FL R8 · 2026-10-06
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #2 #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3IMMORTAL POETE
- C2#2WILDCAT ANNIEEP
- C3#5HONEY IN THE BANKEP
- C4#9VOLAMOS
- C5#4BLUESETTES
- C6#6LA DINAMITAS
- C7#7FUNNY FORECASTC
- C8#8CANDY IS DANDYS
- C9#1BOUNTY KILLAHC
- C10#10OUTTA THE CLOUDC
Honest pace among #3 IMMORTAL POET and #2 WILDCAT ANNIE and #5 HONEY IN THE BANK. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #9 VOLAMO, #4 BLUESETTE, #6 LA DINAMITA, #8 CANDY IS DANDY · hurts #3 IMMORTAL POET, #2 WILDCAT ANNIE, #5 HONEY IN THE BANK
Pressure: #3 IMMORTAL POET and #2 WILDCAT ANNIE and #5 HONEY IN THE BANK hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #9 VOLAMO, #4 BLUESETTE, #6 LA DINAMITA, #8 CANDY IS DANDY · hurts #3 IMMORTAL POET, #2 WILDCAT ANNIE, #5 HONEY IN THE BANK
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#9 VOLAMO, #4 BLUESETTE, #6 LA DINAMITA, #7 FUNNY FORECAST, #8 CANDY IS DANDY, #1 BOUNTY KILLAH, #10 OUTTA THE CLOUD).
Helps #9 VOLAMO, #4 BLUESETTE, #6 LA DINAMITA, #7 FUNNY FORECAST, #8 CANDY IS DANDY, #1 BOUNTY KILLAH, #10 OUTTA THE CLOUD · hurts #3 IMMORTAL POET, #2 WILDCAT ANNIE, #5 HONEY IN THE BANK
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LA DINAMITAWORRIE ANDRE SHIVNARINE | 3.0 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-30 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/18; 2026-09-23 FL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 17/42 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | ENGLEHART JEREMIAH C | Favorite |
| 2 | WILDCAT ANNIEROHENA J M | 4.0 | EP | 3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-08-18 FL 5f 62.20 Bg MT ft 2/6; 2026-08-05 FL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 22/28 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | HOUSEL TAMARA | field |
| 3 | IMMORTAL POETALVARADO N R | 3.5 | E | Tag dropTop last paceSame trip2026-07-06 SAR 3f 37.40 B TT ft 6/12; 2026-06-29 SAR 4f 50.00 B TT ft 19/45 · barn: same as last | fClm11000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | ARECHE THALIA | field |
| 4 | BLUESETTECRUZ JOEL | 5.0 | S | Same trip2026-05-18 FL 4f 52.00 B MT ft 19/19; 2026-05-08 FL 4f 51.40 B MT ft 20/21 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | BUCKLEY JONATHAN B | field |
| 7 | FUNNY FORECASTHERNANDEZ O K | 6.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-16 FL 3f 38.20 B MT ft 6/8; 2026-09-09 FL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 13/15 · barn: same as last | fMd5000 → Clm 5000n2l | BAKER CHARLTON | primed |
| 9 | VOLAMOGOMEZ O | 8.0 | S | Trouble last2026-07-11 FL 5f 61.20 Bg MT ft 3/8; 2026-07-04 FL 5f 63.40 B MT ft 4/7 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | ACQUILANO JAMES | field |
| 8 | CANDY IS DANDYDE DIEGO EMANUEL | 15.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-30 FL 3f 36.40 B MT ft 2/10; 2026-09-04 FL 4f 50.00 B MT sy 10/11 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | OYOLA DAVID | field |
| 5 | HONEY IN THE BANKBERRIOS JOHN C | 20.0 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-08-09 FL 4f 50.20 B MT my 2/2; 2026-07-22 FL 4f 54.00 B MT ft 17/18 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | ARECHE THALIA | primed |
| 10 | OUTTA THE CLOUDJOSEPH BEN S | 20.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-04 FL 4f 49.40 B MT ft 20/31; 2026-06-16 FL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 12/31 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | DEAN VICTOR III | field |
| 1 | BOUNTY KILLAHVENTURA JOSE | 25.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-06 FL 5f 62.40 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-05-30 FL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 17/28 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n1y → Clm 5000n2l | LOAIZA ILMAR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFL R8 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 5000n2l
- SHAPEWall of speed (#3/#2/#5) sets honest-to-pressured pace; stalkers and closers in A/B
- CHALKFavorite#6 LA DINAMITA · solid · top fig 69, rising cycle, clean stalking path inside posts
- LEANWinner call#6 LA DINAMITA · best fig, right style for the pace scenario, fits A and B
- PRIMED#7 FUNNY FORECAST (rising figs +13, 3rd-start cycle, closing path in A/B); #5 HONEY IN THE BANK (rising figs +25, 3rd-start cycle — but low raw figs and post 5 burns ground in a speed duel)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay clears the bar; #7 model edge 0.006 is noise, not overlay
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLSpeed duel fails to materialize — lone speed clears and #6 can't close the gap from off the pace
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition change, rider switches
Why
Dirt sprint at FL, $5k claiming NW2L, 10-horse field — moderate-to-high volatility in a cheap field with a wall of early speed. Three horses (#3, #2, #5) project to the front at a contested pace, creating a genuine meltdown setup that benefits mid-pack stalkers; chalk #6 LA DINAMITA (ML 3) is a pure stalker with the top last fig (69), rising cycle, and a legitimate pace path in scenario A/B — correctly the favorite. #7 FUNNY FORECAST (ML 6) is primed with rising figs (53→66, +13), third start of the cycle, and a closing style that inherits directly in a duel pace — but the model shows only a tiny edge (0.006) and ML 6 is not a certified overlay. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LA DINAMITA | 3.0 | 19.4% | 21.6% | +2.2% | 0.78 | S | favoriteRising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | WILDCAT ANNIE | 4.0 | 15.5% | 17.5% | +2.0% | 0.83 | EP | 3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | IMMORTAL POET | 3.5 | 17.2% | 17.1% | -0.1% | 0.34 | E | Tag dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | BLUESETTE | 5.0 | 12.9% | 12.6% | -0.4% | 0.24 | S | Same trip | — |
| 7 | FUNNY FORECAST | 6.0 | 11.1% | 11.7% | +0.6% | 0.57 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 9 | VOLAMO | 8.0 | 8.6% | 7.7% | -0.9% | -0.07 | S | Trouble last | — |
| 8 | CANDY IS DANDY | 15.0 | 4.8% | 3.7% | -1.2% | -0.73 | S | Same trip | — |
| 5 | HONEY IN THE BANK | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.3% | -0.4% | -0.07 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 10 | OUTTA THE CLOUD | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.5% | -1.2% | -1.17 | C | Same trip | — |
| 1 | BOUNTY KILLAH | 25.0 | 3.0% | 2.3% | -0.7% | -0.72 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |