KEE R4 · 2026-10-10

BETD1870y2 price overlay(s)4 readyPLAY lookRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R4 · 2026-10-10 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#4 #2 #5)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#4OTELLOE
C2#2MORUNNINGEP
C3#3DAI VERNONS
C4#5GILDED CRAKENE
C5#1DANCE SOME MOC
C6#7ALDERC
C7#6OVERSTATEMENTC
C8#8MONEY SUPPLYC

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #4 OTELLO and #2 MORUNNING and #5 GILDED CRAKEN. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #3 DAI VERNON · hurts #4 OTELLO, #2 MORUNNING, #5 GILDED CRAKEN

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #4 OTELLO and #2 MORUNNING and #5 GILDED CRAKEN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #3 DAI VERNON · hurts #4 OTELLO, #2 MORUNNING, #5 GILDED CRAKEN

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 DAI VERNON, #1 DANCE SOME MO, #7 ALDER, #6 OVERSTATEMENT, #8 MONEY SUPPLY).

Helps #3 DAI VERNON, #1 DANCE SOME MO, #7 ALDER, #6 OVERSTATEMENT, #8 MONEY SUPPLY · hurts #4 OTELLO, #2 MORUNNING, #5 GILDED CRAKEN

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
8	MONEY SUPPLYORTIZ IRAD JR	3.5	C	Rising figs2026-10-01 KEE 4f 50.00 B MT ft 34/38; 2026-09-06 ELP 4f 48.40 B MT ft bullet 1/25 · barn: same as last	Clm62500 → Clm 62500	SHARP JOE	overlay
2	MORUNNINGSAEZ LUIS	3.0	EP	Same trip2026-09-26 TP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 36/97; 2026-08-13 DMR 4f 48.20 H MT ft 17/47 · barn: same as last	OC100000n2x → Clm 62500	DAVIS CHRISTOPHER	field
5	GILDED CRAKENORTIZ JOSE L	2.0	E	2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-10-03 KEE 5f 59.60 B MT ft 2/40; 2026-09-20 TP 4f 51.60 B MT ft 85/88 · barn: same as last	OC80000n2x → Clm 62500	SHARP JOE	Favorite
1	DANCE SOME MOARRIETA FRANCISCO	6.0	C	Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastHidden paceSame trip2026-10-02 CDT 4f 47.80 B MT ft 2/22; 2026-09-20 CDT 4f 48.40 B MT ft 9/39 · barn: same as last	OC50000n2x → Clm 62500	VAN BERG THOMAS L	primed
3	DAI VERNONROSARIO JOEL	10.0	S	Rising figs2nd off layoffSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-10-01 KEE 3f 37.40 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-10 ELP 4f 50.40 B MT sy 5/5 · barn: same as last	Clm32000 → Clm 62500	DAVID CARLOS A	primed
7	ALDERGAFFALIONE TYLER	8.0	C	Led lastSame trip2026-10-06 CDT 3f 39.40 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-10-01 CDT 3f 38.40 B MT ft 8/10 · barn: same as last	OC80000n2x → Clm 62500	JACOBSON DAVID	field
4	OTELLOBEJARANO R	12.0	E	Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-10-02 BEL 4f 52.00 B MT ft 67/67; 2026-09-19 BEL 4f 49.80 B MT ft 40/85 · barn: same as last	OC110000b → Clm 62500	KANTARMACI ILKAY	primed
6	OVERSTATEMENTCONCEPCION AXEL	30.0	C	Trouble lastHidden paceSame trip2026-10-01 ELP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/12; 2026-09-04 ELP 4f 48.20 B MT ft 4/54 · barn: same as last	Clm50000 → Clm 62500	MILLER KENNY	primed

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade

RACEKEE R4 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1870y · Clm 62500
SHAPEWall of speed (#4 #2 #5) virtually guarantees a contested pace; stalkers and closers get a setup in A and B
CHALKFavorite#5 GILDED CRAKEN · opposable · turf-based cycle, dirt fig (20) is a red flag, negative model edge, short at 2-1
LEANWinner call#3 DAI VERNON · stalker with top fig, top late pace, rising cycle, 2nd off layoff, Rosario, real class drop win
PRIMED#3 DAI VERNON (rising_figs, 2nd_off_layoff, sharp_work, top_last_fig, top_last_pace); #1 DANCE SOME MO (rising_figs, 2nd_off_layoff, trouble_last, hidden_pace); #4 OTELLO (rising_figs, 3rd_start_cycle, led_last); #6 OVERSTATEMENT (trouble_last, hidden_pace — 30-1, model near zero, no price)
PRICE#8 MONEY SUPPLY edge 0.033 (ML 3.5) · #3 DAI VERNON edge 0.024 (ML 10)
PLAYPrice ticket#3 DAI VERNON · min 8-1 · WIN — at anything shorter, pass
KILLDai Vernon pressed wide early / loses ground to the duel; Gilded Craken's dirt form was hidden and it fires fresh; Overstatement or Dance Some Mo inherit if the speed truly melts
MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt two-turn claiming route at 62500, field of 8, moderate-to-high volatility given a wall of early speed and a meaningful class question on the pace-setters.

Three speed types (#4 Otello, #2 Morunning, #5 Gilded Craken) are projected to the front and will almost certainly hook up, making Scenario B the operational map; chalk #5 Gilded Craken is short at 2-1, carries a negative model edge (-0.072), last fired an 89 on turf and collapsed to a 65 on a different turf trip, and is dropping off a turf-based cycle onto dirt where its relevant dirt fig (20) is alarming — opposable.

#3 Dai Vernon is the most loaded primed horse on the sheet: top fig (89) and top late pace (93) in the field, rising figs (+8), 2nd off a 60-day layoff, bullet work at KEE 1/2, stalking style with a path directly through Scenarios A and B, and a real class drop from Clm32000 that looks like a "send" (won last, Rosario up, competitive fig well above this group) rather than a dump.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#8 MONEY SUPPLY+3.3%ML 3.5Rising figs

#3 DAI VERNON+2.4%ML 10.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip

Ready, not overlaid

#1 DANCE SOME MOML 6.0Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastHidden paceSame trip

#4 OTELLOML 12.0Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip

#6 OVERSTATEMENTML 30.0Trouble lastHidden paceSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
8	MONEY SUPPLY	3.5	17.6%	20.9%	+3.3%	0.54	C	Rising figs	—
2	MORUNNING	3.0	19.8%	19.3%	-0.5%	-0.25	EP	Same trip	—
5	GILDED CRAKEN	2.0	26.5%	19.2%	-7.2%	-1.42	E	favorite2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip	—
1	DANCE SOME MO	6.0	11.3%	12.8%	+1.5%	0.35	C	Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastHidden paceSame trip	—
3	DAI VERNON	10.0	7.2%	9.6%	+2.4%	1.01	S	Rising figs2nd off layoffSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip	—
7	ALDER	8.0	8.8%	9.2%	+0.4%	0.01	C	Led lastSame trip	—
4	OTELLO	12.0	6.1%	6.4%	+0.3%	0.06	E	Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip	—
6	OVERSTATEMENT	30.0	2.6%	2.5%	-0.1%	-0.30	C	Trouble lastHidden paceSame trip	—