PID R4 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R4 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#6 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1GIDEONP
- C2#6FREESTATEEP
- C3#5LIMOEP
- C4#2MR COLOSSALC
- C5#3LEE THE CABBYP
- C6#4DESPERATE PROPOSALC
Honest pace among #6 FREESTATE and #5 LIMO. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 GIDEON, #3 LEE THE CABBY · hurts #6 FREESTATE, #5 LIMO
Pressure: #6 FREESTATE and #5 LIMO hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 GIDEON, #3 LEE THE CABBY · hurts #6 FREESTATE, #5 LIMO
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 MR COLOSSAL, #4 DESPERATE PROPOSAL).
Helps #2 MR COLOSSAL, #4 DESPERATE PROPOSAL · hurts #6 FREESTATE, #5 LIMO
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FREESTATERODRIGUEZ ISRAEL O | 2.5 | EP | Rising figsClass dropLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-08-21 PID 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/12; 2026-08-14 PID 4f 48.40 B MT ft 2/14 · barn: same as last | Alw38610n1x → Clm 25000n2l | ARRIAGADA JUAN | Favorite |
| 5 | LIMOMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 3.5 | EP | Class dropSame trip2026-09-22 FAI 4f 49.60 B TT ft 3/5; 2026-08-25 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/18 · barn: same as last | Alw52100n1x → Clm 25000n2l | STIDHAM MICHAEL | field |
| 4 | DESPERATE PROPOSALGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 3.0 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-09-26 CT 4f 48.80 B MT ft 6/34; 2026-09-08 MTH 4f 49.20 B MT ft 5/10 · barn: change vs SYNNEFIAS PANAGIOTIS A | Clm40000n2l → Clm 25000n2l | FARRIOR ANTHONY | field |
| 2 | MR COLOSSALAYALA ADDIEL J | 4.5 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-07 PID 3f 35.20 B MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-09-01 PID 4f 48.20 B MT ft 5/12 · barn: same as last | Clm12500n2l → Clm 25000n2l | RICE KEVIN | field |
| 1 | GIDEONALLEN M | 8.0 | P | Same trip2026-06-03 PID 4f 47.80 B MT ft 3/14; 2026-05-12 PID 4f 49.00 B MT ft 16/30 · barn: same as last | Clm12500n2l → Clm 25000n2l | ALLEN LISA | field |
| 3 | LEE THE CABBYKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 8.0 | P | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-10 PID 3f 35.40 B MT ft 5/13; 2026-09-03 PID 4f 53.00 Bg MT ft 12/13 · barn: same as last | Clm12500n2l → Clm 25000n2l | RICE KEVIN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R4 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1760y · Clm 25000n2l
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#6 vs #5) on a speed/inside-rail bias track; pace high, stalkers benefit if duel materializes
- CHALKFavorite#6 FREESTATE · short (2.5 ML) · opposable on pace — projects to a hook with a collapsing LIMO, and the last route fig (81) came with a "led/outfinished late" trip that could repeat under pressure
- LEANWinner call#6 FREESTATE · best fig, rising cycle, class drop is a send — duel risk noted but class advantage is real
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ flags with a path in A or B)
- PRICEno price (model overlays chalk only; #2 MR COLOSSAL edge 0.012 is below threshold and is a class climb, not a drop)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLLIMO sits off the early pace instead of pressing — FREESTATE clears and wires the field; or #2/#4 find a fast pace and close into a dead-heat at a number that would have been the play
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt route, Clm 25000n2l, six-horse field at PID — moderate-to-high volatility given two class droppers, a pace duel on the map, and an inside-rail bias favoring early position. Chalk #6 FREESTATE (2.5 ML) is the lone legitimate speed threat with the top fig (81), a rising-fig cycle, and a class drop that looks like a send — but projects to a duel with #5 LIMO, which ran "vied; stopped" at a tougher spot last out and has collapsing LP (57) off the speed; shape tilts against the chalk surviving a hooked pace, though it still holds the best raw material. No non-chalk horse clears the primed bar with a pace path: #2 MR COLOSSAL has rising figs and LP 88 but is stepping up two full tags (from Clm12500 → Clm25000) with only a 71 last fig — path exists in C, not reliably in A or B; no primed price horse is live at the win level today. ---
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FREESTATE | 2.5 | 24.6% | 30.1% | +5.5% | 0.91 | EP | favoriteRising figsClass dropLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | LIMO | 3.5 | 19.1% | 17.5% | -1.6% | -0.25 | EP | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | DESPERATE PROPOSAL | 3.0 | 21.5% | 17.4% | -4.1% | -0.74 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 2 | MR COLOSSAL | 4.5 | 15.6% | 16.9% | +1.2% | 0.40 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | GIDEON | 8.0 | 9.6% | 10.1% | +0.6% | 0.34 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | LEE THE CABBY | 8.0 | 9.6% | 7.9% | -1.7% | -0.66 | P | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |