TDN R6 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R6 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1PENNYS TREASUREE
- C2#2HOLIDAYS ARMY BRATEP
- C3#3SHES A STORMP
- C4#5SECRET CALLERP
- C5#4MYSTICAL MOBILS
- C6#6HERE COMES DOLLYC
Honest pace among #1 PENNYS TREASURE and #2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #3 SHES A STORM, #5 SECRET CALLER, #4 MYSTICAL MOBIL · hurts #1 PENNYS TREASURE, #2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT
Pressure: #1 PENNYS TREASURE and #2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #3 SHES A STORM, #5 SECRET CALLER, #4 MYSTICAL MOBIL · hurts #1 PENNYS TREASURE, #2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 MYSTICAL MOBIL, #6 HERE COMES DOLLY).
Helps #4 MYSTICAL MOBIL, #6 HERE COMES DOLLY · hurts #1 PENNYS TREASURE, #2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | HOLIDAYS ARMY BRATFELICIANO R | 3.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-06-09 TDN 5f 63.40 B MT ft 5/9; 2026-05-28 TDN 5f 61.60 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: change vs RINI ANTHONY | fsClm7500n3lc → Clm 7500n4l | SCHUSTER ROBIN | overlay |
| 5 | SECRET CALLERCORRALES GERARDO | 2.5 | P | Same trip2026-07-12 TDN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 4/8; 2026-04-22 TDN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 10/19 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n4l → Clm 7500n4l | RIVERA NESTOR R | Favorite |
| 3 | SHES A STORMRIVERA L R | 3.5 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-03-11 MVR 4f 50.80 B MT my 6/11; 2026-02-14 MVR 4f 50.20 B D MT gd 10/24 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n4l → Clm 7500n4l | RADOSEVICH JEFF | field |
| 1 | PENNYS TREASURETERRAZA GERMAN | 5.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-04-09 TDN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 3/14; 2026-03-25 MVR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 15/19 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n4l → Clm 7500n4l | CASTRO RAQUEL A | field |
| 6 | HERE COMES DOLLYSALAZAR BECERRA FERNANDO | 4.5 | C | Same trip2026-07-09 TDN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 18/27; 2026-06-24 TDN 4f 50.40 B MT ft 7/14 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n4l → Clm 7500n4l | ZIELINSKI RICHARD | field |
| 4 | MYSTICAL MOBILHALDAR DAVID J | 6.0 | S | Same trip2026-06-20 TDN 3f 36.80 B MT ft 4/11; 2026-05-07 TDN 4f 51.60 B MT wf 20/23 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n4l → Clm 7500n4l | ZIELINSKI RICHARD | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R6 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 7500n4l
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#1 vs #2) opens the door for stalkers/pressers; speed bias favors inside but duel burns the E types
- CHALKFavorite#5 SECRET CALLER 2.5 ML · short · last fig 54, weak signal (-0.14), dull pace figures, pressers' path only
- LEANWinner call#2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT · fig spike 61→69, top fig in field, led last, inside post, barn change, pace path in A and B
- PRIMEDnone (sheet shows no horse with 2+ flags outside #2, which is the overlay not chalk)
- PRICE#2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT · edge +0.050 · ML 3-1
- PLAYPrice ticket#2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT · win · minimum 3-1 (pass if board drops below 5-2)
- KILL#1 PENNYS TREASURE clears early without a hook and wire-to-wires on the speed bias; or #2 scratches; or board collapses under 5-2
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at Thistledown in a $7,500 n4l claimer with a six-horse field — moderate volatility, cheap but tight class level. The pace map shows a speed duel between #1 PENNYS TREASURE (E, post 1) and #2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT (EP, post 2), which hammers the two need-the-lead types and sets up stalkers; #5 SECRET CALLER is chalk at 2.5 ML but carries flat form (signal -0.14, last fig 54, dull last out) and is a pressers' pace beneficiary only in a clean scenario. No horse has two+ ready flags except #2 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT, which posted a fig spike (61→69), led last, tops the field in last BRIS fig and E1, switched barns, and has a clear inside path at post 2 with a 3-1 ML overlay.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT | 3.0 | 20.0% | 25.0% | +5.0% | 1.02 | EP | Rising figsLed lastBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | SECRET CALLER | 2.5 | 22.9% | 21.4% | -1.5% | -0.14 | P | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | SHES A STORM | 3.5 | 17.8% | 18.8% | +1.1% | 0.36 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | PENNYS TREASURE | 5.0 | 13.3% | 13.4% | +0.1% | 0.14 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | HERE COMES DOLLY | 4.5 | 14.6% | 12.6% | -2.0% | -0.45 | C | Same trip | — |
| 4 | MYSTICAL MOBIL | 6.0 | 11.4% | 8.8% | -2.7% | -0.93 | S | Same trip | — |