CORONARITA is the 2.5 chalk — 2nd off layoff, top fig in the field (71), led and won last, but she draws post 9 in a rail-bias race and faces a three-way speed war that could empty her out. No horse in the brief clears the 2+ flag / non-chalk overlay bar for PRIMED or PRICE; the ingest sheet rec is PASS and no non-chalk overlay exists. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SPICY CORONARITA | 2.5 | 22.3% | 27.0% | +4.7% | 1.07 | E | favorite2nd off layoffLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | MADE TO IMPACT | 4.0 | 15.6% | 16.6% | +0.9% | 0.54 | U | Led lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 6 | KINGSTOWN MAYOR | 5.0 | 13.0% | 14.8% | +1.8% | 0.82 | E | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | NATHAN KNOWS BEST | 6.0 | 11.2% | 10.1% | -1.0% | -0.09 | E | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | MALIBU TIGER | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.4% | -1.2% | -0.31 | EP | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 5 | POLAR PATROL | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.3% | -1.4% | -0.38 | S | Barn changeSharp work | — |
| 8 | DOCS HOME CALL | 10.0 | 7.1% | 5.5% | -1.6% | -0.74 | U | Same trip | — |
| 4 | DRAGONELLA | 12.0 | 6.0% | 4.4% | -1.6% | -0.92 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | GRANDPAS LAST RIDE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.4% | -0.3% | -0.00 | U | Sharp work | — |
| 10 | SHES A LETHAL ONE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.4% | -0.3% | -0.00 | U | — |