LS R1 · 2026-10-01
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LS R1 · 2026-10-01 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1RG JESSA EAGLELETTAUU
- C2#4RR DASH MASTER JETUU
- C3#8AN EAGLES GAMEUU
- C4#7TEXAN MOONUU
- C5#2ZENITH ZTORMIUU
- C6#5SHUT UP ITZ MONDAYUU
- C7#3IAM A FANCY DALHIUU
- C8#11QUEEN AMONG KINGSUU
- C9#9VICTORIA ESPECIALUU
- C10#10FIRE TO THE EYESUU
- C11#6CHILI WRANGLERUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RG JESSA EAGLELETTAGARCIA DANIEL X | 3.0 | U | MSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip2026-07-08 LS 1f 12.20 B MT ft 3/10; 2026-06-17 RET 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 4/7 · barn: change vs MEJIA JACOBO | MdSpWt → Md 10000 | GARCIA JOSE N | Favorite |
| 4 | RR DASH MASTER JETDELAROSA RUBEN JR | 4.0 | U | Rising figsMSW → MCLBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-07-08 RET 1f 11.80 B MT ft bullet 1/29; 2026-06-25 RET 1f 13.80 Bg MT ft 9/11 · barn: change vs SANTANA NESTOR JR | sMdSpWt → Md 10000 | REYNA NERI | overlay |
| 8 | AN EAGLES GAMERIVERA ALI | 3.5 | U | Same trip2026-09-02 LS 1f 12.80 B MT ft 24/34; 2026-07-23 RET 1f 12.20 B MT ft 8/24 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md 10000 | STINEBAUGH JOHN A | field |
| 7 | TEXAN MOONVIVANCO LUIS L | 6.0 | U | Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip2026-07-20 LAD 1f 12.80 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-07-04 RET 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md 10000 | SANCHEZ JOSE LUIS III | field |
| 2 | ZENITH ZTORMIHERNANDEZ RAUL PADILLA JR | 8.0 | U | Same trip2026-05-05 HOU 1f 12.00 Bg MT ft 8/14; 2026-04-16 HOU 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 18/29 · barn: same as last | sMd15000 → Md 10000 | HERNANDEZ JUAN JOHNNY M | field |
| 5 | SHUT UP ITZ MONDAYRAMIREZ RAUL JR | 10.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffMSW → MCLSame trip2026-03-11 RET 1.1f 13.80 Hg MT wf 34/84; 2026-02-18 RET 1.1f 14.40 Hg MT ft 58/67 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md 10000 | CARLOS KATIE | primed |
| 3 | IAM A FANCY DALHIMEDINA ALEJANDRO | 10.0 | U | Same trip2026-05-29 HOU 1f 12.00 Bg MT ft 6/19; 2026-05-23 HOU 1f 12.20 B MT ft 3/16 · barn: same as last | fsMd10000 → Md 10000 | GONZALEZ GILBERTO | field |
| 11 | QUEEN AMONG KINGSFIERRO ANGEL A | 12.0 | U | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-16 LS 1f 11.80 B MT ft 5/28; 2026-04-09 HOU 1f 12.00 B MT ft 4/25 · barn: change vs OVIEDO VICTOR | sMd15000 → Md 10000 | MENDOZA CARLOS I | field |
| 9 | VICTORIA ESPECIALVALLEJO MIGUEL R | 12.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-07-30 RET 1f 13.00 B MT ft 5/5; 2026-04-01 RET 1.1f 14.60 Hg MT ft 37/43 · barn: change vs MARTINEZ JOSE IVAN | FutTrl10000 → Md 10000 | NEVAREZ JOSE JR | field |
| 10 | FIRE TO THE EYESAGUILAR CLAUDIO PONCE | 12.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-12 LS 1f 12.20 B MT ft 26/57; 2026-04-15 HOU 1.1f 14.00 Bg MT ft 10/21 · barn: change vs MARTINEZ JOSE IVAN | FutTrl9000 → Md 10000 | FIERRO VICTOR G | field |
