TDN R4 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R4 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#4 vs #7)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4INSTANT WINNERE
- C2#7RAVISHING RUBYEP
- C3#6HOLA AMORUU
- C4#5CUPIDS CAVALIERC
- C5#3TWOTWENTYFIVESOUTHC
- C6#2MOBIL TRUTHC
- C7#1DESTINYS TOTC
Honest pace among #4 INSTANT WINNER and #7 RAVISHING RUBY. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 INSTANT WINNER, #7 RAVISHING RUBY · hurts #4 INSTANT WINNER, #7 RAVISHING RUBY
Pressure: #4 INSTANT WINNER and #7 RAVISHING RUBY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 CUPIDS CAVALIER, #3 TWOTWENTYFIVESOUTH, #2 MOBIL TRUTH, #1 DESTINYS TOT · hurts #4 INSTANT WINNER, #7 RAVISHING RUBY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 CUPIDS CAVALIER, #3 TWOTWENTYFIVESOUTH, #2 MOBIL TRUTH, #1 DESTINYS TOT).
Helps #5 CUPIDS CAVALIER, #3 TWOTWENTYFIVESOUTH, #2 MOBIL TRUTH, #1 DESTINYS TOT · hurts #4 INSTANT WINNER, #7 RAVISHING RUBY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | INSTANT WINNERRIVERA L R | 1.6 | E | Led lastSame trip2026-09-07 TDN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/12; 2026-08-20 TDN 4f 51.00 B MT ft 12/23 · barn: same as last | fsMd16000 → Md 12500 | RONE MIKE | Favorite |
| 7 | RAVISHING RUBYBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 2.5 | EP | MSW → MCLTop last fig2026-04-09 MVR 4f 49.20 B MT ft bullet 1/12; 2026-03-09 MVR 5f 63.40 B MT gd 5/8 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md 12500 | JUAREZ LORENZO | Favorite |
| 6 | HOLA AMORSKERRETT JEFFERSON | 3.0 | U | MSW → MCLLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-06 TDN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/14; 2026-08-20 TDN 3f 37.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/20 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md 12500 | MORALES SAUL M | field |
| 5 | CUPIDS CAVALIERCORRALES GERARDO | 6.0 | C | Rising figsMSW → MCL2026-07-15 TDN 5f 64.00 Bg MT ft 1/3; 2026-07-07 TDN 5f 64.40 B MT ft 4/7 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md 12500 | MEYERS SHANE | field |
| 2 | MOBIL TRUTHTERRAZA GERMAN | 10.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-28 TDN 4f 51.60 B MT ft 11/11; 2026-06-11 TDN 4f 51.20 B MT ft 27/32 · barn: same as last | fsMd12500 → Md 12500 | TUMBLIN KRISTINA M | field |
| 1 | DESTINYS TOTSALAZAR BECERRA FERNANDO | 20.0 | C | Same trip2026-04-23 TDN 4f 50.80 B MT ft 15/21; 2026-03-21 MVR 4f 51.00 B MT ft 16/21 · barn: same as last | fsMd12500 → Md 12500 | ROMERO OSCAR | field |
| 3 | TWOTWENTYFIVESOUTHSIMPSON JASON | 20.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-19 TDN 4f 51.20 Bg MT ft 14/17; 2026-07-23 TDN 4f 53.00 B MT ft 27/28 · barn: same as last | fsMd12500 → Md 12500 | LOUDIN-SMITH LORI | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R4 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1320y · Md 12500 · field 7
- SHAPETwo-speed duel risk (#4 vs #7); speed bias and inside rail favor lone front-runner if one clears; closers face a tough ask
- CHALKFavorite#4 INSTANT WINNER (1.6 ML) — solid; best figures in field (peak 61), consistent front position, class drop from Md16000, path is clean in Scenario A; #7 RAVISHING RUBY (2.5 ML) — usable but short; top fig matches #4 but pace concern and post 7 adds ground loss on a rail-biased track
- LEANWinner call#4 INSTANT WINNER — class drop, best speed figures, inside-biased track, lone-speed advantage if #7 does not hook up; most likely winner
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk overlays in this field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#7 RAVISHING RUBY presses hard from the jump and the two empty through the lane, handing it to a closer; any late scratch that removes pace pressure makes the shape murkier
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden claimer at TDN, seven-runner field, moderate-to-high volatility given the soft class and closer-heavy draw. Shape is a two-speed duel between chalk #4 INSTANT WINNER (E, 1.6 ML) and second chalk #7 RAVISHING RUBY (EP, 2.5 ML), both of whom set pace in their last starts and both of whom are at risk if they hook up through honest fractions on a speed-biased track. No primed non-chalk horse clears the two-flag threshold — the ingest confirms none — and no non-chalk overlay exists in the field. There is no primed price horse with a path in A or B; the closers (#1, #2, #3, #5) are pace-dependent C-scenario horses with weak figures (top fig 52 for #2, 49 for #5, 26 for #3) and no overlay flag. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | INSTANT WINNER | 1.6 | 30.8% | 35.1% | +4.3% | 1.10 | E | favoriteLed lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | RAVISHING RUBY | 2.5 | 22.9% | 24.4% | +1.5% | 0.83 | EP | favoriteMSW → MCLTop last fig | — |
| 6 | HOLA AMOR | 3.0 | 20.0% | 19.4% | -0.6% | 0.46 | U | MSW → MCLLed lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | CUPIDS CAVALIER | 6.0 | 11.4% | 10.4% | -1.1% | 0.18 | C | Rising figsMSW → MCL | — |
| 2 | MOBIL TRUTH | 10.0 | 7.3% | 5.7% | -1.5% | -0.38 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | DESTINYS TOT | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.5% | -1.3% | -1.04 | C | Same trip | — |
| 3 | TWOTWENTYFIVESOUTH | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.5% | -1.3% | -1.14 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |