closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

IND R5 · 2026-09-28

PASST1760y1 readyPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find IND R5 · 2026-09-28 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#7 #1 #10)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#7KAMS ROCKIN GOLDE
  2. C2#4NIXONS TIMEP
  3. C3#1POLKA POLENTAE
  4. C4#5SURPRENANT COCCAP
  5. C5#3NEVER REALLY KNOWP
  6. C6#10BEACH DANCERE
  7. C7#9CE LA VI CHARLIS
  8. C8#2RAZZLE REDC
  9. C9#6WOODRUFFS
  10. C10#8CRICKENBERGERC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #7 KAMS ROCKIN GOLD and #1 POLKA POLENTA and #10 BEACH DANCER. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #4 NIXONS TIME, #5 SURPRENANT COCCA, #3 NEVER REALLY KNOW, #9 CE LA VI CHARLI, #6 WOODRUFF · hurts #7 KAMS ROCKIN GOLD, #1 POLKA POLENTA, #10 BEACH DANCER

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #7 KAMS ROCKIN GOLD and #1 POLKA POLENTA and #10 BEACH DANCER hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #4 NIXONS TIME, #5 SURPRENANT COCCA, #3 NEVER REALLY KNOW, #9 CE LA VI CHARLI, #6 WOODRUFF · hurts #7 KAMS ROCKIN GOLD, #1 POLKA POLENTA, #10 BEACH DANCER

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#9 CE LA VI CHARLI, #2 RAZZLE RED, #6 WOODRUFF, #8 CRICKENBERGER).

Helps #9 CE LA VI CHARLI, #2 RAZZLE RED, #6 WOODRUFF, #8 CRICKENBERGER · hurts #7 KAMS ROCKIN GOLD, #1 POLKA POLENTA, #10 BEACH DANCER

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
8CRICKENBERGERESQUIVEL EMMANUEL2.5C3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip2026-08-11 IND 4f 47.40 B MT ft bullet 1/29; 2026-07-31 IND 4f 48.80 B MT ft 15/58 · barn: same as lastfsAlw40200n2x → OClm 20000CONTRERAS CIPRIANOFavorite
1POLKA POLENTADE LA CRUZ FERNANDO3.0ERising figsLed lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-23 IND 3f 36.00 B MT ft bullet 1/19; 2026-08-29 IND 5f 61.60 B MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: same as lastfOC20000 → OClm 20000CAZARES RENE JRfield
6WOODRUFFCEDILLO ABEL4.5SRising figsSame trip2026-09-16 MTH 4f 50.00 B MT ft 6/15; 2026-09-06 MTH 4f 49.00 B MT my 7/17 · barn: same as lastfOC16000 → OClm 20000SCHULTZ LINDSAYfield
3NEVER REALLY KNOWMURRILL MITCHELL6.0PRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-16 CD 4f 49.40 B MT ft 20/30; 2026-08-27 CD 4f 49.00 B MT ft 16/41 · barn: same as lastfClm12500n2l → OClm 20000CASSE NORM Wprimed
9CE LA VI CHARLIMENDOZA AMIR6.0SSame trip2026-09-23 IND 5f 61.20 B MT ft 4/19; 2026-09-15 IND 4f 51.60 B MT ft 42/55 · barn: same as lastfOC20000 → OClm 20000GARCIA GENAROfield
10BEACH DANCERDE LA CRUZ FERNANDO5.0ERising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-11 IND 4f 48.00 B MT ft 5/23; 2026-07-15 IND 4f 48.60 B MT ft 2/18 · barn: same as lastfClm12500b → OClm 20000EGGLESTON TIMfield
2RAZZLE REDCORREA YARMARIE L10.0CRising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-09-19 TP 4f 50.60 B MT ft 10/13; 2026-08-21 TP 4f 50.40 B MT ft 76/82 · barn: same as lastfOC20000 → OClm 20000GRUBBS JAMIE Lfield
5SURPRENANT COCCAJIMENEZ ALBIN10.0PClass dropSame trip2026-03-31 TP 4f 50.80 B MT ft 15/22; 2026-02-25 TP 4f 51.40 B MT ft 24/33 · barn: same as lastfAlw38080n1x → OClm 20000BROWNFIELD CLAUDEfield
7KAMS ROCKIN GOLDLEAHEY HANNAH12.0ERising figsSame trip2026-09-16 IND 4f 48.60 B MT ft 4/24; 2026-04-17 IND 4f 48.20 B MT ft 7/53 · barn: same as lastfOC15000 → OClm 20000SCHLING BRIAN Lfield
4NIXONS TIMEULLOA ANDRES P15.0P3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-10 IND 5f 62.40 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-06-19 IND 4f 48.60 B MT ft 5/18 · barn: same as lastfOC20000 → OClm 20000GORHAM ROBERT Mfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEIND R5 · 2026-09-28 · Turf 1760y OClm 20000
  2. SHAPEWall of early speed (#7 #1 #10) sets up honest-to-pressured fractions; stalkers and pressers in A/B; closers C-only
  3. CHALKFavorite#8 CRICKENBERGER · short · solid closer with ready flags (3rd-cycle, class drop, bullet work) but 2.5-ML is not a price
  4. LEANWinner call#8 CRICKENBERGER · best-fit closer if pace collapses; pace map A/B also gives #3 a live path
  5. PRIMED#3 NEVER REALLY KNOW — rising figs, 2nd off layoff, won at this trip/class last out; pace map lands it in the stalking lane off a three-way duel
  6. PRICEno price — model shows no non-chalk overlay clears the threshold; #3 edge is 0.007, #6 edge 0.016, both short of actionable
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLOff-turf switch voids the shape entirely; #8 has zero dirt form at this distance
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/going, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Turf route OC-claiming at IND with a wall of three early types and a modest field of ten — moderate-to-high volatility given the pace pressure and a class mix that spans OC-50k droppers down to C-12500 graduates.

Three speed horses (#7, #1, #10) figure to stack up early, setting up a pace scenario that benefits the stalking/pressing types in A and B; chalk #8 CRICKENBERGER is a closer that could inherit if the duel empties but is under-the-radar short at 2.5-ML with no non-chalk overlay the model can endorse.

#3 NEVER REALLY KNOW is the one primed horse with a real path — 2nd off layoff with a rising fig (75→78), won last at this exact trip and class in a N2L claimer, Casse barn, and the pace map puts a presser from post 3 right into the stalking lane as the speed hooks up.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#3 NEVER REALLY KNOWML 6.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
8CRICKENBERGER2.519.2%20.7%+1.5%0.35Cfavorite3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip—
1POLKA POLENTA3.016.8%14.4%-2.3%-0.56ERising figsLed lastSharp workSame trip—
6WOODRUFF4.512.2%13.8%+1.6%0.54SRising figsSame trip—
3NEVER REALLY KNOW6.09.6%10.2%+0.7%0.30PRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip—
9CE LA VI CHARLI6.09.6%10.0%+0.4%0.19SSame trip—
10BEACH DANCER5.011.2%9.6%-1.6%-0.58ERising figsLed lastSame trip—
2RAZZLE RED10.06.1%6.3%+0.2%0.19CRising figsTop last paceSame trip—
5SURPRENANT COCCA10.06.1%6.2%+0.1%0.09PClass dropSame trip—
7KAMS ROCKIN GOLD12.05.2%5.2%+0.0%0.06ERising figsSame trip—
4NIXONS TIME15.04.2%3.6%-0.6%-0.58P3rd start cycleSame trip—