| 6 | CHILI WRANGLERMENDEZ BENJAMIN JR | 20.0 | U | —2026-09-22 LS 1f 13.00 Bg MT ft 14/19; 2026-09-01 LS 1f 13.20 Bg MT ft 27/28 · barn: GARCIA JUAN IGNACIO (no last-line barn) | — → Md 10000 | GARCIA JUAN IGNACIO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELS R1 · 2026-10-01 · Dirt 350y Md10000
- SHAPEAll pace styles U — shape unknowable; lone speed, duel, or crawl all possible; volatility HIGH
- CHALKFavorite#1 RG JESSA EAGLELETTA · short (ML 3) · barn change, fig-74 return after a layoff, thin model edge; not opposable on shape alone
- LEANWinner call#4 RR DASH MASTER JET · top field fig (84), rising cycle, bullet work, MSW→MCL class drop with live profile
- PRIMED#5 SHUT UP ITZ MONDAY (rising figs 46→70, 2nd off layoff, MSW→MCL) — but model shows no overlay (edge –0.001)
- PRICE#4 RR DASH MASTER JET · ML 4 · edge 0.034 — only non-chalk overlay on the sheet
- PLAYPrice ticket#4 RR DASH MASTER JET · win · minimum 4-1 (at 7-2 or shorter, PASS)
- KILLPace chaos in a 350y field can erase any figure edge in a single bad break; two-start PP file means cycle read is thin; live tote may compress #4 below floor
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint at 350y in a $10k maiden claimer with 11 runners and all pace styles unknown — high volatility, cheap QH field where figures are noisy and trip luck rules. Pace map is entirely unresolved (all U), so no shape edge exists; chalk #1 RG JESSA EAGLELETTA (ML 3) carries the shortest line but comes off a dull fig-74 effort in a class drop with a barn change, giving it a modest model edge of only 0.006 — solid favorite but not a compelling price. The only overlay the model flags is #4 RR DASH MASTER JET at ML 4 (edge 0.034), which posted the top BRIS fig in the field (84), a bullet work (1/29 at RET), and a meaningful rising-fig signal from a 66 to an 84 in its last two; the class drop from sMdSpWt fits the MCL claiming-slice profile of an MSW dropper with a figure above this group, but the brevity of its PP file (two starts) and the complete absence of any pace map limit confidence. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RG JESSA EAGLELETTA | 3.0 | 18.0% | 18.7% | +0.6% | 0.29 | U | favoriteMSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | RR DASH MASTER JET | 4.0 | 14.4% | 17.8% | +3.4% | 1.00 | U | Rising figsMSW → MCLBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |
| 8 | AN EAGLES GAME | 3.5 | 16.0% | 15.1% | -1.0% | -0.09 | U | Same trip | — |
| 7 | TEXAN MOON | 6.0 | 10.3% | 10.8% | +0.5% | 0.33 | U | Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 2 | ZENITH ZTORMI | 8.0 | 8.0% | 7.4% | -0.7% | -0.19 | U | Same trip | — |
| 5 | SHUT UP ITZ MONDAY | 10.0 | 6.6% | 6.4% | -0.1% | 0.07 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffMSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 3 | IAM A FANCY DALHI | 10.0 | 6.6% | 6.1% | -0.4% | -0.12 | U | Same trip | — |
| 11 | QUEEN AMONG KINGS | 12.0 | 5.5% | 5.3% | -0.2% | -0.02 | U | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 9 | VICTORIA ESPECIAL | 12.0 | 5.5% | 4.6% | -0.9% | -0.59 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 10 | FIRE TO THE EYES | 12.0 | 5.5% | 4.5% | -1.1% | -0.69 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 6 | CHILI WRANGLER | 20.0 | 3.4% | 3.3% | -0.1% | 0.00 | U | — |